Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Cities of London and Westminster constituency · 51.51175, -0.18336

W2 3ET— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3ET, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Top 5% LondonSchools 100%Safety 62/100Transport 68/100Yield 3.85%

Best for: Young professionals

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Balanced area — no standout strengths or weaknesses

Liveability
79
Safety
62
Schools
60
Transport
68
Environment
99
Investment
63

The bottom line

W2 3ET offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and a green environment — a strong choice for Young professionals.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 3ET

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+20.2% vs London avg
vs London crime+124.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3ET

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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“High-connectivity investment target”

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How W2 3ET has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

Hallfield Primary School

Not yet inspected · 4 min walk

KS2: 110.4

—

Secondary

Marylebone Boys' School

Not yet inspected · 11 min walk

P8: +0.17A8: 52.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 18 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

★★★

Childcare

Portman Early Childhood Centre

Outstanding · 23 min walk

2 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Medium crime

145.3 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 1026.3%

-67% vs borough

Crime by type

Other28%
Anti-social behaviour21%
Violence & sexual offences14%
Drug offences11%
Theft10%
Burglary10%
Vehicle crime5%
Robbery1%

Stop & search

1.4

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

5

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 931m

Crime is +124% above London average

Property

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Avg floor area50.8 m²

EPC breakdown

C
12%
D
11%
E
3%
F
1%

Based on 27 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Terraced 60%Flat 35%Other 5%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£127,000
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction erabefore 1900
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingSingle glazed
Council tax band Band FAnnual charge £1,309
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1995–2017 · CAGR

+0.9%

Total change

+21%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-10.0%

per year

Acceleration

+40.36

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £600k–£700k · P75: £200k–£250k · 19 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 19 sales

Terraced63.2%
Flat/maisonette36.8%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1995–1997£450k£415k-7.8%2
Post-dot-com plateau2002–2004£585k£240k-59%1.7
Pre-crash peak2005–2006£427k£395k-7.4%2
GFC & correction2009–2009£1.22m£1.22m+0%2
Help-to-Buy recovery2016–2016£606k£606k+0%1
Brexit uncertainty2017–2017£545k£545k+0%1

Price Trajectory by Type

TerracedFlat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+18.3% alpha

Weakest performer

Terraced

-3.8% alpha

Flat/maisonette+18.3% α
Local
26.7%
District
8.4%
Terraced-3.8% α
Local
7.4%
District
11.2%

CAGR over 2yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

100out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Buyer's Market

Favours buyers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Better than 78% of London
Queensway Underground StationCentral line
3.7 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Queensway Underground StationCentral
4 min walk
Bayswater Underground StationDistrict · Circle
4 min walk
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
7 min walk
PaddingtonElizabeth line
8 min walk
London Paddington Rail StationHeathrow Express · Great Western Railway
9 min walk
1 bus routes · 7 stops within 400m

59

Walkability score

72

Footpaths (500m)

24

Santander docks (800m)

0.3 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

Canary Wharf42 min ↓
City ★39 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

5

Car parks (800m)

1

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park409m
Santander docks (800m)24
Nearest cycle dock0.3 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Hyde Park Coach and Car Park· yes
537m
🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
720m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 14.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 7.0 µg/m³
Better than 96% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.3 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 70%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Barn Elms Wetland Centre SSSI — 4.9 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE PEMBRIDGE VILLAS SURGERY

45A PEMBRIDGE VILLAS, W11 3EP

12 min walk

87%

Recommend GP

87%

Overall GP experience

1

GPs within 1km

12

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 896 m
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.8 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

54

Parks (1km)

60

Restaurants (800m)

26

Cafes (800m)

1

Pubs (400m)

4

Pharmacies (800m)

8

Gyms (1km)

15

Sports (1km)

4

Convenience

Nearest supermarketSimply Food & Wine · 271 m
4 tennis courts1 swimming pools2 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

1

Late-night venues

E
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

2

Libraries (1km)

2

Cinemas (2km)

399m

Post office

Nearby shops

Snacks Delight8 m
Sol's13 m
Midoo Exchange20 m
Little Waitrose125 m

Nearby cafes

The Central Pantry12 m
Foreign Exchange26 m
Halepi Cafe42 m
The Whale Tea267 m

Nearby restaurants

Mykonos47 m
Halepi50 m
Med Salleh Kopitiam242 m
Pizza Pilgrims264 m

Nearby pubs

The Leinster Arms38 m
Beachcomber317 m
The Bayswater Arms323 m
The Mitre344 m

Nearby gyms

Queens Skate Dine Bowl292 m
Barry's296 m
PureGym485 m
Ultimate Performance578 m

Nearby pharmacies

Moore's Pharmacy332 m
Superdrug423 m
Nashi Pharmacy653 m
Bayswater Pharmacy671 m

Nearby health

Queensway Dental Practice310 m
Bayswater Medical Centre332 m
Bayswater Dental375 m
Porchester Dental Practice405 m
Food hygiene (5-star)57% of 225

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

63

Investment score

Good

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score33/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Future outlook

59.1

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score11/100
Bakerloo Extension route6,040m
Crossrail 2 route3,046m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 6/10

Around average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Average deprivation level

Rank: 18,171 nationally

1,473

Est. population

19,754/km²

64%

Employed

69%

Degree educated

£50,500

Median income

2.4%

Claimant rate

Urban coreVery high densityYoung professionals

19

Community stability

Age profile

40%
21%
16%
14%
Under 189%
18–3440%
35–4921%
50–6416%
65+14%

Tenure

16%
72%
Own outright16%
Own (mortgage)9%
Private rent72%
Social rent3%
Shared ownership0%
Rent free0%

Ethnicity

29%
38%
16%
White British29%
White Other38%
Asian16%
Black2%
Mixed7%
Other8%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional56%
Routine / semi-routine8%
No car household75%
Unemployed3%
No qualifications9%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent72%
Social rent3%

vs. London

Income vs London+20.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
127
Live planning apps (800m)
34
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
84
Planning apps (3 years)
45
Local approval rate
88%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
94
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
82
Largest scheme
99 homes · 108-132, 108-132, WESTBOURNE TERRACE, W2
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

75 - 89, 75 - 89, Lancaster Gate, W2 3NN85 homes
completed
7, 7, Fosbury Mews, 2 - 6 Queensway, W2 3JH55 homes
completed
25-33, 25-33, INVERNESS TERRACE, W239 homes
completed
18, 18, Leinster Gardens, W2 3BH37 homes
completed
56-60, 56-60, LANCASTER GATE, W2 3NA30 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Rachel Blake (Labour (Co-op))
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 3ET

Full postcodeW2 3ET
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.511753
Longitude-0.183362
Parliamentary constituencyCities of London and Westminster
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey