Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Kensington and Bayswater constituency · 51.51357, -0.18645

W2 3LD— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3LD, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Bottom 25% LondonSchools 100%Safety 51/100Transport 54/100Yield 5.83%⚠ Knotweed sites nearby

Best for: Most buyers

Compare areas

Strong, well-rated schools set this area apart

Liveability
70
Safety
51
Schools
90
Transport
54
Environment
99
Investment
58

The bottom line

W2 3LD offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and a green environment at £540,000 median — strong value for Most buyers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 1 Japanese knotweed site within 400m — may affect mortgage applications.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 3LD

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Inner city
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: PositiveRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London avg price+3.8% vs London avg
vs London income+7.6% vs London avg
vs London crime+220.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3LD

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🚇 Well-Connected🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung🍕 Buzzing

“High-connectivity investment target”

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How W2 3LD has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

Hallfield Primary School

Not yet inspected · 1 min walk

KS2: 110.4

★★

Secondary

Westminster Academy

Good · Inspected Oct 2023 · 11 min walk

P8: -0.04A8: 47.8

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 20 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Mary Paterson Nursery School

Not inspected · 24 min walk

4 primaries · 2 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Medium crime

208.1 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 479.2%

-53% vs borough

Crime by type

Other28%
Anti-social behaviour23%
Violence & sexual offences17%
Burglary10%
Vehicle crime8%
Theft8%
Drug offences4%
Robbery2%

Stop & search

1.5

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

93

Road safety score

3

Accidents (5yr)

1

KSI (5yr)

2

Serious within 200m

MEDIUM pedestrian risk1 pedestrian casualties (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 762m

Crime is +220% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Low transaction volume — only 5 sales in 24 months. Price figures may not reflect the wider area. Treat with caution.

£540,000

Median sale price

Above London median by 4%

£540,000 is 4% above the London median (£520,000)

-59.3%

This year

Flat

Dominant type

Price history

5-year change
-33.8%
Sales (24 months)5
New build0.0%
Avg flat£540,000
Price per m²£16,413/m²
Price per ft²£1,525/ft²
Avg floor area29.7 m²

EPC breakdown

C
65%
D
30%
E
8%
F
1%

Based on 104 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Terraced 6%Flat 93%Other 2%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Stamp duty

Standard buyer£14,500
First-time buyerFTB
£5,750
Additional propertyBTL/2nd
£30,700

England & NI rates 2025/26. Additional property rate adds 3% on each band.

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

11.9×

Price-to-income

£2,701/mo

Est. mortgage

Medium

Market activity

60d

Days to sell

Falling

Market momentum

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£74,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1900-1929
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelelectricity (not community)
GlazingSingle glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1997–2025 · CAGR

+4.5%

Total change

+244%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-59.2%

per year

Acceleration

-154.08

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £100k–£125k · P75: £350k–£400k · 66 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 66 sales

Terraced6.1%
Flat/maisonette93.9%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1997–2000£135k£213k+57.4%4.3
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£375k£340k-9.3%5
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£467k£347k-25.9%3.3
GFC & correction2009–2012£450k£382k-15.1%1.8
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2015£1.23m£584k-52.4%2.7
Brexit uncertainty2017–2017£675k£675k+0%1
Pandemic surge2020–2020£700k£700k+0%1
Rate-rise correction2023–2023£585k£585k+0%1
Current market2024–2025£1.14m£465k-59.2%2.5

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+-1.3% alpha

Flat/maisonette-1.3% α
Local
4.5%
District
5.8%

CAGR over 28yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

54out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Balanced Market

Neutral conditions

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Sales Volume15
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 4

Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Above London average
Bayswater Underground StationDistrict line
2.1 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Bayswater Underground StationDistrict · Circle
2 min walk
Queensway Underground StationCentral
5 min walk
Royal Oak Underground StationHammersmith & City · Circle
8 min walk
PaddingtonElizabeth line
9 min walk
London Paddington Rail StationHeathrow Express · Great Western Railway
10 min walk
1 bus routes · 10 stops within 400m · 27 buses/hr peak

64

Walkability score

68

Footpaths (500m)

22

Santander docks (800m)

0.2 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

Canary Wharf42 min ↓
City ★39 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

5

Car parks (800m)

2

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park511m
Santander docks (800m)22
Nearest cycle dock0.2 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Hyde Park Coach and Car Park· yes
511m
🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
570m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 14.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 7.0 µg/m³
Better than 96% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.4 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 70%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Barn Elms Wetland Centre SSSI — 4.9 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE PEMBRIDGE VILLAS SURGERY

45A PEMBRIDGE VILLAS, W11 3EP

9 min walk

87%

Recommend GP

87%

Overall GP experience

2

GPs within 1km

14

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 950 m
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.6 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

53

Parks (1km)

71

Restaurants (800m)

31

Cafes (800m)

5

Pubs (400m)

5

Pharmacies (800m)

8

Gyms (1km)

15

Sports (1km)

14

Convenience

Nearest supermarketSmart · 295 m
4 tennis courts1 swimming pools2 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

5

Late-night venues

C
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

3

Libraries (1km)

1

Cinemas (2km)

105m

Post office

Nearby shops

Naser110 m
Tesco Express149 m
Archie Foodstore166 m
Sainsbury's Local184 m

Nearby cafes

Mooboo97 m
Oatis99 m
Granier Bakery Cafe105 m
The Waffle Factory164 m

Nearby restaurants

Bella Italia79 m
Duck & Noodle79 m
Gold Mine81 m
Halal Restaurant84 m

Nearby pubs

Prince Alfred72 m
Beachcomber100 m
The Bayswater Arms139 m
Kings Head229 m

Nearby gyms

PureGym262 m
Queens Skate Dine Bowl304 m
Barry's322 m
Psycle332 m

Nearby pharmacies

Superdrug129 m
Nashi Pharmacy360 m
Bayswater Pharmacy397 m
Moore's Pharmacy492 m

Nearby health

Bayswater Dental103 m
Queensway Dental Practice104 m
Porchester Dental Practice129 m
Garden Square Dental Practice364 m
Food hygiene (5-star)60% of 250

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

58

Investment score

Good

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
5.8% (good)London avg: 3.8%Strong yield — top 12% of London
Gentrification score34/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44
Sales last 12 months3

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Medium

Market activity

60d

Est. days to sell

25/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

64.6

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumHigh investment quality

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score8/100
Bakerloo Extension route6,305m
Crossrail 2 route3,297m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 4/10

More deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

More deprived than average

Rank: 10,461 nationally

1,336

Est. population

18,195/km²

63%

Employed

67%

Degree educated

£45,200

Median income

7.6%

Claimant rate

Inner cityVery high densityYoung professionals

21

Community stability

Age profile

37%
23%
17%
Under 1813%
18–3437%
35–4923%
50–6417%
65+11%

Tenure

16%
66%
Own outright16%
Own (mortgage)10%
Private rent66%
Social rent8%
Rent free0%

Ethnicity

22%
38%
16%
14%
White British22%
White Other38%
Asian16%
Black5%
Mixed6%
Other14%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional50%
Routine / semi-routine12%
No car household74%
Unemployed6%
No qualifications8%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent66%
Social rent8%

vs. London

Income vs London+7.6%
Price vs London+3.8%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
147
Live planning apps (800m)
40
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
97
Planning apps (3 years)
52
Local approval rate
83%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
1

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
94
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
92
Largest scheme
138 homes · 49-53, 49-53, KENSINGTON GARDENS SQUARE, WESTBOURNE GROVE (33-35), W2
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

49-53, 49-53, KENSINGTON GARDENS SQUARE, WESTBOURNE GROVE (33-35), W2138 homes
completed
114, 116, Queensway, W2 6LS94 homes
not_started
7, 7, Fosbury Mews, 2 - 6 Queensway, W2 3JH55 homes
completed
72-82, 72-82, BISHOPS BRIDGE ROAD, W249 homes
completed
25-33, 25-33, INVERNESS TERRACE, W239 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Joe Powell (Labour)
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

Stamp Duty & Affordability Calculator

Stamp duty on median price (£540,000)

£14,500

Standard buyer

£5,750

First-time buyer

Save £8,750

Affordability check — your annual salary

£

Deposit

Affordability uses 4.5× single income and 4.75% indicative rate over 25 years. Not financial advice.

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Key facts for W2 3LD

Full postcodeW2 3LD
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.513572
Longitude-0.186446
Parliamentary constituencyKensington and Bayswater
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey