Vincent Square · Westminster · Cities of London and Westminster constituency · 51.49251, -0.13084

SW1P 4BF— Vincent Square, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for SW1P 4BF, Vincent Square, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Top 10% LondonSchools 80%Safety 71/100Transport 69/100~6% yield · indicativeOnly 1 sales — thin data

Best for: Families, Young professionals

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Investment-grade — strong yield and growth signals

Liveability
73
Safety
71
Schools
100
Transport
69
Environment
53
Investment
66

The bottom line

SW1P 4BF offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and low crime — a strong choice for Families and Young professionals.

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Location

SW1P 4BF

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
HighYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: PositiveRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+7.1% vs London avg
vs London crime+35.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for SW1P 4BF

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🚇 Hyper-Connected🎓 School Smart🔒 Very Safe🍕 Buzzing

“High-connectivity investment target”

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How SW1P 4BF has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

100

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

Millbank Gardens Primary Academy

Not yet inspected · 2 min walk

★★★

Secondary

The Grey Coat Hospital

Outstanding · Inspected Oct 2022 · 6 min walk

P8: +1.04A8: 66.6

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 19 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Tachbrook Nursery School

Not inspected · 8 min walk

6 primaries · 3 secondaries · 1 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

87.8 incidents per 1,000 residents

Higher crime than 66% of London
↑ Rising 345.8%

-80% vs borough

Note: this postcode is in the Central Activities Zone — London's business and visitor core. Crime is counted per resident, but the daytime and visitor population here is many times the resident count, so these figures reflect footfall, not residential risk.

Crime by type

Other35%
Anti-social behaviour20%
Theft16%
Violence & sexual offences16%
Drug offences7%
Robbery3%
Vehicle crime3%
Burglary1%

Stop & search

1.6

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

1

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Lambeth River Fire Station · 600m

Crime is +35% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 1 sale recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

Price history

Sales (24 months)1
New build0.0%
Price per m²£6,574/m²
Price per ft²£611/ft²
Avg floor area79.8 m²

EPC breakdown

B
12%
C
38%
D
4%

Based on 54 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Flat 100%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield856 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£199,500
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era2003-2006
WallsCavity wall, as built, insulated (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelelectricity (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band FAnnual charge £1,309
Price growth potentialHigh

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

2002–2024 · CAGR

+-0.3%

Total change

-5%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-57.9%

per year

Acceleration

-97.44

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £300k–£350k · P75: £600k–£700k · 106 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 106 sales

Flat/maisonette100%

By decade

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Post-dot-com plateau2002–2004£550k£600k+9.1%20
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£473k£460k-2.6%4.3
GFC & correction2008–2012£700k£360k-48.6%2.8
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2016£1.18m£1.59m+35.2%3
Brexit uncertainty2017–2018£955k£1.68m+75.9%2
Pandemic surge2020–2021£825k£885k+7.3%3
Rate-rise correction2023–2023£1.24m£1.24m+0%2
Current market2024–2024£520k£520k+0%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+0% alpha

Flat/maisonette+0% α
Local
3.9%
District
3.9%

CAGR over 21yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

74out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Buyer's Market

Favours buyers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing19
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Better than 80% of London
Pimlico Underground StationVictoria line
5.2 min walk
Vauxhall

Nearby stations

Pimlico Underground StationVictoria
5 min walk
St. James's Park Underground StationDistrict · Circle
10 min walk
Vauxhall Underground StationVictoria
11 min walk
VauxhallNational Rail
11 min walk
Victoria Underground StationDistrict · Circle
12 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

74

Walkability score

759

Footpaths (500m)

34

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

London Bridge24 min ↓
Victoria ★12 min
Waterloo16 min ↓
Canary Wharf34 min ↓
City32 min ↓

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

7

Car parks (800m)

2

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park172m
Santander docks (800m)34
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Tothill Street Coach Bays
799m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 31.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 10.0 µg/m³
Better than 73% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCongestion charge zone✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB12% green spaceTree canopy: 70%
Above average green space

Nearest SSSI: Hampstead Heath Woods SSSI — 8.9 km

Energy

Solar: 856 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: CLAY, SILT AND SAND

Subsidence risk: Medium

Shrink-swell: Medium

Running sand risk: Low

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Elevated

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Medium

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield856.1 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

NHS PRACTITIONER HEALTH PROGRAMME

RIVERSIDE MC, HOBART HSE, ST GEORGE WHARF, WANDSWORTH ROAD, SW8 2JB

11 min walk

2

GPs within 1km

14

Dentists within 1km

3

Care homes (1km)

Nearest hospitalVincent Square Clinic · 282 m
Nearest A&EGUY'S AND ST THOMAS' NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 1.0 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%63.7%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

106

Parks (1km)

54

Restaurants (800m)

39

Cafes (800m)

5

Pubs (400m)

4

Pharmacies (800m)

4

Gyms (1km)

16

Sports (1km)

9

Convenience

Nearest supermarketCostcutter · 270 m
6 tennis courts6 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

5

Late-night venues

C
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

4

Libraries (1km)

6

Cinemas (2km)

704m

Post office

Nearby shops

Horseferry Road Convenience Store245 m
Aryubi Super Market247 m
Sainsbury's Local248 m
Regency Off Licence260 m

Nearby cafes

Regency Cafe188 m
Ravello245 m
Chelsea Café264 m
Djanogly Café308 m

Nearby restaurants

LEON255 m
Pret A Manger262 m
Astral Café265 m
Milbank Spice276 m

Nearby pubs

The Royal Oak223 m
The Loose Box247 m
The White Horse and Bower280 m
The Barley Mow291 m

Nearby gyms

Westminster School Sports Centre346 m
Bannatynes Gym586 m
Gymbox Victoria653 m
Queen Mother Sports Centre676 m

Nearby pharmacies

Victoria Pharmacy301 m
Portman Pharmacy427 m
Star Pharmacy534 m
Clinichem Pharmacy555 m

Nearby health

Millbank Dental Care269 m
Pimlico Dental Care276 m
Vincent Square Clinic282 m
Millbank Medical Centre329 m
Food hygiene (5-star)57% of 200

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

66

Investment score

Good

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
6.0% (high)London avg: 3.8%Strong yield — top 10% of London
Gentrification score37/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44
Sales last 12 months0

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

4/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

73.2

Price growth score

B
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumHigh investment qualityExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score46/100
Bakerloo Extension route2,159m
Crossrail 2 route968m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 6/10

Around average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Average deprivation level

Rank: 19,208 nationally

1,218

Est. population

13,574/km²

64%

Employed

58%

Degree educated

£45,000

Median income

3.5%

Claimant rate

Urban coreHigh densityYoung professionals

34

Community stability

Age profile

17%
32%
21%
20%
Under 1817%
18–3433%
35–4921%
50–6420%
65+10%

Tenure

14%
31%
41%
Own outright14%
Own (mortgage)11%
Private rent31%
Social rent41%
Shared ownership3%
Rent free0%

Ethnicity

34%
31%
White British34%
White Other31%
Asian11%
Black7%
Mixed11%
Other6%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional45%
Routine / semi-routine14%
No car household64%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications10%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Social rent41%
Private rent31%

vs. London

Income vs London+7.1%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
230
Live planning apps (800m)
31
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
1
Commercial apps (800m)
3
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
41
Planning apps (3 years)
28
Local approval rate
90%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
Central activities zone
Yes
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
31
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
9
Largest scheme
275 homes · Abell House & Cleland House, Abell House & Cleland House, John Islip Street, SW1P 4LH
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

Abell House & Cleland House, Abell House & Cleland House, John Islip Street, SW1P 4LH275 homes
completed
FORMER BRITISH GAS SITE, FORMER BRITISH GAS SITE, VINCENT STREET, SW1204 homes
completed
WESTMINSTER HOSPITAL, WESTMINSTER HOSPITAL, HORSEFERRY ROAD, MARSHAM STREET, SW1186 homes
completed
Former Westminster Hospital, Former Westminster Hospital, Page Street, SW1P 4LR185 homes
completed
FORMER HOSPITAL, EAST OF ST JOHNS GARDEN, FORMER HOSPITAL, EAST OF ST JOHNS GARDEN, DEAN RYLE STREET, SW1P 4LR176 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Conservative
Ward majority vote
16.2%
Ward turnout
40%
Election year
2026
MP
Rachel Blake (Labour (Co-op))
MP majority
2,708
Constituency
Cities of London and Westminster

Councillors

David John HarveyConservative
Selina Ann ShortConservative
Ben Christopher SewellConservative

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Key facts for SW1P 4BF

Full postcodeSW1P 4BF
Postcode districtSW1P
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardVincent Square
Latitude51.492511
Longitude-0.130841
Parliamentary constituencyCities of London and Westminster
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey