Blackfen & Lamorbey · Bexley · Old Bexley and Sidcup constituency · 51.44412, 0.09314

DA15 8HPBlackfen & Lamorbey, Bexley

Location and area intelligence for DA15 8HP, Blackfen & Lamorbey, Bexley

Strong, well-rated schools nearby

 

Schools 100%Safety 83/100Transport 23/100Yield 3.95%

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

Compare areas

Strong schools, limited transport — ideal for car-owning families

Liveability
57
Safety
83
Schools
90
Transport
23
Environment
67
Investment
42

The bottom line

DA15 8HP offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and low crime at £410,000 median — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 47 min to london bridge — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

DA15 8HP

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
HighOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London avg price-21.2% vs London avg
vs London income+1.2% vs London avg
vs London crime-21.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for DA15 8HP

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Postcode Personality

🎓 School Smart🔒 Very Safe

Strong, well-rated schools nearby

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How DA15 8HP has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km

Primary

Our Lady of the Rosary Catholic Primary School

Not yet inspected · Inspected Jun 2025 · 5 min walk

KS2: 106.1

★★

Secondary

Harris Academy Falconwood

Good · Inspected Oct 2019 · 20 min walk

P8: 0.00A8: 46.3

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 8 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 61 min walk

5 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

51.2 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 62% of London
→ Stable

-3% vs borough

Crime by type

Anti-social behaviour28%
Other23%
Violence & sexual offences23%
Vehicle crime12%
Drug offences9%
Burglary4%
Robbery1%
Theft0%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Sidcup Fire Station · 1.9km

Crime is 21% below London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Low transaction volumeonly 5 sales in 24 months. Price figures may not reflect the wider area. Treat with caution.

£410,000

Median sale price

21% below London median

£410,000 is 21% below the London median (£520,000)

+11.6%

This year

Terraced

Dominant type

Price history

5-year change
+12.3%
Sales (24 months)5
New build0.0%
Avg semi-detached£540,000
Avg terraced£397,500
Price per m²£5,726/m²
Price per ft²£532/ft²
Avg floor area73

EPC breakdown

C
6%
D
11%
E
4%
F
1%

Based on 22 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 4%Terraced 96%

LHA rates — Outer South East London

Shared room£600/mo
1 bedroom£1050/mo
2 bedrooms£1300/mo
3 bedrooms£1550/mo
4 bedrooms£1800/mo

Stamp duty

Standard buyer£8,000
First-time buyerFTB
£0
Additional propertyBTL/2nd
£20,300

England & NI rates 2025/26. Additional property rate adds 3% on each band.

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

9.6×

Price-to-income

£2,051/mo

Est. mortgage

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Rising

Market momentum

Energy & construction

Solar yield862 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£182,500
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1930-1949
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofPitched, 100 mm loft insulation
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £1,909
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

19952026 · CAGR

+6.5%

Total change

+609%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+11.6%

per year

Acceleration

-13.42

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £50k–£75k · P75: £400k–£450k · 72 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 72 sales

Semi-detached4.2%
Terraced95.8%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom19952000£75k£103k+37.1%2.7
Post-dot-com plateau20012004£123k£174k+41.3%3.2
Pre-crash peak20052007£205k£219k+6.8%2.3
GFC & correction20082012£208k£224k+7.4%2.2
Help-to-Buy recovery20132016£243k£355k+46.4%3.3
Brexit uncertainty20192019£340k£340k+0%3
Pandemic surge20202021£388k£365k-5.8%3.5
Rate-rise correction20232023£405k£405k+0%1
Current market20242026£380k£530k+39.5%2

Price Trajectory by Type

Terraced

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Terraced

+0% alpha

Terraced+0% α
Local
5.8%
District
5.8%

CAGR over 29yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

21out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position10

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
Sidcup

Nearby stations

SidcupNational Rail
17 min walk
Woolwich Arsenal DLR StationDLR
67 min walk
Abbey WoodElizabeth line
70 min walk
King George V DLR StationDLR
85 min walk
London City Airport DLR StationDLR
91 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

10

Walkability score

46

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge47 min
Victoria71 min
Waterloo57 min
Canary Wharf65 min
City59 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

7

Car parks (800m)

1

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park509m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock7.6 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 20.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 90% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 13.4 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB17% green spaceTree canopy: 52%
Above average green space

Nearest SSSI: Oxleas Woodlands SSSI — 2.5 km

Energy

Solar: 862 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,520 hrs/yr

Sunshine

608 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.5°C

Summer avg

3.2°C

Winter avg

Solar yield861.8 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

NEW ELTHAM AND BLACKFEN MEDICAL CENTRE

52 THAXTED ROAD, NEW ELTHAM, SE9 3PT

21 min walk

70%

Recommend GP

70%

Overall GP experience

0

GPs within 1km

3

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalEltham Community Hospital · 2.8 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 15.1 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

93

Parks (1km)

3

Restaurants (800m)

0

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

0

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

5

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: The Halfway House (534 m)

Nearest supermarketThe Co-operative Food · 1.5 km
1 tennis courts4 swimming pools

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
664 licensed premises in borough268 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

536m

Post office

Nearby shops

Oval Fine Wines and Beers623 m
The Co-operative Food715 m

Nearby cafes

Café L'ecole713 m

Nearby restaurants

Ace Fish Bar531 m
Maharani533 m
Cacio e Pepe540 m
Pride of India670 m

Nearby pubs

The Halfway House534 m
The Black Boy619 m
The Hangar675 m
The Jolly Fenman823 m

Nearby gyms

The Hollies Countryside Club598 m

Nearby pharmacies

Olins Pharmacy619 m
Food hygiene (5-star)58% of 19

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

42

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,350London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
4.0% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score22/100
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+8.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

64.9

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

High investment qualityLow-deprivation areaConfirmed 5yr price momentum

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route7,742m
Crossrail 2 route16,322m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 9/10

Least deprived

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than 90% of London

Rank: 27,283 nationally

1,524

Est. population

7,792/km²

67%

Employed

25%

Degree educated

£42,500

Median income

1.8%

Claimant rate

SuburbanHigh densityOwner occupiers / families

59

Community stability

Age profile

23%
19%
20%
22%
16%
Under 1823%
18–3419%
35–4920%
50–6422%
65+16%

Tenure

38%
46%
14%
Own outright38%
Own (mortgage)46%
Private rent14%
Social rent1%
Shared ownership1%

Ethnicity

84%
White British84%
White Other6%
Asian4%
Black2%
Mixed2%
Other2%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional33%
Routine / semi-routine20%
No car household15%
Unemployed3%
No qualifications17%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent14%
Social rent1%

vs. London

Income vs London+1.2%
Price vs London-21.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Live planning apps (800m)
12
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
9
Planning apps (3 years)
8
Local approval rate
89%
Borough approval rate
75%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£100/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
2
Largest scheme
59 homes · THE HOLLIES (PHASE 5)(NOW 9A/9B), THE HOLLIES (PHASE 5)(NOW 9A/9B), HALFWAY STREET, DA15 9DH
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

Land adjacent to Holy Redeemer and rear of The Vicarage, Land adjacent to Holy Redeemer and rear of The Vicarage, Days Lane, Sidcup, DA15 8JR4 homes
completed
2, 2, Merrilees Road, Sidcup, DA15 8JH2 homes
completed
96a, 96a, Corbylands Road, DA15 8JQ2 homes
completed
Land Rear Of, 114, Corbylands Road, DA15 8JQ2 homes
completed
Land at 115, Land at 115, Days Lane, DA15 8JP1 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Conservative
Ward majority vote
13.8%
Election year
2026
MP
Mr Louie French (Conservative)
MP majority
3,548
Constituency
Old Bexley and Sidcup

Councillors

Brian John BishopConservative
Peter CraskeConservative
Frazer BrooksConservative

Stamp Duty & Affordability Calculator

Stamp duty on median price (£410,000)

£8,000

Standard buyer

£0

First-time buyer

Save £8,000

Affordability check — your annual salary

£

Deposit

Affordability uses 4.5× single income and 4.75% indicative rate over 25 years. Not financial advice.

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Key facts for DA15 8HP

Full postcodeDA15 8HP
Postcode districtDA15
BoroughLondon Borough of Bexley
WardBlackfen & Lamorbey
Latitude51.444122
Longitude0.093142
Parliamentary constituencyOld Bexley and Sidcup
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey