Bromley · Orpington constituency · 51.38369, 0.10984

BR5 4AF— Bromley

Location and area intelligence for BR5 4AF, Bromley

The family fortress

 

Schools 100%Safety 80/100Transport 22/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 3 sales — thin data

Best for: Families

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Strong schools, limited transport — ideal for car-owning families

Liveability
58
Safety
80
Schools
90
Transport
22
Environment
71
Investment
28

The bottom line

BR5 4AF offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and low crime — strong value for Families who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 48 min to london bridge — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

BR5 4AF

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Mixed
Buyer fit: GoodInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income-14.3% vs London avg
vs London crime+12.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for BR5 4AF

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🎓 School Smart🌳 Good Parks🔒 Very Safe

“The family fortress”

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How BR5 4AF has changed

Schools

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

St. Mary Cray Primary Academy

Not yet inspected · 6 min walk

★★

Secondary

Harris Academy Orpington

Good · Inspected May 2023 · 13 min walk

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 5 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 143 min walk

3 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

72.5 incidents per 1,000 residents

Higher crime than 55% of London
→ Stable

+36% vs borough

Crime by type

Violence & sexual offences28%
Other24%
Anti-social behaviour22%
Vehicle crime13%
Drug offences7%
Burglary6%
Theft0%
Robbery0%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

1

Serious within 200m

LOW pedestrian risk

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

1

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Orpington Fire Station · 1.3km

Crime is +12% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 3 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

BR5 district median

£435,000

Based on 151 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)3
New build0.0%
Price per m²£5,268/m²
Price per ft²£489/ft²
Avg floor area58.4 m²

EPC breakdown

B
1%
C
7%
D
19%

Based on 27 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 9%Terraced 79%Flat 12%

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield863 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£146,000
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1900-1929
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofPitched, 100 mm loft insulation
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band CAnnual charge £1,668
Price growth potentialLow

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1995–2025 · CAGR

+6.1%

Total change

+495%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+15.0%

per year

Acceleration

-24.53

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £250k–£300k · P75: £50k–£75k · 32 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 32 sales

Semi-detached9.4%
Terraced78.1%
Flat/maisonette12.5%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1995–2000£58k£101k+73.7%1.6
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£103k£155k+50.5%2.2
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£157k£180k+14.3%2.5
GFC & correction2008–2009£219k£162k-26%1
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2014£189k£215k+14.1%1.5
Rate-rise correction2022–2023£275k£215k-21.8%1
Current market2024–2025£300k£345k+15%1.5

Price Trajectory by Type

Terraced

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Terraced

+-0.8% alpha

Terraced-0.8% α
Local
5.2%
District
6%

CAGR over 26yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

21out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position10

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
St Mary Cray

Nearby stations

St Mary CrayNational Rail
16 min walk
Beckenham Junction Tram StopTram
124 min walk
New Addington Tram StopTram
125 min walk
Fieldway Tram StopTram
125 min walk
King Henry's Drive Tram StopTram
125 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

17

Walkability score

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge ★48 min
Victoria65 min ↑
Waterloo57 min ↑
Canary Wharf64 min ↑
City59 min ↑

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

5

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Total spaces (800m)13
Nearest car park318m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock10.9 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Priory Gardens13 spaces
648m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterMEDIUM
Medium
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 21.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 89% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB33% green space
More green space than 88% of London

Energy

Solar: 863 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,530 hrs/yr

Sunshine

595 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.9°C

Summer avg

3.0°C

Winter avg

Solar yield862.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

ST MARY CRAY PRACTICE

322 HIGH STREET, ST. MARY CRAY, BR5 4AR

6 min walk

6

GPs within 1km

2

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalOrpington Hospital · 2.6 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 21.1 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

30

Parks (1km)

11

Restaurants (800m)

4

Cafes (800m)

2

Pubs (400m)

1

Pharmacies (800m)

3

Gyms (1km)

4

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

Nearest supermarketBudgens · 4.2 km
1 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

2

Late-night venues

D
852 licensed premises in boroughHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

1

Cinemas (2km)

1.2km

Post office

Nearby shops

Aces Express823 m
WHSmith1.1 km

Nearby cafes

Carlton Cafe224 m
Lopeto cafe286 m
The Croft Tea Room413 m
Just Desserts560 m

Nearby restaurants

The Taj216 m
Twins Fish & Chips244 m
Fireaway Pizza254 m
Shelita264 m

Nearby pubs

Beech Tree90 m
White Swan325 m
The White Hart724 m
The Cricketers794 m

Nearby gyms

Lift Each Other (LEO)685 m
Fordes Gym809 m
Bromley Indoor Bowls Centre825 m
Walnuts Leisure Centre922 m

Nearby pharmacies

Silversands Pharmacy325 m
Boots975 m

Nearby health

Beaconsfield Dental Practice632 m
MFA Dental Practice683 m
Food hygiene (5-star)47% of 34

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
2
New (last 12 months)
2
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
2
3yr survival rate
100.0%

High street

E

High street health

Registered businesses

CC LEGACY LTD
GROOVY ENTERTAINMENT LTD

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

28

Investment score

Weak

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,400London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score16/100
Sales last 12 months0

Rental market

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+7.7%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

12/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

43.8

Price growth score

D
Medium

Development pressure

High investment quality

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route6,702m
Crossrail 2 route21,402m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 4/10

More deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

More deprived than average

Rank: 10,164 nationally

1,752

Est. population

58%

Employed

30%

Degree educated

£36,000

Median income

5.1%

Claimant rate

Mixed

45

Community stability

Age profile

25%
24%
18%
19%
15%
Under 1825%
18–3424%
35–4918%
50–6419%
65+15%

Tenure

23%
27%
23%
26%
Own outright23%
Own (mortgage)27%
Private rent23%
Social rent26%
Shared ownership1%
Rent free0%

Ethnicity

73%
White British73%
White Other8%
Asian5%
Black8%
Mixed5%
Other2%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional33%
Routine / semi-routine22%
No car household33%
Unemployed5%
No qualifications19%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Social rent26%
Private rent23%

vs. London

Income vs London-14.3%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Listed buildings (800m)
8
Live planning apps (800m)
6
Development activity
medium
Residential apps (800m)
1
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
2
Planning apps (3 years)
9
Local approval rate
100%
Borough approval rate
54%
CIL rate (residential)
£125/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Politics

Local councillors and MP

MP
Gareth Bacon (Conservative)

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Key facts for BR5 4AF

Full postcodeBR5 4AF
Postcode districtBR5
BoroughLondon Borough of Bromley
Latitude51.383687
Longitude0.109842
Parliamentary constituencyOrpington
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey