Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Cities of London and Westminster constituency · 51.51353, -0.18140

W2 3AF— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3AF, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Top 5% LondonSchools 100%Safety 73/100Transport 62/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 1 sales — thin data

Best for: Families

Compare areas

Balanced area — no standout strengths or weaknesses

Liveability
78
Safety
73
Schools
60
Transport
62
Environment
80
Investment
50

The bottom line

W2 3AF offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime and a green environment — a strong choice for Families.

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Location

W2 3AF

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Inner city
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+20.2% vs London avg
vs London crime+15.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3AF

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🚇 Well-Connected🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe🍕 Buzzing

“High-connectivity investment target”

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How W2 3AF has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

St James & St John Church of England Primary School

Not yet inspected · 2 min walk

KS2: 108.0

—

Secondary

Marylebone Boys' School

Not yet inspected · 8 min walk

P8: +0.17A8: 52.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 16 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

★★★

Childcare

Portman Early Childhood Centre

Outstanding · 20 min walk

2 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

74.8 incidents per 1,000 residents

Higher crime than 57% of London
↑ Rising 2675.0%

-83% vs borough

Crime by type

Other38%
Vehicle crime15%
Violence & sexual offences15%
Anti-social behaviour14%
Burglary9%
Theft5%
Drug offences3%
Robbery2%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 745m

Crime is +15% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 1 sale recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

W2 district median

£817,500

Based on 232 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)1
New build0.0%
Price per m²£10,588/m²
Price per ft²£984/ft²
Avg floor area62.1 m²

EPC breakdown

B
1%
C
20%
D
21%
E
7%
F
3%

Based on 52 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Terraced 5%Flat 94%Other 1%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£155,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction erabefore 1900
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingSingle glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialHigh

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1995–2025 · CAGR

+5.2%

Total change

+353%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+26.6%

per year

Acceleration

+66.50

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £100k–£125k · P75: £350k–£400k · 84 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 84 sales

Terraced4.8%
Flat/maisonette95.2%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1995–2000£145k£485k+234.5%2.5
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£285k£245k-14%5.5
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£321k£570k+77.8%5
GFC & correction2009–2012£485k£775k+59.8%2
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2015£607k£5.60m+822.6%3.7
Brexit uncertainty2018–2019£618k£2.25m+264.4%2.5
Pandemic surge2020–2021£838k£985k+17.6%2
Rate-rise correction2023–2023£865k£865k+0%2
Current market2024–2025£520k£658k+26.6%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+0.6% alpha

Flat/maisonette+0.6% α
Local
7.7%
District
7.1%

CAGR over 28yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

41out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Seasonal Timing23
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 4

Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Above London average
PaddingtonElizabeth line line
5.3 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

PaddingtonElizabeth line
6 min walk
London Paddington Rail StationHeathrow Express · Great Western Railway
6 min walk
London PaddingtonNational Rail
6 min walk
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
6 min walk
Bayswater Underground StationDistrict · Circle
6 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

62

Walkability score

142

Footpaths (500m)

20

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

Canary Wharf42 min ↓
City ★39 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

6

Car parks (800m)

2

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park289m
Santander docks (800m)20
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
533m
🅿️
Hyde Park Coach and Car Park· yes
754m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 31.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 22.0 µg/m³
Better than 73% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.1 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 28%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Hampstead Heath Woods SSSI — 6.2 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

ADHD RTC MSE HEALTHCARE CENTRAL LONDON

HCL LTD, CAPITAL HOUSE, 25 CHAPEL STREET, NW1 5DH

14 min walk

0

GPs within 1km

10

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 661 m
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.6 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

60

Parks (1km)

101

Restaurants (800m)

47

Cafes (800m)

4

Pubs (400m)

4

Pharmacies (800m)

8

Gyms (1km)

12

Sports (1km)

10

Convenience

Nearest supermarketSmart · 482 m
2 tennis courts2 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

4

Late-night venues

D
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

2

Libraries (1km)

2

Cinemas (2km)

440m

Post office

Nearby shops

Nisa Local142 m
Chilworth Food Store143 m
Allday Minimarket147 m
Premier Wine & Spirits149 m

Nearby cafes

La costa cafe133 m
La meena cafe165 m
Craven Cafe194 m
The Central Pantry228 m

Nearby restaurants

Tukdin151 m
The Village Paddington177 m
Mykonos204 m
Flavors Of India205 m

Nearby pubs

The Cleveland Arms152 m
The Leinster Arms236 m
The Mitre240 m
Old Mary's243 m

Nearby gyms

Ultimate Performance354 m
Queens Skate Dine Bowl506 m
Barry's514 m
1Rebel Bayswater551 m

Nearby pharmacies

Moore's Pharmacy143 m
Superdrug450 m
Boots469 m
Bayswater Pharmacy607 m

Nearby health

Bayswater Medical Centre129 m
Paddington Dental Practice335 m
Hyde Park Dental Clinic405 m
Queensway Dental Practice426 m
Food hygiene (5-star)62% of 305

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

50

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score46/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

73.2

Price growth score

B
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumHigh investment qualityExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score20/100
Bakerloo Extension route5,972m
Crossrail 2 route2,954m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 6/10

Around average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Average deprivation level

Rank: 16,988 nationally

1,485

Est. population

30,000/km²

64%

Employed

72%

Degree educated

£50,500

Median income

3.2%

Claimant rate

Inner cityVery high densityYoung professionals

25

Community stability

Age profile

38%
26%
15%
Under 1813%
18–3438%
35–4926%
50–6415%
65+9%

Tenure

16%
14%
59%
Own outright16%
Own (mortgage)14%
Private rent59%
Social rent11%
Shared ownership0%
Rent free0%

Ethnicity

32%
38%
White British32%
White Other38%
Asian12%
Black4%
Mixed7%
Other9%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional55%
Routine / semi-routine8%
No car household71%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications4%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent59%
Social rent11%

vs. London

Income vs London+20.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
139
Live planning apps (800m)
32
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
1
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
89
Planning apps (3 years)
49
Local approval rate
89%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
94
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
82
Largest scheme
219 homes · PADDINGTON CENTRAL (FORMER GOODS YARD), PADDINGTON CENTRAL (FORMER GOODS YARD), BISHOP'S BRIDGE ROAD, W2 6BA
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

108-132, 108-132, WESTBOURNE TERRACE, W299 homes
completed
75 - 89, 75 - 89, Lancaster Gate, W2 3NN85 homes
completed
18, 18, Leinster Gardens, W2 3BH37 homes
completed
56-60, 56-60, LANCASTER GATE, W2 3NA30 homes
completed
23, 23, CLEVELAND SQUARE, CLEVELAND GARDENS, W223 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Rachel Blake (Labour (Co-op))
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 3AF

Full postcodeW2 3AF
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.513530
Longitude-0.181403
Parliamentary constituencyCities of London and Westminster
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey