Blackfen & Lamorbey · Bexley · Old Bexley and Sidcup constituency · 51.44088, 0.10512

DA15 9DWBlackfen & Lamorbey, Bexley

Location and area intelligence for DA15 9DW, Blackfen & Lamorbey, Bexley

The family fortress

 

Schools 80%Safety 83/100Transport 32/100~3% yield · indicativeOnly 2 sales — thin data

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

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Strong schools, limited transport — ideal for car-owning families

Liveability
65
Safety
83
Schools
90
Transport
32
Environment
77
Investment
33

The bottom line

DA15 9DW offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime and a green environment — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 54 min to london bridge — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

DA15 9DW

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Inner city
MediumOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+1.2% vs London avg
vs London crime-21.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for DA15 9DW

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🚇 Well-Connected🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe

The family fortress

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How DA15 9DW has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
★★

Primary

Chatsworth Infant School

Good · Inspected Sept 2019 · 1 min walk

Secondary

Chislehurst and Sidcup Grammar School

Not yet inspected · 7 min walk

P8: +0.84A8: 76.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 13 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 64 min walk

6 primaries · 3 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

51.5 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 61% of London
→ Stable

-2% vs borough

Crime by type

Anti-social behaviour29%
Violence & sexual offences28%
Other23%
Vehicle crime11%
Drug offences3%
Theft3%
Burglary3%
Robbery0%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Sidcup Fire Station · 1.7km

Crime is 21% below London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 2 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

Price history

Sales (24 months)2
New build0.0%
Price per m²£5,298/m²
Price per ft²£492/ft²
Avg floor area111.4

EPC breakdown

C
1%
D
6%
E
4%

Based on 11 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 96%Terraced 4%

LHA rates — Outer South East London

Shared room£600/mo
1 bedroom£1050/mo
2 bedrooms£1300/mo
3 bedrooms£1550/mo
4 bedrooms£1800/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield867 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£278,500
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1930-1949
WallsCavity wall, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofPitched, 250 mm loft insulation
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band FAnnual charge £2,757
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

19952026 · CAGR

+5.4%

Total change

+409%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-0.9%

per year

Acceleration

+12.57

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £75k–£100k · P75: £500k–£600k · 25 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 25 sales

Semi-detached96%
Terraced4%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom19951997£113k£100k-11.9%1
Post-dot-com plateau20012004£231k£263k+13.9%1.2
Pre-crash peak20072007£320k£320k+0%3
GFC & correction20082011£375k£314k-16.4%1.3
Help-to-Buy recovery20142014£380k£380k+0%2
Brexit uncertainty20182018£608k£608k+0%1
Pandemic surge20202021£505k£758k+50%1
Rate-rise correction20222023£640k£670k+4.7%1.5
Current market20252026£580k£575k-0.9%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Semi-detached

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Semi-detached

+0% alpha

Semi-detached+0% α
Local
5%
District
5%

CAGR over 21yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

57out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Buyer's Market

Neutral conditions

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity75
Sales Volume53
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 3

Moderate

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
Sidcup

Nearby stations

SidcupNational Rail
10 min walk
Abbey WoodElizabeth line
71 min walk
Woolwich Arsenal DLR StationDLR
75 min walk
King George V DLR StationDLR
93 min walk
Gallions Reach DLR StationDLR
99 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

18

Walkability score

45

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge54 min
Victoria76 min
Waterloo64 min
Canary Wharf69 min
City66 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

8

Car parks (800m)

1

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park420m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock8.5 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 20.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 90% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 14.3 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB49% green spaceTree canopy: 70%
More green space than 95% of London

Nearest SSSI: Ruxley Gravel Pits SSSI — 3.5 km

Energy

Solar: 867 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,520 hrs/yr

Sunshine

608 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.5°C

Summer avg

3.2°C

Winter avg

Solar yield866.7 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

ENDOSCOPY (GPSI) DR SK ROY

19 CROOK LOG, DA6 8DZ

33 min walk

0

GPs within 1km

1

Dentists within 1km

1

Care homes (1km)

Nearest hospitalQueen Mary's Hospital · 2.5 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 15.1 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

235

Parks (1km)

9

Restaurants (800m)

3

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

1

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

4

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: The Hangar (520 m)

Nearest supermarketThe Co-operative Food · 2.0 km
1 tennis courts2 swimming pools1 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
664 licensed premises in borough268 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

644m

Post office

Nearby shops

Oval Fine Wines and Beers460 m
The Co-operative Food536 m
M&S Simply Food730 m

Nearby cafes

Café L'ecole204 m
The Chunky Teapot622 m
Caffe Nuovo732 m
Tulip Cafe880 m

Nearby restaurants

Pride of India518 m
New World523 m
Oval Fish Bar527 m
The Oval Brasserie534 m

Nearby pubs

The Hangar520 m
The Hackney Carriage621 m
Ye Olde Black Horse624 m
The Iron Horse736 m

Nearby gyms

The Hollies Countryside Club414 m
Sidcup Leisure Centre495 m

Nearby pharmacies

Olins Pharmacy451 m
Roadnight Pharmacy1.0 km
Food hygiene (5-star)81% of 48

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

33

Investment score

Weak

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Low gross yield (2.8%) makes this better for owner-occupiers than buy-to-let investors. Capital growth outlook is moderate.

Avg monthly rent
£1,350London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
2.8% (low)London avg: 3.8%Below average yield — bottom 67%
Gentrification score21/100
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+8.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

61.2

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

Low-deprivation area

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route8,628m
Crossrail 2 route17,174m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 10/10

Least deprived

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than 90% of London

Rank: 32,849 nationally

1,261

Est. population

4,037/km²

61%

Employed

41%

Degree educated

£42,500

Median income

0.7%

Claimant rate

Inner cityMedium densityOwner occupiers / families

63

Community stability

Age profile

21%
13%
19%
24%
22%
Under 1821%
18–3413%
35–4919%
50–6425%
65+22%

Tenure

50%
39%
Own outright50%
Own (mortgage)39%
Private rent9%
Social rent2%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

80%
White British80%
White Other6%
Asian8%
Black1%
Mixed4%
Other1%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional51%
Routine / semi-routine9%
No car household9%
Unemployed2%
No qualifications10%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent9%
Social rent2%

vs. London

Income vs London+1.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Listed buildings (800m)
6
Live planning apps (800m)
10
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
5
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
9
Planning apps (3 years)
9
Local approval rate
89%
Borough approval rate
75%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£100/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
39
Largest scheme
114 homes · THE HOLLIES (FORMER BOYS' HOME), THE HOLLIES (FORMER BOYS' HOME), HALFWAY STREET, DA15 9DP
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

THE HOLLIES (FORMER BOYS' HOME), THE HOLLIES (FORMER BOYS' HOME), HALFWAY STREET, DA15 9DP114 homes
completed
THE HOLLIES, THE HOLLIES, HALFWAY STREET, DA15 9DP20 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Conservative
Ward majority vote
13.8%
Election year
2026
MP
Mr Louie French (Conservative)
MP majority
3,548
Constituency
Old Bexley and Sidcup

Councillors

Brian John BishopConservative
Peter CraskeConservative
Frazer BrooksConservative

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Key facts for DA15 9DW

Full postcodeDA15 9DW
Postcode districtDA15
BoroughLondon Borough of Bexley
WardBlackfen & Lamorbey
Latitude51.440877
Longitude0.105124
Parliamentary constituencyOld Bexley and Sidcup
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
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