Blackfen & Lamorbey · Bexley · Old Bexley and Sidcup constituency · 51.44802, 0.09679

DA15 8LY— Blackfen & Lamorbey, Bexley

Location and area intelligence for DA15 8LY, Blackfen & Lamorbey, Bexley

Strong, well-rated schools nearby

 

Schools 100%Safety 88/100Transport 19/100~3% yield · indicativeOnly 3 sales — thin data

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

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Strong schools, limited transport — ideal for car-owning families

Liveability
61
Safety
88
Schools
90
Transport
19
Environment
66
Investment
35

The bottom line

DA15 8LY offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and low crime — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 47 min to london bridge — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

DA15 8LY

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
HighOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+1.2% vs London avg
vs London crime-62.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for DA15 8LY

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🎓 School Smart🔒 Very Safe

“Strong, well-rated schools nearby”

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How DA15 8LY has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
★★

Primary

Days Lane Primary School

Good · Inspected Mar 2023 · 1 min walk

KS2: 107.7

★★

Secondary

Harris Academy Falconwood

Good · Inspected Oct 2019 · 15 min walk

P8: 0.00A8: 46.3

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 10 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 55 min walk

3 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

24.6 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 83% of London
→ Stable

-53% vs borough

Crime by type

Violence & sexual offences32%
Anti-social behaviour29%
Other18%
Drug offences8%
Vehicle crime8%
Theft3%
Burglary3%
Robbery0%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Sidcup Fire Station · 2.4km

Crime is 62% below London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 3 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

Price history

Sales (24 months)3
New build0.0%
Price per m²£5,407/m²
Price per ft²£502/ft²
Avg floor area84.6 m²

EPC breakdown

C
8%
D
10%
E
2%
F
3%

Based on 23 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 75%Terraced 11%Detached 14%

LHA rates — Outer South East London

Shared room£600/mo
1 bedroom£1050/mo
2 bedrooms£1300/mo
3 bedrooms£1550/mo
4 bedrooms£1800/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield862 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£211,500
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1950-1966
WallsCavity wall, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofPitched, 100 mm loft insulation
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £1,909
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1995–2026 · CAGR

+6.8%

Total change

+672%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+31.2%

per year

Acceleration

+28.98

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £150k–£175k · P75: £250k–£300k · 36 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 36 sales

Detached13.9%
Semi-detached75%
Terraced11.1%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1995–2000£79k£208k+163.3%2
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2003£167k£216k+29%1.7
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£238k£288k+21%1
GFC & correction2011–2012£250k£289k+15.5%1.5
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2016£250k£408k+63%1.7
Brexit uncertainty2017–2019£425k£362k-14.8%1.7
Pandemic surge2021–2021£395k£395k+0%3
Rate-rise correction2022–2023£631k£440k-30.2%1
Current market2024–2026£455k£610k+34.1%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Semi-detached

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Semi-detached

+0% alpha

Semi-detached+0% α
Local
6%
District
6%

CAGR over 24yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

23out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing8
Trend Position10

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
Sidcup

Nearby stations

SidcupNational Rail
21 min walk
Woolwich Arsenal DLR StationDLR
63 min walk
Abbey WoodElizabeth line
64 min walk
King George V DLR StationDLR
81 min walk
Gallions Reach DLR StationDLR
88 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

12

Walkability score

38

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge ★47 min
Victoria71 min ↑
Waterloo57 min ↑
Canary Wharf65 min ↑
City59 min ↑

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

10

Car parks (800m)

1

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park286m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock7.7 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterLOW
Low
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 20.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 90% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 13.5 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB13% green spaceTree canopy: 10%
Above average green space

Nearest SSSI: Oxleas Woodlands SSSI — 2.4 km

Energy

Solar: 862 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: CLAY, SILT AND SAND

Subsidence risk: Medium

Shrink-swell: Medium

Running sand risk: Low

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Elevated

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Medium

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,520 hrs/yr

Sunshine

608 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.5°C

Summer avg

3.2°C

Winter avg

Solar yield861.8 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

NEW ELTHAM AND BLACKFEN MEDICAL CENTRE

52 THAXTED ROAD, NEW ELTHAM, SE9 3PT

27 min walk

70%

Recommend GP

70%

Overall GP experience

0

GPs within 1km

5

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalEltham Community Hospital · 3.0 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 14.6 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

184

Parks (1km)

8

Restaurants (800m)

0

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

1

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

4

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: The Hangar (509 m)

Nearest supermarketThe Co-operative Food · 1.1 km
1 tennis courts3 swimming pools

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
664 licensed premises in borough268 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

602m

Post office

Nearby shops

The Co-operative Food523 m
Oval Fine Wines and Beers533 m

Nearby cafes

Café L'ecole790 m

Nearby restaurants

Chef's Kitchen408 m
Pizza Time444 m
The Fen445 m
Antalya451 m

Nearby pubs

The Hangar509 m
The George Staples525 m
The Jolly Fenman556 m
The Broken Drum606 m

Nearby gyms

The Hollies Countryside Club872 m

Nearby pharmacies

Olins Pharmacy540 m
Food hygiene (5-star)61% of 33

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

35

Investment score

Weak

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,350London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.5% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score19/100
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+8.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

54.1

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

High investment qualityLow-deprivation area

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route7,911m
Crossrail 2 route16,209m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 9/10

Least deprived

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than 90% of London

Rank: 27,874 nationally

1,542

Est. population

9,397/km²

56%

Employed

23%

Degree educated

£42,500

Median income

2.0%

Claimant rate

SuburbanHigh densityOwner occupiers / families

62

Community stability

Age profile

21%
15%
17%
22%
24%
Under 1821%
18–3415%
35–4917%
50–6423%
65+24%

Tenure

49%
38%
Own outright49%
Own (mortgage)38%
Private rent10%
Social rent3%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

80%
White British80%
White Other6%
Asian6%
Black3%
Mixed3%
Other2%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional31%
Routine / semi-routine18%
No car household14%
Unemployed2%
No qualifications21%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent10%
Social rent3%

vs. London

Income vs London+1.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Live planning apps (800m)
10
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
1
Commercial apps (800m)
1
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
8
Planning apps (3 years)
11
Local approval rate
75%
Borough approval rate
75%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£100/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
2
Largest scheme
59 homes · THE HOLLIES (PHASE 5)(NOW 9A/9B), THE HOLLIES (PHASE 5)(NOW 9A/9B), HALFWAY STREET, DA15 9DH
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

REAR OF, 164, REAR OF, 164, BLACKFEN ROAD, DA15 8DT10 homes
completed
Site of the Former Blackfen Library, Site of the Former Blackfen Library, Cedar Avenue, Sidcup, DA15 8NJ8 homes
completed
158 &160, 158 &160, Blackfen Road, Sidcup, DA15 8PT7 homes
completed
124, 124, Blackfen Road, DA15 8PT6 homes
completed
148, 148, Blackfen Road, Sidcup, DA15 8PT6 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Conservative
Ward majority vote
13.8%
Election year
2026
MP
Mr Louie French (Conservative)
MP majority
3,548
Constituency
Old Bexley and Sidcup

Councillors

Brian John BishopConservative
Peter CraskeConservative
Frazer BrooksConservative

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Key facts for DA15 8LY

Full postcodeDA15 8LY
Postcode districtDA15
BoroughLondon Borough of Bexley
WardBlackfen & Lamorbey
Latitude51.448023
Longitude0.096789
Parliamentary constituencyOld Bexley and Sidcup
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
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