Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Kensington and Bayswater constituency · 51.51256, -0.18734

W2 3RL— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3RL, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Top 13% LondonSchools 100%Safety 46/100Transport 60/100Yield 3.85%⚠ Knotweed sites nearby

Best for: Most buyers

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Strong, well-rated schools set this area apart

Liveability
72
Safety
46
Schools
90
Transport
60
Environment
99
Investment
64

The bottom line

W2 3RL offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and a green environment — strong value for Most buyers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 1 Japanese knotweed site within 400m — may affect mortgage applications.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 3RL

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+7.6% vs London avg
vs London crime+276.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3RL

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

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“High-connectivity investment target”

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How W2 3RL has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

Hallfield Primary School

Not yet inspected · 2 min walk

KS2: 110.4

★★

Secondary

Westminster Academy

Good · Inspected Oct 2023 · 12 min walk

P8: -0.04A8: 47.8

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 17 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Golborne & Maxilla Nursery School

Not inspected · 20 min walk

5 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Medium crime

244.6 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 404.7%

-44% vs borough

Crime by type

Other38%
Violence & sexual offences16%
Anti-social behaviour13%
Theft10%
Vehicle crime7%
Burglary7%
Drug offences5%
Robbery4%

Stop & search

4.0

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

99

Road safety score

1

Accidents (5yr)

2

Serious within 200m

LOW pedestrian risk

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 888m

Crime is +276% above London average

Property

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Avg floor area56.2 m²

EPC breakdown

C
16%
D
14%
E
2%
F
1%
G
1%

Based on 34 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Terraced 22%Flat 44%Other 33%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£140,500
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction erabefore 1900
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

2002–2020 · CAGR

+1.2%

Total change

+23%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-75.6%

per year

Acceleration

-376.43

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £500k–£600k · P75: £600k–£700k · 6 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 6 sales

Terraced33.3%
Flat/maisonette66.7%

By decade

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Post-dot-com plateau2002–2002£500k£500k+0%1
Pre-crash peak2007–2007£668k£668k+0%1
Help-to-Buy recovery2015–2015£630k£630k+0%2
Brexit uncertainty2018–2018£2.52m£2.52m+0%1
Pandemic surge2020–2020£615k£615k+0%1

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

100out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Buyer's Market

Favours buyers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Above London average
Bayswater Underground StationDistrict line
0.6 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Bayswater Underground StationDistrict · Circle
1 min walk
Queensway Underground StationCentral
3 min walk
Notting Hill Gate Underground StationCircle · District
9 min walk
Royal Oak Underground StationHammersmith & City · Circle
9 min walk
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
10 min walk
1 bus routes · 9 stops within 400m · 42 buses/hr peak

69

Walkability score

96

Footpaths (500m)

23

Santander docks (800m)

0.2 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

Canary Wharf42 min ↓
City ★39 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

5

Car parks (800m)

2

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park383m
Santander docks (800m)23
Nearest cycle dock0.2 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Hyde Park Coach and Car Park· yes
383m
🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
699m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 14.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 7.0 µg/m³
Better than 96% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.5 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 64%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Barn Elms Wetland Centre SSSI — 4.8 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE PEMBRIDGE VILLAS SURGERY

45A PEMBRIDGE VILLAS, W11 3EP

8 min walk

87%

Recommend GP

87%

Overall GP experience

2

GPs within 1km

14

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 1.1 km
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.8 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

52

Parks (1km)

81

Restaurants (800m)

32

Cafes (800m)

5

Pubs (400m)

4

Pharmacies (800m)

7

Gyms (1km)

14

Sports (1km)

11

Convenience

Nearest supermarketSmart · 183 m
4 tennis courts1 swimming pools2 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

5

Late-night venues

C
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

3

Libraries (1km)

1

Cinemas (2km)

177m

Post office

Nearby shops

Tesco Express21 m
Sainsbury's Local55 m
Naser64 m
Archie Foodstore75 m

Nearby cafes

The Waffle Factory38 m
Urban Social46 m
Mooboo51 m
Putera Puteri Cafe54 m

Nearby restaurants

Burger King7 m
garum9 m
Subway13 m
Kalamaras13 m

Nearby pubs

The Bayswater Arms33 m
Beachcomber46 m
Prince Alfred124 m
Kings Head126 m

Nearby gyms

Queens Skate Dine Bowl185 m
PureGym195 m
Barry's204 m
Psycle379 m

Nearby pharmacies

Superdrug207 m
Nashi Pharmacy394 m
Bayswater Pharmacy494 m
Moore's Pharmacy561 m

Nearby health

Queensway Dental Practice36 m
Bayswater Dental118 m
Porchester Dental Practice142 m
Garden Square Dental Practice388 m
Food hygiene (5-star)62% of 258

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

64

Investment score

Good

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score36/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Future outlook

55.9

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score8/100
Bakerloo Extension route6,330m
Crossrail 2 route3,334m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 5/10

Around average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Average deprivation level

Rank: 16,537 nationally

1,754

Est. population

16,830/km²

69%

Employed

72%

Degree educated

£45,200

Median income

3.7%

Claimant rate

Urban coreVery high densityYoung professionals

19

Community stability

Age profile

37%
30%
Under 1813%
18–3437%
35–4930%
50–6412%
65+8%

Tenure

14%
70%
Own outright14%
Own (mortgage)10%
Private rent70%
Social rent6%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

23%
42%
16%
White British23%
White Other42%
Asian16%
Black3%
Mixed6%
Other10%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional58%
Routine / semi-routine8%
No car household72%
Unemployed5%
No qualifications8%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent70%
Social rent6%

vs. London

Income vs London+7.6%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
158
Live planning apps (800m)
37
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
89
Planning apps (3 years)
52
Local approval rate
81%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
1

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
94
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
92
Largest scheme
138 homes · 49-53, 49-53, KENSINGTON GARDENS SQUARE, WESTBOURNE GROVE (33-35), W2
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

49-53, 49-53, KENSINGTON GARDENS SQUARE, WESTBOURNE GROVE (33-35), W2138 homes
completed
114, 116, Queensway, W2 6LS94 homes
not_started
7, 7, Fosbury Mews, 2 - 6 Queensway, W2 3JH55 homes
completed
72-82, 72-82, BISHOPS BRIDGE ROAD, W249 homes
completed
25-33, 25-33, INVERNESS TERRACE, W239 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Joe Powell (Labour)
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 3RL

Full postcodeW2 3RL
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.512561
Longitude-0.187336
Parliamentary constituencyKensington and Bayswater
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey