Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Kensington and Bayswater constituency · 51.51136, -0.18498

W2 3SH— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3SH, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Bottom 25% LondonSchools 100%Safety 51/100Transport 58/100Yield 3.85%⚠ Knotweed sites nearby

Best for: Most buyers

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Balanced area — no standout strengths or weaknesses

Liveability
71
Safety
51
Schools
60
Transport
58
Environment
99
Investment
63

The bottom line

W2 3SH offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and a green environment — strong value for Most buyers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 1 Japanese knotweed site within 400m — may affect mortgage applications.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 3SH

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+7.6% vs London avg
vs London crime+220.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3SH

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

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“High-connectivity investment target”

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How W2 3SH has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

Hallfield Primary School

Not yet inspected · 4 min walk

KS2: 110.4

—

Secondary

Marylebone Boys' School

Not yet inspected · 13 min walk

P8: +0.17A8: 52.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 20 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

★★★

Childcare

Portman Early Childhood Centre

Outstanding · 24 min walk

3 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Medium crime

208.1 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 479.2%

-53% vs borough

Crime by type

Other28%
Anti-social behaviour23%
Violence & sexual offences17%
Burglary10%
Vehicle crime8%
Theft8%
Drug offences4%
Robbery2%

Stop & search

1.5

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

99

Road safety score

1

Accidents (5yr)

3

Serious within 200m

LOW pedestrian risk1 pedestrian casualties (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 982m

Crime is +220% above London average

Property

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Avg floor area42.9 m²

EPC breakdown

B
11%
C
33%
D
20%
E
1%
G
1%

Based on 66 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Terraced 4%Flat 91%Other 4%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£107,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1900-1929
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (community)
GlazingSingle glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

2003–2013 · CAGR

+-8.8%

Total change

-60%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+15.6%

per year

Acceleration

-228.11

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £500k–£600k · P75: £150k–£175k · 22 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 22 sales

Terraced4.5%
Flat/maisonette95.5%

By decade

2000s

2010s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Post-dot-com plateau2003–2003£1.99m£1.99m+0%1
Pre-crash peak2005–2005£200k£200k+0%18
GFC & correction2011–2011£688k£688k+0%2
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2013£795k£795k+0%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+13.1% alpha

Flat/maisonette+13.1% α
Local
22.8%
District
9.7%

CAGR over 6yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

7out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Seasonal Timing14

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Above London average
Queensway Underground StationCentral line
2.3 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Queensway Underground StationCentral
2 min walk
Bayswater Underground StationDistrict · Circle
3 min walk
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
8 min walk
PaddingtonElizabeth line
10 min walk
London Paddington Rail StationHeathrow Express · Great Western Railway
10 min walk
1 bus routes · 7 stops within 400m · 20 buses/hr peak

68

Walkability score

83

Footpaths (500m)

24

Santander docks (800m)

0.2 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

Canary Wharf42 min ↓
City ★39 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

4

Car parks (800m)

1

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park417m
Santander docks (800m)24
Nearest cycle dock0.2 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Hyde Park Coach and Car Park· yes
417m
🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
775m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 14.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 7.0 µg/m³
Better than 96% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.4 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 70%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Barn Elms Wetland Centre SSSI — 4.8 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE PEMBRIDGE VILLAS SURGERY

45A PEMBRIDGE VILLAS, W11 3EP

11 min walk

87%

Recommend GP

87%

Overall GP experience

1

GPs within 1km

13

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 1.0 km
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.9 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

50

Parks (1km)

60

Restaurants (800m)

33

Cafes (800m)

4

Pubs (400m)

5

Pharmacies (800m)

7

Gyms (1km)

14

Sports (1km)

9

Convenience

Nearest supermarketSimply Food & Wine · 151 m
4 tennis courts1 swimming pools2 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

4

Late-night venues

D
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

3

Libraries (1km)

2

Cinemas (2km)

360m

Post office

Nearby shops

Little Waitrose98 m
Sol's125 m
Snacks Delight127 m
Midoo Exchange131 m

Nearby cafes

Foreign Exchange122 m
Halepi Cafe122 m
The Central Pantry129 m
The Whale Tea146 m

Nearby restaurants

Halepi124 m
Mykonos142 m
Mandarin Kitchen148 m
Med Salleh Kopitiam152 m

Nearby pubs

The Leinster Arms149 m
The Bayswater Arms241 m
Beachcomber249 m
Prince Alfred309 m

Nearby gyms

Queens Skate Dine Bowl172 m
Barry's176 m
PureGym395 m
Heartcore558 m

Nearby pharmacies

Superdrug389 m
Moore's Pharmacy450 m
Nashi Pharmacy601 m
Bayswater Pharmacy663 m

Nearby health

Queensway Dental Practice240 m
Bayswater Dental319 m
Porchester Dental Practice347 m
Bayswater Medical Centre449 m
Food hygiene (5-star)58% of 225

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

63

Investment score

Good

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score33/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Future outlook

50.1

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score11/100
Bakerloo Extension route6,135m
Crossrail 2 route3,147m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 4/10

More deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

More deprived than average

Rank: 10,461 nationally

1,336

Est. population

18,195/km²

63%

Employed

67%

Degree educated

£45,200

Median income

7.6%

Claimant rate

Urban coreVery high densityYoung professionals

21

Community stability

Age profile

37%
23%
17%
Under 1813%
18–3437%
35–4923%
50–6417%
65+11%

Tenure

16%
66%
Own outright16%
Own (mortgage)10%
Private rent66%
Social rent8%
Rent free0%

Ethnicity

22%
38%
16%
14%
White British22%
White Other38%
Asian16%
Black5%
Mixed6%
Other14%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional50%
Routine / semi-routine12%
No car household74%
Unemployed6%
No qualifications8%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent66%
Social rent8%

vs. London

Income vs London+7.6%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
141
Live planning apps (800m)
34
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
84
Planning apps (3 years)
51
Local approval rate
85%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
1

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
94
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
91
Largest scheme
138 homes · 49-53, 49-53, KENSINGTON GARDENS SQUARE, WESTBOURNE GROVE (33-35), W2
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

114, 116, Queensway, W2 6LS94 homes
not_started
75 - 89, 75 - 89, Lancaster Gate, W2 3NN85 homes
completed
7, 7, Fosbury Mews, 2 - 6 Queensway, W2 3JH55 homes
completed
25-33, 25-33, INVERNESS TERRACE, W239 homes
completed
18, 18, Leinster Gardens, W2 3BH37 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Joe Powell (Labour)
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 3SH

Full postcodeW2 3SH
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.511364
Longitude-0.184977
Parliamentary constituencyKensington and Bayswater
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey