Northolt Mandeville · Ealing · Ealing North constituency · 51.55250, -0.37188

UB5 4AF— Northolt Mandeville, Ealing

Location and area intelligence for UB5 4AF, Northolt Mandeville, Ealing

 

Schools 100%Safety 73/100Transport 27/100~5% yield · indicativeOnly 1 sales — thin data⚠ Knotweed sites nearby

Best for: Families

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Strong schools, limited transport — ideal for car-owning families

Liveability
49
Safety
73
Schools
90
Transport
27
Environment
47
Investment
51

The bottom line

UB5 4AF offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime and fast broadband — strong value for Families who can accept its trade-offs.

The catches: 64 min to city — above average for this zone and 1 Japanese knotweed site within 400m — may affect mortgage applications.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

UB5 4AF

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
HighEstablished mixed
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income-10.2% vs London avg
vs London crime+19.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for UB5 4AF

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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How UB5 4AF has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
★★

Primary

Earlsmead Primary School

Good · Inspected Feb 2020 · 8 min walk

KS2: 105.7

—

Secondary

Islip Manor High School

Not yet inspected · 4 min walk

P8: -0.21A8: 39.3

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 7 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Hillview Nursery School

Not inspected · 30 min walk

3 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

77.0 incidents per 1,000 residents

Higher crime than 59% of London
↑ Rising 409.1%

+5% vs borough

Crime by type

Violence & sexual offences38%
Other23%
Anti-social behaviour18%
Vehicle crime9%
Robbery4%
Drug offences3%
Theft3%
Burglary3%

Stop & search

0.5

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Northolt Fire Station (G31) · 887m

Crime is +19% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 1 sale recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

UB5 district median

£350,000

Based on 97 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)1
New build0.0%
Price per m²£4,688/m²
Price per ft²£435/ft²
Avg floor area61.3 m²

EPC breakdown

C
10%
D
8%
E
1%
F
1%

Based on 20 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Flat 100%

LHA rates — Outer West London

Shared room£576/mo
1 bedroom£1000/mo
2 bedrooms£1300/mo
3 bedrooms£1475/mo
4 bedrooms£1800/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Heat pump suitableYes
EPC upgrade costMedium
Rebuild cost estimate£153,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1950-1966
WallsCavity wall, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £1,955
Price growth potentialLow

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1999–2024 · CAGR

+6.7%

Total change

+404%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+0.9%

per year

Acceleration

+1.20

change in velocity

Market State

Recovery

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £50k–£75k · P75: £250k–£300k · 20 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 20 sales

Flat/maisonette100%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1999–2000£58k£87k+49.1%1.5
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£85k£154k+80.6%2
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£152k£169k+11.2%1.3
GFC & correction2011–2012£159k£190k+19.5%1
Help-to-Buy recovery2014–2014£185k£185k+0%1
Pandemic surge2020–2020£291k£291k+0%2
Rate-rise correction2023–2023£290k£290k+0%1
Current market2024–2024£293k£293k+0%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+1.4% alpha

Flat/maisonette+1.4% α
Local
8%
District
6.6%

CAGR over 21yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

63out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Buyer's Market

Neutral conditions

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity40
Sales Volume75
Trend Position75

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
Northolt Underground StationCentral line
5.9 min walk
Northolt Park

Nearby stations

Northolt Underground StationCentral
7 min walk
Northolt ParkNational Rail
13 min walk
South Harrow Underground StationPiccadilly
24 min walk
South Ruislip Underground StationCentral
24 min walk
Greenford Underground StationCentral
26 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

19

Walkability score

24

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge68 min ↑
Victoria65 min ↑
Waterloo70 min ↑
Canary Wharf77 min ↑
City ★64 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

7

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Total spaces (800m)22
Nearest car park152m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock10.2 km

Connectivity

Broadband and mobile coverage

100%

Full fibre

100%

Gigabit

100%

5G outdoor

100%

4G outdoor

Mobile operators

EEO2VodafoneThree
Avg download speed500 Mbps
Median download450 Mbps
Superfast coverage100%
All operators 5G95%

Broadband providers

BTSkyTalkTalkVodafoneVirgin Media

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterLOW
Low
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 38.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 16.0 µg/m³
Better than 55% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 14.7 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB18% green spaceTree canopy: 70%
Above average green space

Nearest SSSI: Harrow Weald SSSI — 8.1 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yrHeat pump: SuitableEPC upgrade: Medium

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,570 hrs/yr

Sunshine

577 mm/yr

Rainfall

23.3°C

Summer avg

2.9°C

Winter avg

Solar yield853.4 kWh/kWp/yr
Heat pump suitableYes
EPC upgrade costMedium

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE MEDICAL CENTRE

45 DONCASTER DRIVE, UB5 4AT

3 min walk

59%

Recommend GP

59%

Overall GP experience

5

GPs within 1km

4

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalCygnet Hospital · 2.9 km
Nearest A&ELONDON NORTH WEST UNIVERSITY HEALTHCARE NHS TRUST · 4.3 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.2%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

23

Parks (1km)

5

Restaurants (800m)

2

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

0

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

1

Sports (1km)

1

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: The Crown (878 m)

Nearest supermarketCo-op Food · 904 m
1 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
1,284 licensed premises in borough456 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

1

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

952m

Post office

Nearby shops

Sweet Express545 m
The Village Superstore700 m
Sainsbury's Local712 m
The Grapevine717 m

Nearby cafes

Pierogarnia658 m
Take a Break680 m
Eat Well Cafe949 m
Chef's Treat1.1 km

Nearby restaurants

The Mandeville Arms571 m
Subway662 m
Oriental Chef689 m
Krispy Cod & Chips694 m

Nearby pubs

The Crown878 m
The Horseshoe Bar1.1 km

Nearby gyms

Northolt Leisure Centre476 m
Larkspur Rovers FC735 m

Nearby pharmacies

Kings Pharmacy1.0 km

Nearby health

The Grove Medical Practice791 m
Simpson House Medical Centre1.0 km
Abbey Dental South Harrow;Abbey Dental Practice1.0 km
Food hygiene (5-star)49% of 33

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
2
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
2
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
226

High street

E

High street health

Registered businesses

AL BADER INTERNATIONAL TRADE LTD
VU032 LIMITED

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

51

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,569London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
5.4% (good)London avg: 3.8%Strong yield — top 16% of London
Gentrification score14/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Above average for outer London — neighbourhood in transition226
Sales last 12 months0

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed / transient

Tenant profile

+8.2%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

4/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

41

Price growth score

D
Medium

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

High investment quality

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route19,879m
Crossrail 2 route16,775m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 3/10

More deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

More deprived than average

Rank: 8,080 nationally

2,181

Est. population

7,715/km²

60%

Employed

37%

Degree educated

£37,700

Median income

6.6%

Claimant rate

SuburbanHigh densityEstablished mixed

41

Community stability

Age profile

29%
21%
24%
16%
Under 1829%
18–3421%
35–4924%
50–6416%
65+10%

Tenure

16%
29%
30%
22%
Own outright16%
Own (mortgage)29%
Private rent30%
Social rent22%
Shared ownership2%
Rent free0%

Ethnicity

19%
19%
29%
16%
White British19%
White Other19%
Asian29%
Black16%
Mixed6%
Other11%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional24%
Routine / semi-routine23%
No car household26%
Unemployed5%
No qualifications20%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent30%
Social rent22%

vs. London

Income vs London-10.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Live planning apps (800m)
8
Development activity
medium
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
1
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
1
Planning apps (3 years)
9
Local approval rate
100%
Borough approval rate
24%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£120/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
1

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
161
Largest scheme
149 homes · Land At Dabb's Hill, Huntingdon Close, Northolt, UB5 4AX
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

Land At Dabb's Hill, Huntingdon Close, Northolt, UB5 4AX149 homes
completed
Northolt Mandeville (Former Mandeville School), Northolt Mandeville (Former Mandeville School), Eastcote Lane North43 homes
completed
Eastcote Lane North, West of Northolt Swimarama, Eastcote Lane36 homes
completed
Highway Adjacent To Northolt High School, Northolt High School, Eastcote Lane, Northolt, UB5 4HS27 homes
completed
Garages rear of 62-68, Garages rear of 62-68, Dabbs Hill Lane, Northolt, UB5 4DA10 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
14.7%
Election year
2026
MP
James Murray (Labour (Co-op))
MP majority
12,519
Constituency
Ealing North

Councillors

Andrew BaileyLabour
Miriam Edna RiceLabour
Dominic MoffittLabour

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Key facts for UB5 4AF

Full postcodeUB5 4AF
Postcode districtUB5
BoroughLondon Borough of Ealing
WardNortholt Mandeville
Latitude51.552504
Longitude-0.371879
Parliamentary constituencyEaling North
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey