Falconwood & Welling · Bexley · Old Bexley and Sidcup constituency · 51.45139, 0.10975

DA15 9PNFalconwood & Welling, Bexley

Location and area intelligence for DA15 9PN, Falconwood & Welling, Bexley

The family fortress

 

Schools 100%Safety 84/100Transport 13/100Yield 4.26%

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

Compare areas

Car-dependent area — limited public transport

Liveability
55
Safety
84
Schools
60
Transport
13
Environment
91
Investment
49

The bottom line

DA15 9PN offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime and a green environment at £380,000 median — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catches: high noise levels nearby and 59 min to london bridge — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

DA15 9PN

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
HighOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London avg price-26.9% vs London avg
vs London income-10.0% vs London avg
vs London crime-25.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for DA15 9PN

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Postcode Personality

🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe

The family fortress

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How DA15 9PN has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km

Primary

Sherwood Park Primary School

Not yet inspected · 6 min walk

KS2: 103.9

Secondary

Blackfen School for Girls

Not yet inspected · Inspected Mar 2025 · 4 min walk

P8: -0.08A8: 47.6

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 10 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 49 min walk

3 primaries · 2 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

48.6 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 64% of London
→ Stable

-8% vs borough

Crime by type

Other29%
Vehicle crime21%
Violence & sexual offences21%
Drug offences12%
Anti-social behaviour9%
Theft5%
Burglary2%
Robbery0%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Sidcup Fire Station · 2.9km

Crime is 25% below London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Low transaction volumeonly 5 sales in 24 months. Price figures may not reflect the wider area. Treat with caution.

£380,000

Median sale price

27% below London median

£380,000 is 27% below the London median (£520,000)

+6.7%

This year

Terraced

Dominant type

Price history

5-year change
+13.4%
Sales (24 months)5
New build0.0%
Avg semi-detached£380,000
Avg terraced£372,500
Price per m²£5,060/m²
Price per ft²£470/ft²
Avg floor area77.1

EPC breakdown

C
2%
D
21%
E
7%

Based on 30 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Semi 33%Terraced 56%Flat 12%

LHA rates — Outer South East London

Shared room£600/mo
1 bedroom£1050/mo
2 bedrooms£1300/mo
3 bedrooms£1550/mo
4 bedrooms£1800/mo

Stamp duty

Standard buyer£6,500
First-time buyerFTB
£0
Additional propertyBTL/2nd
£17,900

England & NI rates 2025/26. Additional property rate adds 3% on each band.

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

10.1×

Price-to-income

£1,901/mo

Est. mortgage

Medium

Market activity

60d

Days to sell

Rising

Market momentum

Energy & construction

Solar yield867 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£192,750
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1930-1949
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofPitched, 100 mm loft insulation
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £1,909
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

19952026 · CAGR

+5.7%

Total change

+451%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-8.8%

per year

Acceleration

-24.45

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £125k–£150k · P75: £350k–£400k · 74 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 74 sales

Semi-detached33.8%
Terraced58.1%
Flat/maisonette8.1%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom19952000£69k£102k+47.8%2.5
Post-dot-com plateau20012004£100k£169k+68.5%4
Pre-crash peak20052007£175k£121k-30.9%3.3
GFC & correction20082012£203k£189k-6.7%2
Help-to-Buy recovery20132015£222k£260k+17.1%2.5
Brexit uncertainty20172019£324k£347k+7.1%2
Pandemic surge20212021£335k£335k+0%7
Rate-rise correction20232023£371k£371k+0%1
Current market20242026£360k£380k+5.6%2

Price Trajectory by Type

Semi-detachedTerraced

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Semi-detached

+0% alpha

Weakest performer

Terraced

+0% alpha

Semi-detached+0% α
Local
5.5%
District
5.5%
Terraced+0% α
Local
7%
District
7%

CAGR over 29yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

49out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Balanced Market

Neutral conditions

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Sales Volume15
Seasonal Timing5
Trend Position75

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
WellingVictoria· 2 tph
39 min

Nearby stations

WellingNational Rail
20 min walk
Abbey WoodElizabeth line
56 min walk
Woolwich Arsenal DLR StationDLR
64 min walk
King George V DLR StationDLR
81 min walk
Gallions Reach DLR StationDLR
87 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

7

Walkability score

23

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge59 min
Victoria78 min
Waterloo69 min
Canary Wharf71 min
City71 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

5

Car parks (800m)

1

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park188m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock8.3 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 20.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 90% of London
NoiseHIGH
road
Noisier than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 14.2 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB96% green spaceTree canopy: 13%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Oxleas Woodlands SSSI — 2.8 km

Energy

Solar: 867 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: CLAY, SILT AND SAND

Subsidence risk: Medium

Shrink-swell: Medium

Running sand risk: Low

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Elevated

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Medium

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,520 hrs/yr

Sunshine

608 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.5°C

Summer avg

3.2°C

Winter avg

Solar yield866.7 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

ENDOSCOPY (GPSI) DR SK ROY

19 CROOK LOG, DA6 8DZ

21 min walk

0

GPs within 1km

2

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalQueen Mary's Hospital · 3.7 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 13.9 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

145

Parks (1km)

1

Restaurants (800m)

0

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

0

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

6

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: The Broken Drum (454 m)

Nearest supermarketTFC (Turkish Food Centre) · 1.3 km
5 tennis courts1 swimming pools

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
664 licensed premises in borough268 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

374m

Post office

Nearby shops

The Co-operative Food796 m
Oval Fine Wines and Beers929 m

Nearby restaurants

Doan Gia403 m
Antalya618 m
Chef's Kitchen625 m
Pizza Time629 m

Nearby pubs

The Broken Drum454 m
The George Staples488 m
The Hangar838 m
The Nags Head1.2 km

Nearby pharmacies

Olins Pharmacy941 m
Food hygiene (5-star)60% of 30

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

49

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,350London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
4.3% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score20/100
Sales last 12 months3

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+8.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Medium

Market activity

60d

Est. days to sell

25/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

62.5

Price growth score

C
Medium

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

High investment qualityConfirmed 5yr price momentum

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route8,727m
Crossrail 2 route16,645m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 7/10

Less deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than average

Rank: 22,823 nationally

1,748

Est. population

8,340/km²

64%

Employed

28%

Degree educated

£37,800

Median income

3.2%

Claimant rate

SuburbanHigh densityOwner occupiers / families

60

Community stability

Age profile

26%
19%
22%
18%
15%
Under 1826%
18–3419%
35–4922%
50–6418%
65+15%

Tenure

34%
48%
Own outright34%
Own (mortgage)48%
Private rent11%
Social rent6%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

72%
White British72%
White Other7%
Asian10%
Black6%
Mixed2%
Other2%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional30%
Routine / semi-routine24%
No car household15%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications18%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent11%
Social rent6%

vs. London

Income vs London-10.0%
Price vs London-26.9%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Live planning apps (800m)
4
Development activity
medium
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
6
Planning apps (3 years)
5
Local approval rate
100%
Borough approval rate
75%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£100/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
12
Largest scheme
25 homes · LAND ADJOINING, LAND ADJOINING, CLAYWORTH CLOSE, DA15 9
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

71-72, 71-72, PARK MEAD, DA15 9PF13 homes
completed
425 & R/O 427, 425 & R/O 427, BLACKFEN ROAD, WESTERHAM DRIVE (ADJACENT TO), DA15 9NN10 homes
completed
397-401, 397-401, Blackfen Road, DA15 9NN9 homes
completed
Land to the Rear of 341 - 343, Land to the Rear of 341 - 343, Blackfen Road, Sidcup, DA15 9NJ9 homes
completed
409, Blackfen Road, DA15 9NN2 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Conservative
Ward majority vote
13.6%
Election year
2026
MP
Mr Louie French (Conservative)
MP majority
3,548
Constituency
Old Bexley and Sidcup

Councillors

Christine Margaret CatterallConservative
Dave CurtoisConservative
Barry John Ian SaundersConservative

Stamp Duty & Affordability Calculator

Stamp duty on median price (£380,000)

£6,500

Standard buyer

£0

First-time buyer

Save £6,500

Affordability check — your annual salary

£

Deposit

Affordability uses 4.5× single income and 4.75% indicative rate over 25 years. Not financial advice.

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Key facts for DA15 9PN

Full postcodeDA15 9PN
Postcode districtDA15
BoroughLondon Borough of Bexley
WardFalconwood & Welling
Latitude51.451387
Longitude0.109753
Parliamentary constituencyOld Bexley and Sidcup
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey