Northolt Mandeville · Ealing · Ealing North constituency · 51.54669, -0.37180

UB5 5RF— Northolt Mandeville, Ealing

Location and area intelligence for UB5 5RF, Northolt Mandeville, Ealing

High-connectivity investment target

 

Schools 100%Safety 69/100Transport 39/100~5% yield · indicativeOnly 1 sales — thin data

Best for: Families

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Strong schools, limited transport — ideal for car-owning families

Liveability
53
Safety
69
Schools
90
Transport
39
Environment
49
Investment
59

The bottom line

UB5 5RF offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime and fast broadband — strong value for Families who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 55 min to victoria — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

UB5 5RF

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Inner city
HighEstablished mixed
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+9.3% vs London avg
vs London crime+58.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for UB5 5RF

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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“High-connectivity investment target”

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How UB5 5RF has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
★★

Primary

Willow Tree Primary School

Good · Inspected Jul 2023 · 8 min walk

KS2: 104.5

—

Secondary

Islip Manor High School

Not yet inspected · 9 min walk

P8: -0.21A8: 39.3

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 8 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Hillview Nursery School

Not inspected · 36 min walk

1 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

102.7 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 567.7%

+40% vs borough

Crime by type

Other24%
Violence & sexual offences23%
Anti-social behaviour17%
Theft11%
Drug offences8%
Vehicle crime8%
Burglary5%
Robbery4%

Stop & search

0.5

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

8

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

1

Incidents (1yr)

2

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Northolt Fire Station (G31) · 1.2km

Crime is +58% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 1 sale recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

UB5 district median

£350,000

Based on 97 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)1
New build0.0%
Price per m²£7,649/m²
Price per ft²£711/ft²
Avg floor area83.3 m²

EPC breakdown

C
6%
D
7%
E
3%

Based on 16 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 100%

LHA rates — Outer West London

Shared room£576/mo
1 bedroom£1000/mo
2 bedrooms£1300/mo
3 bedrooms£1475/mo
4 bedrooms£1800/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield857 kWh/kWp/yr
Heat pump suitableYes
EPC upgrade costMedium
Rebuild cost estimate£208,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1930-1949
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofFlat, insulated (assumed)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £1,955
Price growth potentialLow

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1996–2025 · CAGR

+7.4%

Total change

+699%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+43.2%

per year

Acceleration

+60.37

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £350k–£400k · P75: £100k–£125k · 28 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 28 sales

Semi-detached100%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1996–2000£80k£120k+49.5%1.8
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£158k£235k+48.7%1.8
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£218k£295k+35.6%1.7
GFC & correction2008–2009£307k£270k-12.1%1
Help-to-Buy recovery2014–2016£410k£555k+35.4%1.5
Rate-rise correction2022–2022£540k£540k+0%2
Current market2024–2025£448k£641k+43.2%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Semi-detached

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Semi-detached

+-0.1% alpha

Semi-detached-0.1% α
Local
7.6%
District
7.7%

CAGR over 26yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

13out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position40

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 3

Moderate

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Below London average
Northolt StationCentral line
3.1 min walk
Northolt Park

Nearby stations

Northolt Underground StationCentral
3 min walk
Northolt ParkNational Rail
19 min walk
Greenford Underground StationCentral
23 min walk
South Ruislip Underground StationCentral
27 min walk
South Harrow Underground StationPiccadilly
30 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

45

Walkability score

89

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge58 min ↑
Victoria ★55 min
Waterloo60 min ↑
Canary Wharf68 min ↑
City55 min ↑

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

8

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Total spaces (800m)55
Nearest car park321m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock10.0 km

Connectivity

Broadband and mobile coverage

100%

Full fibre

100%

Gigabit

100%

5G outdoor

100%

4G outdoor

Mobile operators

EEO2VodafoneThree
Avg download speed500 Mbps
Median download450 Mbps
Superfast coverage100%
All operators 5G95%

Broadband providers

BTSkyTalkTalkVodafoneVirgin Media

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 38.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 16.0 µg/m³
Better than 55% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 14.6 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB26% green spaceTree canopy: 34%
More green space than 81% of London

Nearest SSSI: Ruislip Woods SSSI — 6.8 km

Energy

Solar: 857 kWh/kWp/yrHeat pump: SuitableEPC upgrade: Medium

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,570 hrs/yr

Sunshine

577 mm/yr

Rainfall

23.3°C

Summer avg

2.9°C

Winter avg

Solar yield857.4 kWh/kWp/yr
Heat pump suitableYes
EPC upgrade costMedium

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

ISLIP MANOR MEDICAL CENTRE

45 EASTCOTE LANE, UB5 5RG

1 min walk

67%

Recommend GP

67%

Overall GP experience

4

GPs within 1km

5

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalCygnet Hospital · 3.3 km
Nearest A&ELONDON NORTH WEST UNIVERSITY HEALTHCARE NHS TRUST · 4.7 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.2%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

31

Parks (1km)

7

Restaurants (800m)

2

Cafes (800m)

1

Pubs (400m)

0

Pharmacies (800m)

1

Gyms (1km)

2

Sports (1km)

4

Convenience

Nearest supermarketCo-op Food · 288 m
1 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

1

Late-night venues

E
1,284 licensed premises in borough456 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

1

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

1.6km

Post office

Nearby shops

Sainsbury's Local128 m
Wenzel's187 m
The Grapevine196 m
The Village Superstore198 m

Nearby cafes

Take a Break202 m
Pierogarnia210 m
San Remo Café765 m

Nearby restaurants

Raj Mahal197 m
Krispy Cod & Chips199 m
Oriental Chef200 m
Subway209 m

Nearby pubs

The Crown241 m

Nearby gyms

Northolt Leisure Centre358 m
PureGym623 m
Food hygiene (5-star)50% of 52

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
5
New (last 12 months)
1
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
4
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
226

High street

A

High street health

Registered businesses

BSP PROPERTY INVESTMENTS LTD
DS CREATIVE PROPERTIES LTD
JJ SINGH ESTATES LIMITED
LODEVO LTD
SYMPHONY OF COLORS LTD

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

59

Investment score

Good

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,569London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
5.4% (good)London avg: 3.8%Strong yield — top 16% of London
Gentrification score14/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Above average for outer London — neighbourhood in transition226
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

High

Demand

Low

Void risk

Mixed / transient

Tenant profile

+8.2%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

34.9

Price growth score

D
High

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route19,679m
Crossrail 2 route16,638m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 3/10

More deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

More deprived than average

Rank: 7,494 nationally

2,015

Est. population

9,052/km²

58%

Employed

40%

Degree educated

£45,900

Median income

7.0%

Claimant rate

Inner cityHigh densityEstablished mixed

35

Community stability

Age profile

27%
22%
25%
16%
Under 1827%
18–3422%
35–4925%
50–6416%
65+11%

Tenure

23%
24%
46%
Own outright23%
Own (mortgage)24%
Private rent46%
Social rent7%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

20%
17%
32%
16%
White British20%
White Other17%
Asian32%
Black16%
Mixed5%
Other11%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional29%
Routine / semi-routine22%
No car household33%
Unemployed7%
No qualifications21%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent46%
Social rent7%

vs. London

Income vs London+9.3%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Listed buildings (800m)
1
Live planning apps (800m)
13
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
1
Commercial apps (800m)
1
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
2
Planning apps (3 years)
15
Local approval rate
100%
Borough approval rate
24%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£120/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
156
Largest scheme
149 homes · Land At Dabb's Hill, Huntingdon Close, Northolt, UB5 4AX
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

Northolt Mandeville (Former Mandeville School), Northolt Mandeville (Former Mandeville School), Eastcote Lane North43 homes
completed
Eastcote Lane North, West of Northolt Swimarama, Eastcote Lane36 homes
completed
The Plough Inn, The Plough Inn, Mandeville Road, Northolt, UB5 5HG18 homes
completed
Peel House 32-34, Peel House 32-34, Church Road, Northolt, UB5 5AB12 homes
completed
190 -192, 190 -192, CHURCH ROAD, UB5 5AE11 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
14.7%
Election year
2026
MP
James Murray (Labour (Co-op))
MP majority
12,519
Constituency
Ealing North

Councillors

Andrew BaileyLabour
Miriam Edna RiceLabour
Dominic MoffittLabour

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Key facts for UB5 5RF

Full postcodeUB5 5RF
Postcode districtUB5
BoroughLondon Borough of Ealing
WardNortholt Mandeville
Latitude51.546685
Longitude-0.371798
Parliamentary constituencyEaling North
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey