Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Cities of London and Westminster constituency · 51.51541, -0.17798

W2 3RG— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3RG, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

City living at its best

 

Top 8% LondonSchools 100%Safety 46/100Transport 79/100Yield 4.35%

Best for: Commuters, Young professionals

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Well-connected — strong transport access

Liveability
74
Safety
46
Schools
60
Transport
79
Environment
80
Investment
54

The bottom line

W2 3RG offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), good transport links and a green environment at £722,500 median — a strong choice for Commuters and Young professionals.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 3RG

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: StrongRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London avg price+38.9% vs London avg
vs London income+20.2% vs London avg
vs London crime+265.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3RG

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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How W2 3RG has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

St James & St John Church of England Primary School

Not yet inspected · 4 min walk

KS2: 108.0

—

Secondary

Marylebone Boys' School

Not yet inspected · 5 min walk

P8: +0.17A8: 52.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 13 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

★★★

Childcare

Portman Early Childhood Centre

Outstanding · 16 min walk

3 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Medium crime

237.1 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 1217.4%

-46% vs borough

Crime by type

Other39%
Violence & sexual offences17%
Theft16%
Anti-social behaviour12%
Burglary6%
Vehicle crime5%
Drug offences4%
Robbery2%

Road safety

95

Road safety score

1

Accidents (5yr)

1

KSI (5yr)

4

Serious within 200m

MEDIUM pedestrian risk1 pedestrian casualties (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 640m

Crime is +265% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

£722,500

Median sale price

Above London median by 39%

£722,500 is 39% above the London median (£520,000)

-48.1%

This year

Terraced

Dominant type

Price history

5-year change
+41.7%
Sales (24 months)8
New build0.0%
Avg terraced£1,300,000
Avg flat£675,000
Price per m²£7,495/m²
Price per ft²£696/ft²
Avg floor area104 m²

EPC breakdown

A
1%
B
17%
C
14%
D
11%
E
3%

Based on 46 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Terraced 70%Flat 28%Other 2%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Stamp duty

Standard buyer£23,625
First-time buyerFTB
£23,625
Additional propertyBTL/2nd
£45,300

England & NI rates 2025/26. Additional property rate adds 3% on each band.

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

14.3×

Price-to-income

£3,614/mo

Est. mortgage

Medium

Market activity

60d

Days to sell

Falling

Market momentum

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£260,000
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1900-1929
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofAverage thermal transmittance 0.12 W/m²K
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialHigh

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1995–2026 · CAGR

+4.7%

Total change

+321%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+15.9%

per year

Acceleration

+78.30

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £300k–£350k · P75: £250k–£300k · 42 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 42 sales

Terraced71.4%
Flat/maisonette28.6%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1995–1999£161k£575k+258.3%1.5
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2002£250k£475k+90%3
Pre-crash peak2006–2007£650k£845k+30%2
GFC & correction2008–2011£800k£1.53m+91.2%1
Help-to-Buy recovery2014–2016£2.00m£810k-59.5%1.5
Pandemic surge2020–2021£1.20m£510k-57.5%1.5
Rate-rise correction2022–2023£2.50m£2.09m-16.5%2.5
Current market2024–2026£1.55m£675k-56.5%3.7

Price Trajectory by Type

TerracedFlat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Terraced

+0.6% alpha

Weakest performer

Flat/maisonette

-1.7% alpha

Terraced+0.6% α
Local
7.2%
District
6.6%
Flat/maisonette-1.7% α
Local
2.5%
District
4.2%

CAGR over 28yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

46out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Balanced Market

Neutral conditions

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing8
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Top 10% — exceptional connectivity
PaddingtonElizabeth line line
1.6 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

PaddingtonElizabeth line
2 min walk
London Paddington Rail StationElizabeth line · Great Western Railway
2 min walk
London PaddingtonNational Rail
2 min walk
Paddington Underground StationBakerloo · District
3 min walk
Paddington (H&C Line)-UndergroundCircle · Hammersmith & City
4 min walk
15 bus routes · 9 stops within 400m · 107 buses/hr peak

89

Walkability score

350

Footpaths (500m)

22

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

London Bridge34 min ↓
Victoria ★24 min
Waterloo35 min ↓
Canary Wharf39 min ↓
City35 min ↓

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

8

Car parks (800m)

4

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park326m
Santander docks (800m)22
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
466m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 31.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 22.0 µg/m³
Better than 73% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 0.8 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 58%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Hampstead Heath Woods SSSI — 6.0 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

ADHD RTC MSE HEALTHCARE CENTRAL LONDON

HCL LTD, CAPITAL HOUSE, 25 CHAPEL STREET, NW1 5DH

10 min walk

2

GPs within 1km

6

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 345 m
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.3 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

93

Parks (1km)

85

Restaurants (800m)

45

Cafes (800m)

11

Pubs (400m)

3

Pharmacies (800m)

4

Gyms (1km)

8

Sports (1km)

19

Convenience

Nearest supermarketOseyo · 245 m
3 tennis courts1 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

11

Late-night venues

B
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

1

Cinemas (2km)

612m

Post office

Nearby shops

Sainsbury's Local102 m
Newsagents & Gift106 m
M&S Simply Food119 m
Granier119 m

Nearby cafes

Costa96 m
FCB Coffee104 m
Cafe Dylan Dog113 m
Starbucks129 m

Nearby restaurants

Turmeric Kitchen22 m
Bizzaro77 m
Vapiano94 m
Wasabi98 m

Nearby pubs

The Mad Bishop & Bear96 m
The Pride of Paddington125 m
Cabin Bar157 m
The Bear170 m

Nearby gyms

Ultimate Performance88 m
Nuffield Health Fitness & Wellbeing440 m
12x3 Gym440 m
F45 Training597 m

Nearby pharmacies

Boots155 m
Moore's Pharmacy245 m
Apek Pharmacy410 m
Superdrug686 m

Nearby health

Paddington Dental Practice106 m
Bayswater Medical Centre233 m
St Mary's Hospital345 m
Hyde Park Dental Clinic430 m
Food hygiene (5-star)62% of 287

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

54

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
4.3% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score54/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44
Sales last 12 months3

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Medium

Market activity

60d

Est. days to sell

25/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

81.1

Price growth score

A
High

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumHigh investment qualityExcellent transport accessConfirmed 5yr price momentum

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score20/100
Bakerloo Extension route5,824m
Crossrail 2 route2,764m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 4/10

More deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

More deprived than average

Rank: 11,815 nationally

1,278

Est. population

17,042/km²

56%

Employed

68%

Degree educated

£50,500

Median income

4.3%

Claimant rate

Urban coreVery high densityYoung professionals

21

Community stability

Age profile

13%
48%
19%
Under 1813%
18–3448%
35–4919%
50–6412%
65+8%

Tenure

14%
66%
Own outright14%
Own (mortgage)10%
Private rent66%
Social rent9%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

20%
41%
19%
White British20%
White Other41%
Asian19%
Black4%
Mixed7%
Other9%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional45%
Routine / semi-routine6%
No car household76%
Unemployed6%
No qualifications8%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent67%
Social rent9%

vs. London

Income vs London+20.2%
Price vs London+38.9%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
176
Live planning apps (800m)
36
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
2
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
81
Planning apps (3 years)
45
Local approval rate
93%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
27
Largest scheme
335 homes · Former North Westminster Community School, Former North Westminster Community School, North Wharf Road, W2 1LF
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

PADDINGTON BASIN, LAND AT, PADDINGTON BASIN, LAND AT, HERMITAGE STREET, W2 0XX222 homes
completed
Dudley House, Dudley House, North Wharf Road, 139-147 Harrow Road, W2 1LE197 homes
completed
55-65, 55-65, North Wharf Road, W2 1LA100 homes
completed
108-132, 108-132, WESTBOURNE TERRACE, W299 homes
completed
MILNE HOUSE, 1-3, MILNE HOUSE, 1-3, NORFOLK SQUARE, W245 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Rachel Blake (Labour (Co-op))
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

Stamp Duty & Affordability Calculator

Stamp duty on median price (£722,500)

£23,625

Standard buyer

£23,625

First-time buyer

Affordability check — your annual salary

£

Deposit

Affordability uses 4.5× single income and 4.75% indicative rate over 25 years. Not financial advice.

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Key facts for W2 3RG

Full postcodeW2 3RG
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.515411
Longitude-0.177984
Parliamentary constituencyCities of London and Westminster
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey