Blackfen & Lamorbey · Bexley · Old Bexley and Sidcup constituency · 51.45093, 0.08751

DA15 8QDBlackfen & Lamorbey, Bexley

Location and area intelligence for DA15 8QD, Blackfen & Lamorbey, Bexley

The family fortress

 

Schools 100%Safety 87/100Transport 30/100~1% yield · indicativeOnly 4 sales — thin data

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

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Strong schools, limited transport — ideal for car-owning families

Liveability
64
Safety
87
Schools
90
Transport
30
Environment
74
Investment
24

The bottom line

DA15 8QD offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and low crime — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: high noise levels nearby.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

DA15 8QD

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
MediumOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: CautiousRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+1.7% vs London avg
vs London crime-55.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for DA15 8QD

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Postcode Personality

🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe

The family fortress

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How DA15 8QD has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
★★

Primary

Alderwood Primary School

Good · Inspected Oct 2021 · 4 min walk

KS2: 107.0

★★

Secondary

Harris Academy Falconwood

Good · Inspected Oct 2019 · 10 min walk

P8: 0.00A8: 46.3

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 7 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 54 min walk

4 primaries · 2 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

29.0 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 79% of London
→ Stable

-45% vs borough

Crime by type

Other35%
Violence & sexual offences35%
Vehicle crime15%
Drug offences7%
Anti-social behaviour4%
Robbery2%
Burglary2%
Theft0%

Road safety

99

Road safety score

1

Accidents (5yr)

1

Serious within 200m

LOW pedestrian risk

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Sidcup Fire Station · 2.7km

Crime is 55% below London average

Property

12 Jun

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 4 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

Price history

Sales (24 months)4
New build0.0%
Price per m²£15,406/m²
Price per ft²£1,431/ft²
Avg floor area67.2

EPC breakdown

B
6%
D
7%
E
5%

Based on 18 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 47%Detached 26%Flat 5%Other 21%

LHA rates — Outer South East London

Shared room£600/mo
1 bedroom£1050/mo
2 bedrooms£1300/mo
3 bedrooms£1550/mo
4 bedrooms£1800/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield862 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£168,000
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1930-1949
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(other premises above)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £1,909
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

19972020 · CAGR

+5.6%

Total change

+253%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-48.9%

per year

Acceleration

-98.28

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £400k–£450k · P75: £125k–£150k · 15 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 15 sales

Detached33.3%
Semi-detached60%
Flat/maisonette6.7%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom19972000£94k£104k+10.6%1.7
Post-dot-com plateau20012004£146k£145k-0.7%1
Pre-crash peak20052007£222k£258k+16.3%1.3
Help-to-Buy recovery20162016£435k£435k+0%1
Brexit uncertainty20182018£650k£650k+0%1
Pandemic surge20202020£333k£333k+0%2

Price Trajectory by Type

Semi-detached

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Semi-detached

+0% alpha

Semi-detached+0% α
Local
11.3%
District
11.3%

CAGR over 8yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

92out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Buyer's Market

Favours buyers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Sales Volume75
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
Falconwood

Nearby stations

FalconwoodNational Rail
13 min walk
Woolwich Arsenal DLR StationDLR
57 min walk
Abbey WoodElizabeth line
63 min walk
King George V DLR StationDLR
74 min walk
London City Airport DLR StationDLR
80 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

17

Walkability score

28

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge43 min
Victoria60 min
Waterloo57 min
Canary Wharf58 min
City54 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

17

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park18m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock7.0 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 20.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 90% of London
NoiseHIGH
road
Noisier than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 12.7 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB39% green spaceTree canopy: 28%
More green space than 91% of London

Nearest SSSI: Oxleas Woodlands SSSI — 1.7 km

Energy

Solar: 862 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: CLAY, SILT AND SAND

Subsidence risk: Medium

Shrink-swell: Medium

Running sand risk: Low

Landslide records (2km): 3

Landslide susceptibility: Medium

Insurance risk

Elevated

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Medium

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,520 hrs/yr

Sunshine

608 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.5°C

Summer avg

3.2°C

Winter avg

Solar yield861.8 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

NEW ELTHAM AND BLACKFEN MEDICAL CENTRE

52 THAXTED ROAD, NEW ELTHAM, SE9 3PT

26 min walk

70%

Recommend GP

70%

Overall GP experience

0

GPs within 1km

1

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalEltham Community Hospital · 2.4 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 14.6 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

79

Parks (1km)

7

Restaurants (800m)

0

Cafes (800m)

1

Pubs (400m)

1

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

6

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

Nearest supermarketThe Co-operative Food · 824 m
6 tennis courts

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

1

Late-night venues

E
664 licensed premises in borough268 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

1.1km

Post office

Nearby shops

Nisa Local450 m
Costcutter1.0 km

Nearby cafes

The Tudor Cafe841 m

Nearby restaurants

Chicken World6 m
Codfellas318 m
Domino's328 m
Brurritos388 m

Nearby pubs

The Jolly Fenman238 m
The Black Boy619 m
The Bolthole806 m
Lingfield1.0 km

Nearby pharmacies

Payden's Pharmacy334 m

Nearby health

SunnyDent345 m
Food hygiene (5-star)68% of 19

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

24

Investment score

Weak

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Low gross yield (1.5%) makes this better for owner-occupiers than buy-to-let investors. Capital growth outlook is moderate.

Avg monthly rent
£1,350London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
1.5% (low)London avg: 3.8%Low yield — bottom 25% of London
Gentrification score19/100
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+8.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

50.5

Price growth score

C
Medium

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

Low-deprivation area

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route7,217m
Crossrail 2 route15,516m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 9/10

Least deprived

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than 90% of London

Rank: 27,048 nationally

1,584

Est. population

6,892/km²

60%

Employed

27%

Degree educated

£42,700

Median income

1.6%

Claimant rate

SuburbanMedium densityOwner occupiers / families

60

Community stability

Age profile

24%
17%
20%
20%
19%
Under 1824%
18–3417%
35–4920%
50–6420%
65+19%

Tenure

42%
43%
Own outright42%
Own (mortgage)43%
Private rent12%
Social rent3%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

77%
White British77%
White Other6%
Asian8%
Black5%
Mixed2%
Other3%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional31%
Routine / semi-routine18%
No car household18%
Unemployed3%
No qualifications18%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent12%
Social rent3%

vs. London

Income vs London+1.7%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Live planning apps (800m)
4
Development activity
medium
Residential apps (800m)
1
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
6
Planning apps (3 years)
10
Local approval rate
83%
Borough approval rate
75%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£100/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
4
Largest scheme
36 homes · THE HOLLIES (PHASE 1), THE HOLLIES (PHASE 1), HALFWAY STREET, WILLERSLEY AVENUE, DA15 8
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

LAND OFF, LAND OFF, PARISH GATE DRIVE, DA15 8TJ24 homes
completed
LAND ADJACENT, 15, LAND ADJACENT, 15, RIDER CLOSE, DA15 8TL13 homes
completed
70, 70, Blackfen Road, Sidcup, DA15 8SW7 homes
completed
Rennets Wood House, Rennets Wood House, Bexley Road, Eltham, SE9 2NE7 homes
completed
13, Blackfen Road, DA15 8QD6 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Conservative
Ward majority vote
13.8%
Election year
2026
MP
Mr Louie French (Conservative)
MP majority
3,548
Constituency
Old Bexley and Sidcup

Councillors

Brian John BishopConservative
Peter CraskeConservative
Frazer BrooksConservative

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Key facts for DA15 8QD

Full postcodeDA15 8QD
Postcode districtDA15
BoroughLondon Borough of Bexley
WardBlackfen & Lamorbey
Latitude51.450931
Longitude0.087509
Parliamentary constituencyOld Bexley and Sidcup
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey