Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Cities of London and Westminster constituency · 51.51259, -0.17608

W2 3PD— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3PD, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

City living at its best

 

Top 13% LondonSchools 100%Safety 46/100Transport 75/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 1 sales — thin data⚠ Knotweed sites nearby

Best for: Commuters, Young professionals

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Well-connected — strong transport access

Liveability
72
Safety
46
Schools
60
Transport
75
Environment
83
Investment
53

The bottom line

W2 3PD offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), good transport links and a green environment — strong value for Commuters and Young professionals who can accept its trade-offs.

The catches: high noise levels nearby and 1 Japanese knotweed site within 400m — may affect mortgage applications.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 3PD

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Inner city
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+20.2% vs London avg
vs London crime+265.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3PD

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

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“City living at its best”

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How W2 3PD has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

St James & St John Church of England Primary School

Not yet inspected · 3 min walk

KS2: 108.0

—

Secondary

Marylebone Boys' School

Not yet inspected · 9 min walk

P8: +0.17A8: 52.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 14 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

★★★

Childcare

Portman Early Childhood Centre

Outstanding · 19 min walk

3 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Medium crime

237.1 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 1217.4%

-46% vs borough

Crime by type

Other39%
Violence & sexual offences17%
Theft16%
Anti-social behaviour12%
Burglary6%
Vehicle crime5%
Drug offences4%
Robbery2%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

7

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 975m

Crime is +265% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 1 sale recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

W2 district median

£817,500

Based on 232 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)1
New build0.0%
Price per m²£15,184/m²
Price per ft²£1,411/ft²
Avg floor area154.2 m²

EPC breakdown

C
2%
D
2%
E
1%

Based on 5 properties · Confidence: low

Street mix

Flat 100%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£385,500
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1930-1949
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialHigh

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1995–2024 · CAGR

+7.3%

Total change

+662%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+46.8%

per year

Acceleration

+72.02

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £250k–£300k · P75: £500k–£600k · 17 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 17 sales

Flat/maisonette100%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1995–1997£282k£170k-39.7%1
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£450k£565k+25.6%1.3
Pre-crash peak2006–2007£400k£1.68m+319.2%1
GFC & correction2011–2012£1.73m£2.34m+35.9%1.5
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2013£2.85m£2.85m+0%1
Brexit uncertainty2019–2019£1.96m£1.96m+0%2
Pandemic surge2021–2021£1.47m£1.47m+0%1
Current market2024–2024£2.15m£2.15m+0%2

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+1.5% alpha

Flat/maisonette+1.5% α
Local
7%
District
5.5%

CAGR over 23yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

58out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Buyer's Market

Neutral conditions

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Sales Volume75
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 4

Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Better than 87% of London
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral line
1.3 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
1 min walk
London Paddington Rail StationHeathrow Express · Great Western Railway
5 min walk
London PaddingtonNational Rail
5 min walk
PaddingtonElizabeth line
5 min walk
Paddington Underground StationBakerloo · District
6 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

69

Walkability score

338

Footpaths (500m)

20

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

London Bridge34 min ↓
Victoria ★24 min
Waterloo35 min ↓
Canary Wharf39 min ↓
City35 min ↓

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

6

Car parks (800m)

3

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park85m
Santander docks (800m)20
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
788m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterMEDIUM
Medium
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 28.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 16.0 µg/m³
Better than 78% of London
NoiseHIGH
road
Noisier than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 0.9 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 70%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Hampstead Heath Woods SSSI — 6.3 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

ADHD RTC MSE HEALTHCARE CENTRAL LONDON

HCL LTD, CAPITAL HOUSE, 25 CHAPEL STREET, NW1 5DH

12 min walk

2

GPs within 1km

6

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 558 m
Nearest A&EUNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON HOSPITALS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 3.1 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%79.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

66

Parks (1km)

70

Restaurants (800m)

38

Cafes (800m)

10

Pubs (400m)

3

Pharmacies (800m)

4

Gyms (1km)

4

Sports (1km)

16

Convenience

Nearest supermarketOseyo · 447 m

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

10

Late-night venues

B
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

2

Cinemas (2km)

756m

Post office

Nearby shops

Maysara85 m
LG Food & News176 m
EuropaFood231 m
Laurents236 m

Nearby cafes

The Bathurst Deli95 m
Italian Gardens Cafe146 m
Sheila's Cafe154 m
Elvis's Bistro & Takeaway157 m

Nearby restaurants

Rose Garden Restaurant76 m
Tortello83 m
Nipa93 m
IBU101 m

Nearby pubs

Stablehand101 m
The Swan124 m
Old Mary's161 m
The Mitre170 m

Nearby gyms

Ultimate Performance276 m
F45 Training758 m
12x3 Gym778 m
Nuffield Health Fitness & Wellbeing779 m

Nearby pharmacies

Moore's Pharmacy244 m
Boots388 m
Apek Pharmacy551 m
Hogg & Son Pharmacy692 m

Nearby health

Hyde Park Dental Clinic104 m
Paddington Dental Practice243 m
Bayswater Medical Centre263 m
St Mary's Hospital558 m
Food hygiene (5-star)60% of 242

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

53

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score37/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44
Sales last 12 months0

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

4/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

68

Price growth score

B
High

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score24/100
Bakerloo Extension route5,589m
Crossrail 2 route2,571m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 4/10

More deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

More deprived than average

Rank: 11,815 nationally

1,278

Est. population

17,042/km²

56%

Employed

68%

Degree educated

£50,500

Median income

4.3%

Claimant rate

Inner cityVery high densityYoung professionals

21

Community stability

Age profile

13%
48%
19%
Under 1813%
18–3448%
35–4919%
50–6412%
65+8%

Tenure

14%
66%
Own outright14%
Own (mortgage)10%
Private rent66%
Social rent9%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

20%
41%
19%
White British20%
White Other41%
Asian19%
Black4%
Mixed7%
Other9%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional45%
Routine / semi-routine6%
No car household76%
Unemployed6%
No qualifications8%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent67%
Social rent9%

vs. London

Income vs London+20.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
151
Live planning apps (800m)
32
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
2
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
65
Planning apps (3 years)
37
Local approval rate
92%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
1

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
26
Largest scheme
335 homes · Former North Westminster Community School, Former North Westminster Community School, North Wharf Road, W2 1LF
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

MILNE HOUSE, 1-3, MILNE HOUSE, 1-3, NORFOLK SQUARE, W245 homes
completed
27, Lancaster Gate, W2 3LP23 homes
completed
33-35, 33-35, LANCASTER GATE, W221 homes
completed
GARAGES, 1-10, GARAGES, 1-10, CONDUIT MEWS, W219 homes
completed
7, 7, WESTBOURNE TERRACE, W219 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Rachel Blake (Labour (Co-op))
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 3PD

Full postcodeW2 3PD
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.512593
Longitude-0.176079
Parliamentary constituencyCities of London and Westminster
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey