Bromley · Orpington constituency · 51.38393, 0.10606

BR5 2AY— Bromley

Location and area intelligence for BR5 2AY, Bromley

The family fortress

 

Schools 100%Safety 76/100Transport 23/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 1 sales — thin data

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

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Strong schools, limited transport — ideal for car-owning families

Liveability
63
Safety
76
Schools
90
Transport
23
Environment
73
Investment
26

The bottom line

BR5 2AY offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and low crime — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 48 min to london bridge — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

BR5 2AY

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Owner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+7.1% vs London avg
vs London crime+50.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for BR5 2AY

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe

“The family fortress”

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How BR5 2AY has changed

Schools

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

St. Mary Cray Primary Academy

Not yet inspected · 8 min walk

★★

Secondary

Harris Academy Orpington

Good · Inspected May 2023 · 15 min walk

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 7 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 143 min walk

5 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

97.6 incidents per 1,000 residents

Higher crime than 73% of London
→ Stable

+83% vs borough

Crime by type

Other36%
Violence & sexual offences20%
Vehicle crime15%
Anti-social behaviour13%
Drug offences5%
Robbery5%
Burglary5%
Theft2%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

0

Serious within 200m

LOW pedestrian risk

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Orpington Fire Station · 1.3km

Crime is +50% above London average

Property

1 May

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 1 sale recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

BR5 district median

£435,000

Based on 151 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)1
New build0.0%
Price per m²£5,333/m²
Price per ft²£495/ft²
Avg floor area91.4 m²

EPC breakdown

C
4%
D
16%
E
4%

Based on 24 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 67%Terraced 33%

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield863 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£228,500
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1930-1949
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofPitched, no insulation (assumed)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £1,876
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1996–2024 · CAGR

+6.8%

Total change

+532%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-4.0%

per year

Acceleration

-9.82

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £150k–£175k · P75: £250k–£300k · 48 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 48 sales

Semi-detached66.7%
Terraced33.3%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1996–2000£76k£127k+67.1%1.8
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2003£133k£191k+43.6%3
Pre-crash peak2006–2007£230k£239k+3.9%5.5
GFC & correction2008–2009£233k£185k-20.4%1.5
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2016£238k£290k+22.1%1.3
Brexit uncertainty2017–2019£385k£386k+0.2%1.7
Pandemic surge2020–2021£370k£473k+27.7%1.5
Rate-rise correction2023–2023£500k£500k+0%3
Current market2024–2024£480k£480k+0%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Semi-detachedTerraced

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Semi-detached

+1.3% alpha

Weakest performer

Terraced

-0.3% alpha

Semi-detached+1.3% α
Local
8.3%
District
7%
Terraced-0.3% α
Local
4.3%
District
4.6%

CAGR over 27yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

48out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Balanced Market

Neutral conditions

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity75
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position40

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
St Mary Cray

Nearby stations

St Mary CrayNational Rail
15 min walk
Beckenham Junction Tram StopTram
121 min walk
New Addington Tram StopTram
122 min walk
Fieldway Tram StopTram
122 min walk
King Henry's Drive Tram StopTram
122 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

16

Walkability score

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge ★48 min
Victoria65 min ↑
Waterloo57 min ↑
Canary Wharf64 min ↑
City59 min ↑

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

4

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Total spaces (800m)13
Nearest car park566m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock10.7 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Priory Gardens13 spaces
567m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterMEDIUM
Medium
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 21.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 89% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB39% green space
More green space than 91% of London

Energy

Solar: 863 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,530 hrs/yr

Sunshine

595 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.9°C

Summer avg

3.0°C

Winter avg

Solar yield862.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

CRESCENT SURGERY

38 MARION CRESCENT, ST. MARY CRAY, BR5 2DD

8 min walk

7

GPs within 1km

3

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalOrpington Hospital · 2.5 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 21.2 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

25

Parks (1km)

24

Restaurants (800m)

4

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

1

Pharmacies (800m)

3

Gyms (1km)

6

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: Beech Tree (332 m)

Nearest supermarketBudgens · 4.0 km
2 tennis courts1 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
852 licensed premises in boroughHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

1

Cinemas (2km)

908m

Post office

Nearby shops

Aces Express684 m
Orpintgton Daily Fresh915 m

Nearby cafes

Carlton Cafe167 m
Lopeto cafe252 m
Just Desserts424 m
The Croft Tea Room605 m

Nearby restaurants

The Taj160 m
Twins Fish & Chips193 m
Fireaway Pizza203 m
Shelita204 m

Nearby pubs

Beech Tree332 m
White Swan506 m
The Cricketers574 m
The White Hart579 m

Nearby gyms

Lift Each Other (LEO)556 m
Walnuts Leisure Centre825 m
PureGym855 m
9 Round902 m

Nearby pharmacies

Silversands Pharmacy528 m
Superdrug948 m
Boots1.0 km

Nearby health

Beaconsfield Dental Practice492 m
MFA Dental Practice557 m
Sky Dental Clinic876 m
Knoll Medical Practice973 m
Food hygiene (5-star)40% of 57

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
3
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
3
3yr survival rate
100.0%

High street

A

High street health

Registered businesses

AJB HEATING LIMITED
GDH CONSTRUCTION LIMITED
MQ UK HOLDINGS LTD

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

26

Investment score

Weak

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,400London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score20/100
Sales last 12 months0

Rental market

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+7.7%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

4/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

48

Price growth score

C
Medium

Development pressure

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route6,444m
Crossrail 2 route21,156m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 6/10

Around average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Average deprivation level

Rank: 20,243 nationally

1,691

Est. population

58%

Employed

36%

Degree educated

£45,000

Median income

5.5%

Claimant rate

Owner occupiers / families

56

Community stability

Age profile

21%
18%
20%
18%
23%
Under 1821%
18–3418%
35–4920%
50–6418%
65+23%

Tenure

39%
34%
14%
Own outright39%
Own (mortgage)34%
Private rent14%
Social rent11%
Shared ownership2%

Ethnicity

69%
14%
White British69%
White Other7%
Asian14%
Black5%
Mixed4%
Other1%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional41%
Routine / semi-routine19%
No car household27%
Unemployed3%
No qualifications18%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent14%
Social rent11%

vs. London

Income vs London+7.1%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Listed buildings (800m)
6
Live planning apps (800m)
5
Development activity
medium
Residential apps (800m)
1
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
4
Planning apps (3 years)
12
Local approval rate
50%
Borough approval rate
54%
CIL rate (residential)
£125/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Politics

Local councillors and MP

MP
Gareth Bacon (Conservative)

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Compare Bromley with nearby boroughs:

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Key facts for BR5 2AY

Full postcodeBR5 2AY
Postcode districtBR5
BoroughLondon Borough of Bromley
Latitude51.383926
Longitude0.106059
Parliamentary constituencyOrpington
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey