Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Cities of London and Westminster constituency · 51.51443, -0.17981

W2 3HBLancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3HB, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

City living at its best

 

Top 5% LondonSchools 100%Safety 73/100Transport 77/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 3 sales — thin data

Best for: Families, Commuters, Young professionals

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Well-connected — strong transport access

Liveability
81
Safety
73
Schools
60
Transport
77
Environment
80
Investment
58

The bottom line

W2 3HB offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime, good transport links and a green environment — a strong choice for Families and Commuters.

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Location

W2 3HB

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+20.2% vs London avg
vs London crime+70.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3HB

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Postcode Personality

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How W2 3HB has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km

Primary

St James & St John Church of England Primary School

Not yet inspected · 2 min walk

KS2: 108.0

Secondary

Marylebone Boys' School

Not yet inspected · 7 min walk

P8: +0.17A8: 52.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 14 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

★★★

Childcare

Portman Early Childhood Centre

Outstanding · 18 min walk

2 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

110.2 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
→ Stable

-75% vs borough

Crime by type

Anti-social behaviour24%
Other22%
Violence & sexual offences16%
Burglary11%
Vehicle crime9%
Theft8%
Robbery6%
Drug offences3%

Road safety

98

Road safety score

2

Accidents (5yr)

2

Serious within 200m

LOW pedestrian risk

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 677m

Crime is +70% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 3 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

W2 district median

£817,500

Based on 232 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)3
New build0.0%
Price per m²£6,575/m²
Price per ft²£611/ft²
Avg floor area64.9

EPC breakdown

C
44%
D
32%
E
14%
F
4%
G
1%

Based on 95 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Terraced 1%Flat 99%Other 1%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Medium

Market activity

60d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£162,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction erabefore 1900
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingSingle glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialHigh

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

19952025 · CAGR

+4.5%

Total change

+271%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-47.1%

per year

Acceleration

+1.17

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £175k–£200k · P75: £450k–£500k · 156 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 156 sales

Terraced0.6%
Flat/maisonette99.4%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom19952000£116k£190k+63.8%6.2
Post-dot-com plateau20012004£188k£325k+73.3%6.8
Pre-crash peak20052007£356k£420k+17.9%6.7
GFC & correction20082012£325k£450k+38.5%3.8
Help-to-Buy recovery20132016£488k£670k+37.4%4.2
Brexit uncertainty20172019£1.25m£551k-55.8%5
Pandemic surge20202021£1.12m£900k-19.6%5.5
Rate-rise correction20222023£720k£1.57m+118.1%3
Current market20242025£813k£430k-47.1%2

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+-1.6% alpha

Flat/maisonette-1.6% α
Local
4.5%
District
6.1%

CAGR over 30yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

67out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Buyer's Market

Favours buyers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Better than 89% of London
PaddingtonElizabeth line line
3.5 min walk
London PaddingtonPaddington
0 min

Nearby stations

PaddingtonElizabeth line
4 min walk
London Paddington Rail StationElizabeth line · Great Western Railway
4 min walk
London PaddingtonNational Rail
4 min walk
Paddington Underground StationBakerloo · District
5 min walk
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
5 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

67

Walkability score

256

Footpaths (500m)

23

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

London Bridge34 min
Victoria24 min
Waterloo35 min
Canary Wharf39 min
City35 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

6

Car parks (800m)

2

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park266m
Santander docks (800m)23
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
475m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterLOW
Low
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 31.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 22.0 µg/m³
Better than 73% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.0 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 34%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Hampstead Heath Woods SSSI — 6.1 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

ADHD RTC MSE HEALTHCARE CENTRAL LONDON

HCL LTD, CAPITAL HOUSE, 25 CHAPEL STREET, NW1 5DH

12 min walk

2

GPs within 1km

10

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 512 m
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.4 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

76

Parks (1km)

69

Restaurants (800m)

41

Cafes (800m)

6

Pubs (400m)

2

Pharmacies (800m)

5

Gyms (1km)

9

Sports (1km)

10

Convenience

Nearest supermarketOseyo · 411 m
2 tennis courts2 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

6

Late-night venues

C
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

1

Libraries (1km)

2

Cinemas (2km)

546m

Post office

Nearby shops

Premier Wine & Spirits91 m
Chilworth Food Store91 m
Nisa Local94 m
EuropaFood112 m

Nearby cafes

La costa cafe97 m
La meena cafe167 m
Craven Cafe197 m
Elvis's Bistro & Takeaway220 m

Nearby restaurants

Flavors Of India94 m
The Village Paddington108 m
Tukdin116 m
Turmeric Kitchen146 m

Nearby pubs

The Cleveland Arms95 m
Old Mary's245 m
The Mitre247 m
The Pride of Paddington249 m

Nearby gyms

Ultimate Performance213 m
Nuffield Health Fitness & Wellbeing529 m
12x3 Gym537 m
1Rebel Bayswater593 m

Nearby pharmacies

Moore's Pharmacy121 m
Boots321 m
Superdrug550 m
Apek Pharmacy574 m

Nearby health

Bayswater Medical Centre99 m
Paddington Dental Practice200 m
Hyde Park Dental Clinic388 m
St Mary's Hospital512 m
Food hygiene (5-star)63% of 250

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

58

Investment score

Good

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score40/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44
Sales last 12 months3

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Medium

Market activity

60d

Est. days to sell

25/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

76.7

Price growth score

B
High

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumHigh investment qualityExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score20/100
Bakerloo Extension route5,902m
Crossrail 2 route2,866m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 6/10

Around average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Average deprivation level

Rank: 17,671 nationally

1,343

Est. population

26,380/km²

68%

Employed

67%

Degree educated

£50,500

Median income

2.5%

Claimant rate

Urban coreVery high densityYoung professionals

29

Community stability

Age profile

37%
26%
14%
Under 1812%
18–3437%
35–4926%
50–6414%
65+11%

Tenure

22%
14%
52%
Own outright22%
Own (mortgage)14%
Private rent52%
Social rent11%
Shared ownership0%
Rent free1%

Ethnicity

27%
36%
White British27%
White Other36%
Asian12%
Black7%
Mixed7%
Other12%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional50%
Routine / semi-routine11%
No car household70%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications10%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent52%
Social rent11%

vs. London

Income vs London+20.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
151
Live planning apps (800m)
34
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
2
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
80
Planning apps (3 years)
44
Local approval rate
88%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
24
Largest scheme
335 homes · Former North Westminster Community School, Former North Westminster Community School, North Wharf Road, W2 1LF
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

108-132, 108-132, WESTBOURNE TERRACE, W299 homes
completed
75 - 89, 75 - 89, Lancaster Gate, W2 3NN85 homes
completed
18, 18, Leinster Gardens, W2 3BH37 homes
completed
56-60, 56-60, LANCASTER GATE, W2 3NA30 homes
completed
23, 23, CLEVELAND SQUARE, CLEVELAND GARDENS, W223 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Rachel Blake (Labour (Co-op))
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 3HB

Full postcodeW2 3HB
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.514432
Longitude-0.179811
Parliamentary constituencyCities of London and Westminster
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey