Blackfen & Lamorbey · Bexley · Old Bexley and Sidcup constituency · 51.43782, 0.09275

DA15 8AX— Blackfen & Lamorbey, Bexley

Location and area intelligence for DA15 8AX, Blackfen & Lamorbey, Bexley

The family fortress

 

Schools 100%Safety 88/100Transport 39/100~2% yield · indicativeOnly 1 sales — thin data

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

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Lopsided profile — strong safety but weak transport

Liveability
66
Safety
88
Schools
60
Transport
39
Environment
69
Investment
29

The bottom line

DA15 8AX offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and low crime — a strong choice for Families and Owner-occupiers.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

DA15 8AX

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Inner city
HighOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: CautiousRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income-1.0% vs London avg
vs London crime-64.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for DA15 8AX

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🚇 Well-Connected🎓 School Smart🌳 Good Parks🔒 Very Safe

“The family fortress”

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How DA15 8AX has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

Longlands Primary School

Not yet inspected · 9 min walk

KS2: 101.7

—

Secondary

Chislehurst and Sidcup Grammar School

Not yet inspected · 13 min walk

P8: +0.84A8: 76.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 11 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 70 min walk

5 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

23.2 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 84% of London
→ Stable

-56% vs borough

Crime by type

Vehicle crime24%
Anti-social behaviour21%
Other21%
Violence & sexual offences21%
Burglary10%
Robbery3%
Drug offences0%
Theft0%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Sidcup Fire Station · 1.2km

Crime is 64% below London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 1 sale recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

Price history

Sales (24 months)1
New build0.0%
Price per m²£6,580/m²
Price per ft²£611/ft²
Avg floor area104.1 m²

EPC breakdown

B
1%
C
7%
D
1%

Based on 9 properties · Confidence: low

Street mix

Semi 25%Terraced 8%Detached 50%Other 17%

LHA rates — Outer South East London

Shared room£600/mo
1 bedroom£1050/mo
2 bedrooms£1300/mo
3 bedrooms£1550/mo
4 bedrooms£1800/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield862 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£260,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era2009
WallsAverage thermal transmittance 0.29 W/m²K
RoofAverage thermal transmittance 0.15 W/m²K
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £1,909
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

2005–2026 · CAGR

+5.2%

Total change

+193%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-2.8%

per year

Acceleration

-11.30

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £250k–£300k · P75: £600k–£700k · 10 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 10 sales

Detached60%
Semi-detached30%
Terraced10%

By decade

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£234k£250k+6.8%1
GFC & correction2009–2009£325k£325k+0%1
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2014£317k£455k+43.3%1.5
Pandemic surge2021–2021£300k£300k+0%1
Rate-rise correction2022–2023£650k£705k+8.5%1
Current market2026–2026£685k£685k+0%1

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

58out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Buyer's Market

Neutral conditions

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity75
Trend Position40

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 3

Moderate

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Below London average
Sidcup

Nearby stations

SidcupNational Rail
11 min walk
Woolwich Arsenal DLR StationDLR
75 min walk
Abbey WoodElizabeth line
78 min walk
King George V DLR StationDLR
93 min walk
London City Airport DLR StationDLR
99 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

8

Walkability score

46

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge ★39 min
Victoria63 min ↑
Waterloo48 min ↑
Canary Wharf57 min ↑
City52 min ↑

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

10

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park224m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock7.8 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Marlowe House car park
733m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 20.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 90% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 13.7 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB23% green spaceTree canopy: 70%
More green space than 78% of London

Nearest SSSI: Oxleas Woodlands SSSI — 3.2 km

Energy

Solar: 862 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,520 hrs/yr

Sunshine

608 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.5°C

Summer avg

3.2°C

Winter avg

Solar yield861.8 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

NEW ELTHAM AND BLACKFEN MEDICAL CENTRE

52 THAXTED ROAD, NEW ELTHAM, SE9 3PT

17 min walk

70%

Recommend GP

70%

Overall GP experience

0

GPs within 1km

2

Dentists within 1km

5

Care homes (1km)

Nearest hospitalQueen Mary's Hospital · 2.3 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 15.7 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

98

Parks (1km)

2

Restaurants (800m)

0

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

0

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

2

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: Ye Olde Black Horse (401 m)

Nearest supermarketThe Co-operative Food · 2.2 km
2 swimming pools

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
664 licensed premises in borough268 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

463m

Post office

Nearby shops

M&S Simply Food782 m

Nearby cafes

The Chunky Teapot649 m
Caffe Nuovo738 m
Café L'ecole842 m

Nearby restaurants

Cacio e Pepe410 m
Ace Fish Bar527 m
Maharani607 m
Jalsha Tandoori Restaurant638 m

Nearby pubs

Ye Olde Black Horse401 m
The Halfway House559 m
The Hackney Carriage656 m
AU Lounge766 m

Nearby gyms

The Hollies Countryside Club531 m
Food hygiene (5-star)65% of 20

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

29

Investment score

Weak

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Low gross yield (2.4%) makes this better for owner-occupiers than buy-to-let investors. Capital growth outlook is moderate.

Avg monthly rent
£1,350London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
2.4% (low)London avg: 3.8%Low yield — bottom 25% of London
Gentrification score19/100
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+8.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

52.7

Price growth score

C
Medium

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

Low-deprivation area

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route7,846m
Crossrail 2 route16,799m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 10/10

Least deprived

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than 90% of London

Rank: 31,099 nationally

1,251

Est. population

11,643/km²

64%

Employed

33%

Degree educated

£41,600

Median income

1.6%

Claimant rate

Inner cityHigh densityOwner occupiers / families

65

Community stability

Age profile

24%
18%
20%
21%
17%
Under 1824%
18–3418%
35–4920%
50–6421%
65+17%

Tenure

40%
52%
Own outright40%
Own (mortgage)52%
Private rent6%
Social rent2%
Shared ownership1%

Ethnicity

79%
White British79%
White Other5%
Asian7%
Black5%
Mixed3%
Other2%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional43%
Routine / semi-routine15%
No car household11%
Unemployed3%
No qualifications11%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent6%
Social rent2%

vs. London

Income vs London-1.0%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Live planning apps (800m)
9
Development activity
medium
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
6
Planning apps (3 years)
12
Local approval rate
83%
Borough approval rate
75%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£100/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
5
Largest scheme
59 homes · THE HOLLIES (PHASE 5)(NOW 9A/9B), THE HOLLIES (PHASE 5)(NOW 9A/9B), HALFWAY STREET, DA15 9DH
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

Old Farm Park, Old Farm Avenue58 homes
completed
The former York Avenue Allotments, The former York Avenue Allotments, York Avenue, Sidcup, DA15 7LH11 homes
completed
26, 26, Old Farm Road West, Sidcup, DA15 8AG3 homes
completed
1, 1, Lamorbey Close, Hollies Avenue, Sidcup, DA15 8BA2 homes
completed
1, Longmeadow Road, DA15 8BH1 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Conservative
Ward majority vote
13.8%
Election year
2026
MP
Mr Louie French (Conservative)
MP majority
3,548
Constituency
Old Bexley and Sidcup

Councillors

Brian John BishopConservative
Peter CraskeConservative
Frazer BrooksConservative

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Key facts for DA15 8AX

Full postcodeDA15 8AX
Postcode districtDA15
BoroughLondon Borough of Bexley
WardBlackfen & Lamorbey
Latitude51.437816
Longitude0.092753
Parliamentary constituencyOld Bexley and Sidcup
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey