Northumberland Heath · Bexley · Erith and Thamesmead constituency · 51.47838, 0.15144

DA17 6LLNorthumberland Heath, Bexley

Location and area intelligence for DA17 6LL, Northumberland Heath, Bexley

The family fortress

 

Schools 100%Safety 84/100Transport 13/100~5% yield · indicativeOnly 3 sales — thin data

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

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Car-dependent area — limited public transport

Liveability
58
Safety
84
Schools
60
Transport
13
Environment
74
Investment
42

The bottom line

DA17 6LL offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and low crime — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 61 min to london bridge — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

DA17 6LL

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
MediumOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income-11.2% vs London avg
vs London crime-27.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for DA17 6LL

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Postcode Personality

🎓 School Smart🌳 Good Parks🔒 Very Safe

The family fortress

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How DA17 6LL has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km

Primary

Lessness Heath Primary School

Not yet inspected · 7 min walk

KS2: 103.0

Secondary

Trinity Church of England School, Belvedere

Not yet inspected · 14 min walk

P8: -0.48A8: 41.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 8 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 36 min walk

4 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

47.6 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 64% of London
→ Stable

-10% vs borough

Crime by type

Other43%
Violence & sexual offences30%
Vehicle crime13%
Anti-social behaviour9%
Drug offences3%
Burglary3%
Robbery1%
Theft0%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Erith Fire Station · 873m

Crime is 27% below London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 3 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

Price history

Sales (24 months)3
New build0.0%
Price per m²£4,032/m²
Price per ft²£375/ft²
Avg floor area89.4

EPC breakdown

C
1%
D
19%
E
8%

Based on 28 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 92%Terraced 6%Detached 2%

LHA rates — Outer South East London

Shared room£600/mo
1 bedroom£1050/mo
2 bedrooms£1300/mo
3 bedrooms£1550/mo
4 bedrooms£1800/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield868 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£223,500
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1930-1949
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofPitched, 250 mm loft insulation
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £1,909
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

19952026 · CAGR

+5.6%

Total change

+434%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+27.3%

per year

Acceleration

+66.16

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £300k–£350k · P75: £50k–£75k · 49 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 49 sales

Detached2%
Semi-detached91.8%
Terraced6.1%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom19952000£65k£94k+42.8%1.8
Post-dot-com plateau20012003£133k£189k+41.8%2.3
Pre-crash peak20052007£208k£212k+1.9%1.7
GFC & correction20092012£208k£208k-0.2%2
Help-to-Buy recovery20132016£234k£445k+90.4%2.5
Brexit uncertainty20172019£363k£323k-11%1
Pandemic surge20212021£423k£423k+0%2
Rate-rise correction20222022£450k£450k+0%3
Current market20242026£275k£350k+27.3%1.5

Price Trajectory by Type

Semi-detached

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Semi-detached

+0% alpha

Semi-detached+0% α
Local
5.1%
District
5.1%

CAGR over 29yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

44out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing3
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
Belvedere

Nearby stations

BelvedereNational Rail
19 min walk
Abbey WoodElizabeth line
32 min walk
Barking RiversideSuffragette
65 min walk
Woolwich Arsenal DLR StationDLR
73 min walk
Gallions Reach DLR StationDLR
81 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

12

Walkability score

87

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge61 min
Victoria78 min
Waterloo71 min
Canary Wharf63 min
City72 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

14

Car parks (800m)

2

EV chargers (800m)

Total spaces (800m)73
Nearest car park372m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock10.4 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 16.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 94% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 16.0 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB26% green spaceTree canopy: 43%
More green space than 81% of London

Nearest SSSI: Abbey Wood SSSI — 1.7 km

Energy

Solar: 868 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: CLAY, SILT AND SAND

Subsidence risk: Medium

Shrink-swell: Medium

Running sand risk: Low

Landslide records (2km): 2

Landslide susceptibility: Medium

Insurance risk

Elevated

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Medium

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,520 hrs/yr

Sunshine

608 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.5°C

Summer avg

3.2°C

Winter avg

Solar yield868.2 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

BURSTED WOOD SURGERY

219 ERITH ROAD, DA7 6HZ

18 min walk

75%

Recommend GP

75%

Overall GP experience

0

GPs within 1km

0

Dentists within 1km

2

Care homes (1km)

Nearest hospitalErith and District Hospital · 1.1 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 10.2 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

333

Parks (1km)

5

Restaurants (800m)

0

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

0

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

6

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: Royal Standard (563 m)

Nearest supermarketLidl · 2.1 km
5 tennis courts1 swimming pools

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
664 licensed premises in borough268 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

904m

Post office

Nearby cafes

Nuxley's Bistro590 m

Nearby restaurants

The Village Sandwich Shop562 m
Peri Peri & Pizza Company563 m
Morley's586 m
Village Kebab598 m

Nearby pubs

Royal Standard563 m
The Fox565 m
The Village Inn586 m
Duchess of Kent611 m
Food hygiene (5-star)65% of 43

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

42

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,350London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
4.6% (good)London avg: 3.8%Strong yield — top 24% of London
Gentrification score18/100
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+8.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

51.8

Price growth score

C
Medium

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

High investment qualityLow-deprivation area

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route11,570m
Crossrail 2 route17,478m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 8/10

Less deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than average

Rank: 25,803 nationally

1,679

Est. population

6,953/km²

60%

Employed

26%

Degree educated

£37,300

Median income

2.3%

Claimant rate

SuburbanMedium densityOwner occupiers / families

62

Community stability

Age profile

23%
17%
18%
23%
19%
Under 1823%
18–3417%
35–4918%
50–6423%
65+19%

Tenure

45%
39%
Own outright45%
Own (mortgage)39%
Private rent8%
Social rent8%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

70%
White British70%
White Other5%
Asian11%
Black8%
Mixed3%
Other3%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional32%
Routine / semi-routine22%
No car household14%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications19%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent8%
Social rent8%

vs. London

Income vs London-11.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Listed buildings (800m)
1
Live planning apps (800m)
6
Development activity
medium
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
9
Planning apps (3 years)
6
Local approval rate
56%
Borough approval rate
75%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£100/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
10
Largest scheme
267 homes · LAND AT ERITH SCHOOL (WEST SITE), LAND AT ERITH SCHOOL (WEST SITE), BROOK STREET, DA8 1JE
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

21-25, 21-25, ERITH ROAD, DA17 6HB45 homes
completed
LAND AT LESSNESS HEATH PRIMARY SCHOOL, LAND AT LESSNESS HEATH PRIMARY SCHOOL, ERITH ROAD, DA17 6HB21 homes
completed
19, Lawrence Road, DA8 1YG1 homes
completed
104, 104, Parsonage Manorway, Belvedere, DA17 6LY1 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Reform UK
Ward majority vote
20.0%
Election year
2026
MP
Ms Abena Oppong-Asare (Labour)
MP majority
2,114
Constituency
Bexleyheath and Crayford

Councillors

Sean Paul BrackstoneReform UK
Chris PurfieldReform UK

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Key facts for DA17 6LL

Full postcodeDA17 6LL
Postcode districtDA17
BoroughLondon Borough of Bexley
WardNorthumberland Heath
Latitude51.478382
Longitude0.151438
Parliamentary constituencyErith and Thamesmead
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey