Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Cities of London and Westminster constituency · 51.51383, -0.18071

W2 3AH— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3AH, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Top 5% LondonSchools 100%Safety 73/100Transport 67/100Yield 3.85%

Best for: Families, Young professionals

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Investment-grade — strong yield and growth signals

Liveability
78
Safety
73
Schools
60
Transport
67
Environment
80
Investment
65

The bottom line

W2 3AH offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime and a green environment — a strong choice for Families and Young professionals.

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Location

W2 3AH

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+20.2% vs London avg
vs London crime+15.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3AH

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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“High-connectivity investment target”

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How W2 3AH has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

St James & St John Church of England Primary School

Not yet inspected · 2 min walk

KS2: 108.0

—

Secondary

Marylebone Boys' School

Not yet inspected · 8 min walk

P8: +0.17A8: 52.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 13 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

★★★

Childcare

Portman Early Childhood Centre

Outstanding · 19 min walk

2 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

74.8 incidents per 1,000 residents

Higher crime than 57% of London
↑ Rising 2675.0%

-83% vs borough

Crime by type

Other38%
Vehicle crime15%
Violence & sexual offences15%
Anti-social behaviour14%
Burglary9%
Theft5%
Drug offences3%
Robbery2%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

1

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 723m

Crime is +15% above London average

Property

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Avg floor area101.2 m²

EPC breakdown

C
17%
D
13%
E
5%

Based on 35 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Semi 2%Terraced 2%Flat 97%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£253,000
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction erabefore 1900
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingSingle glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1995–2024 · CAGR

+6.8%

Total change

+582%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-20.4%

per year

Acceleration

+38.94

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £100k–£125k · P75: £350k–£400k · 65 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 65 sales

Semi-detached1.5%
Terraced1.5%
Flat/maisonette96.9%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1995–2000£112k£285k+155.6%4.5
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£320k£380k+18.8%2.5
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£830k£910k+9.6%2.7
GFC & correction2008–2012£770k£660k-14.3%1.2
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2016£1.27m£79k-93.8%1.2
Brexit uncertainty2018–2019£1.57m£1.31m-16.8%1
Pandemic surge2021–2021£2.35m£2.35m+0%1
Rate-rise correction2022–2022£955k£955k+0%6
Current market2024–2024£760k£760k+0%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+0.6% alpha

Flat/maisonette+0.6% α
Local
8.3%
District
7.7%

CAGR over 27yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

67out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Buyer's Market

Favours buyers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Better than 77% of London
PaddingtonElizabeth line line
4.6 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

PaddingtonElizabeth line
5 min walk
London Paddington Rail StationElizabeth line · Great Western Railway
5 min walk
London PaddingtonNational Rail
5 min walk
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
5 min walk
Paddington Underground StationBakerloo · District
6 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

64

Walkability score

187

Footpaths (500m)

21

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

Canary Wharf42 min ↓
City ★39 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

5

Car parks (800m)

2

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park263m
Santander docks (800m)21
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
513m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterMEDIUM
Medium
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 31.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 22.0 µg/m³
Better than 73% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.1 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 34%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Hampstead Heath Woods SSSI — 6.2 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

ADHD RTC MSE HEALTHCARE CENTRAL LONDON

HCL LTD, CAPITAL HOUSE, 25 CHAPEL STREET, NW1 5DH

13 min walk

0

GPs within 1km

10

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 604 m
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.5 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

62

Parks (1km)

93

Restaurants (800m)

47

Cafes (800m)

5

Pubs (400m)

4

Pharmacies (800m)

5

Gyms (1km)

8

Sports (1km)

10

Convenience

Nearest supermarketOseyo · 501 m
2 tennis courts1 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

5

Late-night venues

C
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

2

Libraries (1km)

2

Cinemas (2km)

484m

Post office

Nearby shops

Nisa Local96 m
Premier Wine & Spirits101 m
Allday Minimarket108 m
Chilworth Food Store109 m

Nearby cafes

La costa cafe89 m
La meena cafe142 m
Craven Cafe174 m
Elvis's Bistro & Takeaway209 m

Nearby restaurants

Tukdin111 m
The Village Paddington130 m
Flavors Of India151 m
Taormina194 m

Nearby pubs

The Cleveland Arms118 m
The Mitre224 m
Old Mary's225 m
The Leinster Arms288 m

Nearby gyms

Ultimate Performance297 m
Queens Skate Dine Bowl564 m
1Rebel Bayswater571 m
Barry's572 m

Nearby pharmacies

Moore's Pharmacy106 m
Boots411 m
Superdrug492 m
Bayswater Pharmacy626 m

Nearby health

Bayswater Medical Centre87 m
Paddington Dental Practice278 m
Hyde Park Dental Clinic384 m
Queensway Dental Practice479 m
Food hygiene (5-star)65% of 269

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

65

Investment score

Good

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score45/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Future outlook

61.1

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score20/100
Bakerloo Extension route5,938m
Crossrail 2 route2,914m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 6/10

Around average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Average deprivation level

Rank: 16,988 nationally

1,485

Est. population

30,000/km²

64%

Employed

72%

Degree educated

£50,500

Median income

3.2%

Claimant rate

Urban coreVery high densityYoung professionals

25

Community stability

Age profile

38%
26%
15%
Under 1813%
18–3438%
35–4926%
50–6415%
65+9%

Tenure

16%
14%
59%
Own outright16%
Own (mortgage)14%
Private rent59%
Social rent11%
Shared ownership0%
Rent free0%

Ethnicity

32%
38%
White British32%
White Other38%
Asian12%
Black4%
Mixed7%
Other9%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional55%
Routine / semi-routine8%
No car household71%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications4%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent59%
Social rent11%

vs. London

Income vs London+20.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
145
Live planning apps (800m)
32
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
1
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
84
Planning apps (3 years)
48
Local approval rate
88%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
94
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
79
Largest scheme
222 homes · PADDINGTON BASIN, LAND AT, PADDINGTON BASIN, LAND AT, HERMITAGE STREET, W2 0XX
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

108-132, 108-132, WESTBOURNE TERRACE, W299 homes
completed
75 - 89, 75 - 89, Lancaster Gate, W2 3NN85 homes
completed
18, 18, Leinster Gardens, W2 3BH37 homes
completed
56-60, 56-60, LANCASTER GATE, W2 3NA30 homes
completed
23, 23, CLEVELAND SQUARE, CLEVELAND GARDENS, W223 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Rachel Blake (Labour (Co-op))
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 3AH

Full postcodeW2 3AH
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.513825
Longitude-0.180714
Parliamentary constituencyCities of London and Westminster
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey