Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Kensington and Bayswater constituency · 51.51047, -0.18663

W2 3JH— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3JH, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Bottom 25% LondonSchools 100%Safety 41/100Transport 60/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 2 sales — thin data⚠ Knotweed sites nearby

Best for: Most buyers

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Strong, well-rated schools set this area apart

Liveability
70
Safety
41
Schools
90
Transport
60
Environment
99
Investment
49

The bottom line

W2 3JH offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and a green environment — strong value for Most buyers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 1 Japanese knotweed site within 400m — may affect mortgage applications.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 3JH

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Medium

London Benchmarks

vs London income+7.6% vs London avg
vs London crime+324.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3JH

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🚇 Hyper-Connected🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung⚠️ High crime🍕 Buzzing

“High-connectivity investment target”

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How W2 3JH has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

Hallfield Primary School

Not yet inspected · 5 min walk

KS2: 110.4

★★

Secondary

Westminster Academy

Good · Inspected Oct 2023 · 15 min walk

P8: -0.04A8: 47.8

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 18 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Golborne & Maxilla Nursery School

Not inspected · 23 min walk

3 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

High crime

275.4 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 375.8%

-37% vs borough

Note: high crime per resident is typical of central London postcodes — daytime population is often 5–10× the resident count.

Crime by type

Other38%
Violence & sexual offences15%
Theft13%
Anti-social behaviour12%
Burglary8%
Vehicle crime5%
Robbery5%
Drug offences4%

Stop & search

3.7

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

96

Road safety score

4

Accidents (5yr)

1

Serious within 200m

LOW pedestrian risk1 pedestrian casualties (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Kensington Fire Station · 872m

Crime is +324% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 2 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

W2 district median

£817,500

Based on 232 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)2
New build50.0%
Price per m²£41,738/m²
Price per ft²£3,878/ft²
Avg floor area174.9 m²

EPC breakdown

B
55%

Based on 55 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Flat 83%Other 17%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£437,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era2023
WallsAverage thermal transmittance 0.21 W/m²K
Roof(other premises above)
GlazingHigh performance glazing
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

2023–2025 · CAGR

+5.5%

Total change

+11%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-33.6%

per year

Acceleration

-101.43

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £700k+ · P75: £700k+ · 14 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 14 sales

Flat/maisonette100%

By decade

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Rate-rise correction2023–2023£6.56m£6.56m+0%18
Current market2024–2025£11.00m£7.30m-33.6%3.5

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+23.6% alpha

Flat/maisonette+23.6% α
Local
16%
District
-7.6%

CAGR over 2yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

76out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Buyer's Market

Favours buyers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Sales Volume53

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Above London average
Queensway Underground StationCentral line
0.5 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Queensway Underground StationCentral
1 min walk
Bayswater Underground StationDistrict · Circle
3 min walk
Notting Hill Gate Underground StationCircle · District
8 min walk
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
10 min walk
PaddingtonElizabeth line
12 min walk
1 bus routes · 9 stops within 400m · 32 buses/hr peak

72

Walkability score

107

Footpaths (500m)

24

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

Canary Wharf42 min ↓
City ★39 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

6

Car parks (800m)

2

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park273m
Santander docks (800m)24
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Hyde Park Coach and Car Park· yes
273m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 14.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 7.0 µg/m³
Better than 96% of London
NoiseNONE
road
SEVERE
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.6 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 70%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Barn Elms Wetland Centre SSSI — 4.7 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE PEMBRIDGE VILLAS SURGERY

45A PEMBRIDGE VILLAS, W11 3EP

10 min walk

87%

Recommend GP

87%

Overall GP experience

1

GPs within 1km

14

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 1.2 km
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 5.0 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

55

Parks (1km)

62

Restaurants (800m)

31

Cafes (800m)

4

Pubs (400m)

4

Pharmacies (800m)

9

Gyms (1km)

17

Sports (1km)

11

Convenience

Nearest supermarketSimply Food & Wine · 30 m
5 tennis courts1 swimming pools2 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

4

Late-night venues

D
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

3

Libraries (1km)

2

Cinemas (2km)

414m

Post office

Nearby shops

Q. Food & Wine98 m
Cap News112 m
Little Waitrose182 m
Sainsbury's Local194 m

Nearby cafes

The Whale Tea49 m
Lo Spuntino56 m
Dr Power117 m
Starbucks150 m

Nearby restaurants

The Park10 m
Mandarin Kitchen41 m
New Fortune Cookie44 m
Fentons Ice Cream49 m

Nearby pubs

The Bayswater Arms254 m
Kings Head273 m
Beachcomber283 m
The Leinster Arms290 m

Nearby gyms

Barry's54 m
Queens Skate Dine Bowl68 m
PureGym364 m
Heartcore463 m

Nearby pharmacies

Superdrug444 m
Moore's Pharmacy600 m
Nashi Pharmacy618 m
Bayswater Pharmacy731 m

Nearby health

Queensway Dental Practice273 m
Bayswater Dental355 m
Porchester Dental Practice376 m
Bayswater Medical Centre599 m
Food hygiene (5-star)61% of 218

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

49

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score33/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

57.9

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score8/100
Bakerloo Extension route6,218m
Crossrail 2 route3,239m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 4/10

More deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

More deprived than average

Rank: 13,076 nationally

1,071

Est. population

21,822/km²

56%

Employed

67%

Degree educated

£45,200

Median income

6.3%

Claimant rate

Urban coreVery high densityYoung professionals

21

Community stability

Age profile

51%
18%
Under 189%
18–3451%
35–4918%
50–6412%
65+10%

Tenure

17%
66%
Own outright17%
Own (mortgage)9%
Private rent66%
Social rent8%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

19%
32%
26%
White British19%
White Other32%
Asian26%
Black5%
Mixed7%
Other11%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional47%
Routine / semi-routine7%
No car household80%
Unemployed5%
No qualifications7%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent66%
Social rent8%

vs. London

Income vs London+7.6%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
144
Live planning apps (800m)
26
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
72
Planning apps (3 years)
40
Local approval rate
81%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
1

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
94
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
114
Largest scheme
138 homes · 49-53, 49-53, KENSINGTON GARDENS SQUARE, WESTBOURNE GROVE (33-35), W2
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

114, 116, Queensway, W2 6LS94 homes
not_started
7, 7, Fosbury Mews, 2 - 6 Queensway, W2 3JH55 homes
completed
25-33, 25-33, INVERNESS TERRACE, W239 homes
completed
5-17, 5-17, MOSCOW ROAD, W227 homes
completed
138-142, 138-142, Queensway, W2 6LS20 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Joe Powell (Labour)
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 3JH

Full postcodeW2 3JH
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.510473
Longitude-0.186626
Parliamentary constituencyKensington and Bayswater
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey