Northumberland Heath · Bexley · Bexleyheath and Crayford constituency · 51.47454, 0.15450

DA8 1JBNorthumberland Heath, Bexley

Location and area intelligence for DA8 1JB, Northumberland Heath, Bexley

Under-the-radar value

 

Schools 75%Safety 86/100Transport 19/100Yield 4.56%

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

Compare areas

Car-dependent area — limited public transport

Liveability
52
Safety
86
Schools
49
Transport
19
Environment
72
Investment
44

The bottom line

DA8 1JB offers low crime and fast broadband at £355,000 median — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 61 min to london bridge — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

DA8 1JB

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
HighOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London avg price-31.7% vs London avg
vs London income-9.8% vs London avg
vs London crime-50.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for DA8 1JB

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Under-the-radar value

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How DA8 1JB has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

49

Education score

Fair for families
★ Top school within 1km

Primary

Northumberland Heath Primary School

Not yet inspected · Inspected Jul 2025 · 2 min walk

KS2: 100.6

!

Secondary

Leigh Academy Bexley

Inadequate · Inspected May 2022 · 10 min walk

P8: -0.91A8: 33.1

75% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 11 schools within 1.5km

Below London average

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 40 min walk

6 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

32.8 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 77% of London
→ Stable

-38% vs borough

Crime by type

Anti-social behaviour22%
Drug offences22%
Other18%
Violence & sexual offences16%
Burglary11%
Vehicle crime9%
Robbery2%
Theft0%

Road safety

99

Road safety score

1

Accidents (5yr)

LOW pedestrian risk1 pedestrian casualties (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

1

Incidents (1yr)

5

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Erith Fire Station · 1.2km

Crime is 50% below London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Low transaction volumeonly 5 sales in 24 months. Price figures may not reflect the wider area. Treat with caution.

£355,000

Median sale price

Bottom 25% — 32% below London median

£355,000 is 32% below the London median (£520,000)

+18.9%

This year

Terraced

Dominant type

Price history

5-year change
-2.7%
Sales (24 months)5
New build0.0%
Avg semi-detached£370,000
Avg terraced£355,000
Avg flat£290,000
Price per m²£4,817/m²
Price per ft²£447/ft²
Avg floor area74.5

EPC breakdown

C
15%
D
20%
E
1%

Based on 36 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Semi 40%Terraced 45%Detached 9%Flat 5%

LHA rates — Outer South East London

Shared room£600/mo
1 bedroom£1050/mo
2 bedrooms£1300/mo
3 bedrooms£1550/mo
4 bedrooms£1800/mo

Stamp duty

Standard buyer£5,250
First-time buyerFTB
£0
Additional propertyBTL/2nd
£15,900

England & NI rates 2025/26. Additional property rate adds 3% on each band.

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

9.4×

Price-to-income

£1,776/mo

Est. mortgage

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Rising

Market momentum

Energy & construction

Solar yield868 kWh/kWp/yr
Heat pump suitableYes
EPC upgrade costMedium
Rebuild cost estimate£186,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1996-2002
WallsCavity wall, as built, insulated (assumed)
RoofPitched, 100 mm loft insulation
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £1,909
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

19962026 · CAGR

+5.5%

Total change

+400%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+18.9%

per year

Acceleration

+13.21

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £175k–£200k · P75: £250k–£300k · 116 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 116 sales

Detached9.5%
Semi-detached40.5%
Terraced44.8%
Flat/maisonette5.2%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom19962000£88k£118k+34.4%8.4
Post-dot-com plateau20012004£133k£153k+15%4.5
Pre-crash peak20052007£210k£220k+4.8%3.7
GFC & correction20082012£237k£200k-15.8%2
Help-to-Buy recovery20132016£238k£252k+6.1%2.8
Brexit uncertainty20172019£286k£333k+16.4%2
Pandemic surge20202021£415k£365k-12%3.5
Rate-rise correction20222023£466k£395k-15.3%2.5
Current market20242026£350k£440k+25.7%2

Price Trajectory by Type

DetachedSemi-detachedTerraced

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Semi-detached

+-0.4% alpha

Weakest performer

Detached

-4.1% alpha

Semi-detached-0.4% α
Local
7.1%
District
7.5%
Terraced-1.6% α
Local
5.1%
District
6.7%
Detached-4.1% α
Local
9.7%
District
13.8%

CAGR over 26yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

30out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing4
Trend Position40

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
BarnehurstVictoria· 2 tph
46 min

Nearby stations

BarnehurstNational Rail
14 min walk
Abbey WoodElizabeth line
37 min walk
Barking RiversideSuffragette
71 min walk
Woolwich Arsenal DLR StationDLR
77 min walk
Gallions Reach DLR StationDLR
86 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

6

Walkability score

32

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge61 min
Victoria78 min
Waterloo71 min
Canary Wharf63 min
City72 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

2

Car parks (800m)

6

EV chargers (800m)

1

Fast chargers (800m)

Nearest car park89m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock10.7 km

Connectivity

Broadband and mobile coverage

100%

Full fibre

100%

Gigabit

100%

5G outdoor

100%

4G outdoor

Mobile operators

EEO2VodafoneThree
Avg download speed500 Mbps
Median download450 Mbps
Superfast coverage100%
All operators 5G82%

Broadband providers

BTSkyTalkTalkVodafoneVirgin Media

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 16.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 94% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 16.3 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB17% green spaceTree canopy: 13%
Above average green space

Nearest SSSI: Abbey Wood SSSI — 2.1 km

Energy

Solar: 868 kWh/kWp/yrHeat pump: SuitableEPC upgrade: Medium

Ground stability

Geology: CLAY, SILT AND SAND

Subsidence risk: Medium

Shrink-swell: Medium

Running sand risk: Low

Landslide records (2km): 2

Landslide susceptibility: Medium

Insurance risk

Elevated

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Medium

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,520 hrs/yr

Sunshine

608 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.5°C

Summer avg

3.2°C

Winter avg

Solar yield868.2 kWh/kWp/yr
Heat pump suitableYes
EPC upgrade costMedium

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

BURSTED WOOD SURGERY

219 ERITH ROAD, DA7 6HZ

12 min walk

75%

Recommend GP

75%

Overall GP experience

5

GPs within 1km

4

Dentists within 1km

3

Care homes (1km)

Nearest hospitalErith and District Hospital · 894 m
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 10.6 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

107

Parks (1km)

0

Restaurants (800m)

0

Cafes (800m)

1

Pubs (400m)

0

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

5

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

No restaurants within 800m — nearest: Jade's Garden (550 m)

Nearest supermarketSainsbury's · 2.1 km
4 tennis courts1 swimming pools

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

1

Late-night venues

E
664 licensed premises in borough268 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

540m

Post office

Nearby cafes

Munchies Cafe557 m
The Hatch1.1 km

Nearby restaurants

Jade's Garden550 m
Joe's Fish557 m
Bexley Fried Chicken590 m
Pizza Hut Delivery592 m

Nearby pubs

Duchess of Kent206 m
Brewers Arms477 m
Royal Oak549 m
The Duke569 m
Food hygiene (5-star)80% of 25

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
1
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
1
3yr survival rate
100.0%

High street

E

High street health

Registered businesses

JK DRYLING LTD

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

44

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,350London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
4.6% (good)London avg: 3.8%Strong yield — top 24% of London
Gentrification score16/100
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+8.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

52.1

Price growth score

C
Medium

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

High investment qualityLow-deprivation area

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route11,737m
Crossrail 2 route17,857m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 8/10

Less deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than average

Rank: 24,368 nationally

1,373

Est. population

7,648/km²

64%

Employed

25%

Degree educated

£37,900

Median income

1.4%

Claimant rate

SuburbanHigh densityOwner occupiers / families

61

Community stability

Age profile

24%
18%
19%
23%
16%
Under 1824%
18–3418%
35–4919%
50–6423%
65+16%

Tenure

42%
41%
Own outright42%
Own (mortgage)41%
Private rent9%
Social rent7%
Shared ownership1%

Ethnicity

72%
White British72%
White Other4%
Asian11%
Black7%
Mixed4%
Other2%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional31%
Routine / semi-routine21%
No car household16%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications20%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent9%
Social rent7%

vs. London

Income vs London-9.8%
Price vs London-31.7%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Live planning apps (800m)
7
Development activity
medium
Residential apps (800m)
1
Commercial apps (800m)
2
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
7
Planning apps (3 years)
8
Local approval rate
86%
Borough approval rate
75%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£100/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
11
Largest scheme
267 homes · LAND AT ERITH SCHOOL (WEST SITE), LAND AT ERITH SCHOOL (WEST SITE), BROOK STREET, DA8 1JE
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

LAND AT ERITH SCHOOL (WEST SITE), LAND AT ERITH SCHOOL (WEST SITE), BROOK STREET, DA8 1JE267 homes
completed
NORTHUMBERLAND HEATH PRIMARY SCHOOL, NORTHUMBERLAND HEATH PRIMARY SCHOOL, BROOK STREET, DA8 1JE25 homes
completed
ERITH SCHOOL (WEST SITE), SITES C & D, ERITH SCHOOL (WEST SITE), SITES C & D, BROOK STREET, DA8 1JE21 homes
completed
The Pheasant PH, 27, The Pheasant PH, 27, Belmont Road, Erith, DA8 1JY9 homes
completed
38-40, 38-40, Belmont Road, Erith, DA8 1LB6 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Reform UK
Ward majority vote
20.0%
Election year
2026
MP
Daniel Francis (Labour)
MP majority
2,114
Constituency
Bexleyheath and Crayford

Councillors

Sean Paul BrackstoneReform UK
Chris PurfieldReform UK

Stamp Duty & Affordability Calculator

Stamp duty on median price (£355,000)

£5,250

Standard buyer

£0

First-time buyer

Save £5,250

Affordability check — your annual salary

£

Deposit

Affordability uses 4.5× single income and 4.75% indicative rate over 25 years. Not financial advice.

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Key facts for DA8 1JB

Full postcodeDA8 1JB
Postcode districtDA8
BoroughLondon Borough of Bexley
WardNorthumberland Heath
Latitude51.474540
Longitude0.154497
Parliamentary constituencyBexleyheath and Crayford
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey