Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Cities of London and Westminster constituency · 51.51233, -0.17991

W2 3LP— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3LP, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Top 5% LondonSchools 100%Safety 62/100Transport 64/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 2 sales — thin data⚠ Knotweed sites nearby

Best for: Most buyers

Compare areas

Balanced area — no standout strengths or weaknesses

Liveability
76
Safety
62
Schools
60
Transport
64
Environment
83
Investment
54

The bottom line

W2 3LP offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and a green environment — strong value for Most buyers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 6 Japanese knotweed sites within 400m — may affect mortgage applications.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 3LP

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Inner city
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+20.2% vs London avg
vs London crime+124.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3LP

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

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“High-connectivity investment target”

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How W2 3LP has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

St James & St John Church of England Primary School

Not yet inspected · 1 min walk

KS2: 108.0

—

Secondary

Marylebone Boys' School

Not yet inspected · 9 min walk

P8: +0.17A8: 52.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 13 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

★★★

Childcare

Portman Early Childhood Centre

Outstanding · 21 min walk

2 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Medium crime

145.3 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 1026.3%

-67% vs borough

Crime by type

Other28%
Anti-social behaviour21%
Violence & sexual offences14%
Drug offences11%
Theft10%
Burglary10%
Vehicle crime5%
Robbery1%

Stop & search

1.4

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

5

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 898m

Crime is +124% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 2 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

W2 district median

£817,500

Based on 232 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)2
New build0.0%
Price per m²£16,041/m²
Price per ft²£1,490/ft²
Avg floor area80.5 m²

EPC breakdown

C
33%
D
30%
E
16%
F
5%
G
1%

Based on 85 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Terraced 3%Flat 94%Other 2%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£201,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction erabefore 1900
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingSingle glazed
Council tax band Band FAnnual charge £1,309
Price growth potentialHigh

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1995–2025 · CAGR

+2.3%

Total change

+101%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-6.2%

per year

Acceleration

-53.52

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £600k–£700k · P75: £450k–£500k · 87 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 87 sales

Terraced3.4%
Flat/maisonette96.6%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1995–2000£910k£445k-51.1%8.3
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£1.20m£595k-50.4%3.5
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£720k£1.02m+41.3%2.7
GFC & correction2008–2012£863k£1.58m+83.8%1.3
Help-to-Buy recovery2014–2016£1.50m£1.23m-18.3%1.7
Brexit uncertainty2017–2017£913k£913k+0%2
Pandemic surge2021–2021£1.32m£1.32m+0%1
Current market2024–2025£1.95m£1.82m-6.2%1.5

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+-0.4% alpha

Flat/maisonette-0.4% α
Local
6.7%
District
7.1%

CAGR over 28yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

50out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Balanced Market

Neutral conditions

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Sales Volume53
Seasonal Timing9
Trend Position40

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 4

Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Above London average
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral line
3.8 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
4 min walk
London Paddington Rail StationHeathrow Express · Great Western Railway
6 min walk
London PaddingtonNational Rail
6 min walk
PaddingtonElizabeth line
6 min walk
Queensway Underground StationCentral
7 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

60

Walkability score

158

Footpaths (500m)

25

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

Canary Wharf42 min ↓
City ★39 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

4

Car parks (800m)

1

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park162m
Santander docks (800m)25
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
689m
🅿️
Hyde Park Coach and Car Park· yes
782m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 28.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 16.0 µg/m³
Better than 78% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.1 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 28%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Hampstead Heath Woods SSSI — 6.3 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

ADHD RTC MSE HEALTHCARE CENTRAL LONDON

HCL LTD, CAPITAL HOUSE, 25 CHAPEL STREET, NW1 5DH

14 min walk

0

GPs within 1km

9

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 694 m
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.7 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

53

Parks (1km)

64

Restaurants (800m)

38

Cafes (800m)

5

Pubs (400m)

2

Pharmacies (800m)

5

Gyms (1km)

8

Sports (1km)

10

Convenience

Nearest supermarketOseyo · 582 m
2 tennis courts1 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

5

Late-night venues

C
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

1

Libraries (1km)

2

Cinemas (2km)

574m

Post office

Nearby shops

LG Food & News93 m
Allday Minimarket129 m
Laurents138 m
Nisa Local150 m

Nearby cafes

Craven Cafe85 m
La meena cafe88 m
Les Filles111 m
Elvis's Bistro & Takeaway116 m

Nearby restaurants

Taormina88 m
Tukdin133 m
The Village Paddington166 m
Flavors Of India216 m

Nearby pubs

The Mitre98 m
Old Mary's106 m
The Swan212 m
The Leinster Arms220 m

Nearby gyms

Ultimate Performance365 m
Queens Skate Dine Bowl540 m
Barry's543 m
PureGym709 m

Nearby pharmacies

Moore's Pharmacy124 m
Boots497 m
Superdrug590 m
Apek Pharmacy727 m

Nearby health

Bayswater Medical Centre139 m
Hyde Park Dental Clinic256 m
Paddington Dental Practice334 m
Queensway Dental Practice527 m
Food hygiene (5-star)63% of 220

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

54

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score38/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

70.9

Price growth score

B
High

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumHigh investment qualityExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score20/100
Bakerloo Extension route5,831m
Crossrail 2 route2,825m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 6/10

Around average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Average deprivation level

Rank: 18,171 nationally

1,473

Est. population

19,754/km²

64%

Employed

69%

Degree educated

£50,500

Median income

2.4%

Claimant rate

Inner cityVery high densityYoung professionals

19

Community stability

Age profile

40%
21%
16%
14%
Under 189%
18–3440%
35–4921%
50–6416%
65+14%

Tenure

16%
72%
Own outright16%
Own (mortgage)9%
Private rent72%
Social rent3%
Shared ownership0%
Rent free0%

Ethnicity

29%
38%
16%
White British29%
White Other38%
Asian16%
Black2%
Mixed7%
Other8%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional56%
Routine / semi-routine8%
No car household75%
Unemployed3%
No qualifications9%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent72%
Social rent3%

vs. London

Income vs London+20.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
141
Live planning apps (800m)
31
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
1
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
78
Planning apps (3 years)
43
Local approval rate
87%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
6

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
79
Largest scheme
219 homes · PADDINGTON CENTRAL (FORMER GOODS YARD), PADDINGTON CENTRAL (FORMER GOODS YARD), BISHOP'S BRIDGE ROAD, W2 6BA
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

75 - 89, 75 - 89, Lancaster Gate, W2 3NN85 homes
completed
18, 18, Leinster Gardens, W2 3BH37 homes
completed
56-60, 56-60, LANCASTER GATE, W2 3NA30 homes
completed
27, Lancaster Gate, W2 3LP23 homes
completed
23, 23, CLEVELAND SQUARE, CLEVELAND GARDENS, W223 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Rachel Blake (Labour (Co-op))
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 3LP

Full postcodeW2 3LP
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.512329
Longitude-0.179909
Parliamentary constituencyCities of London and Westminster
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey