Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Kensington and Bayswater constituency · 51.51182, -0.18378

W2 3TH— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3TH, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Top 8% LondonSchools 100%Safety 51/100Transport 68/100Yield 3.85%

Best for: Young professionals

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Balanced area — no standout strengths or weaknesses

Liveability
74
Safety
51
Schools
60
Transport
68
Environment
99
Investment
63

The bottom line

W2 3TH offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and a green environment — a strong choice for Young professionals.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 3TH

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+7.6% vs London avg
vs London crime+220.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3TH

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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“High-connectivity investment target”

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How W2 3TH has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

Hallfield Primary School

Not yet inspected · 4 min walk

KS2: 110.4

—

Secondary

Marylebone Boys' School

Not yet inspected · 12 min walk

P8: +0.17A8: 52.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 18 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

★★★

Childcare

Portman Early Childhood Centre

Outstanding · 23 min walk

2 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Medium crime

208.1 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 479.2%

-53% vs borough

Crime by type

Other28%
Anti-social behaviour23%
Violence & sexual offences17%
Burglary10%
Vehicle crime8%
Theft8%
Drug offences4%
Robbery2%

Stop & search

1.5

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

5

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 924m

Crime is +220% above London average

Property

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Avg floor area315.8 m²

EPC breakdown

C
2%
D
3%
E
1%

Based on 6 properties · Confidence: low

Street mix

Terraced 80%Detached 20%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£789,500
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1950-1966
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofFlat, no insulation (assumed)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1997–2023 · CAGR

+6.8%

Total change

+454%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+14.9%

per year

Acceleration

-118.51

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £700k+ · P75: £700k+ · 5 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 5 sales

Detached20%
Terraced80%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1997–1997£775k£775k+0%1
Post-dot-com plateau2004–2004£1.60m£1.60m+0%1
Brexit uncertainty2019–2019£3.73m£3.73m+0%1
Rate-rise correction2023–2023£4.29m£4.29m+0%2

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

0out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Better than 78% of London
Queensway Underground StationCentral line
3.5 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Queensway Underground StationCentral
4 min walk
Bayswater Underground StationDistrict · Circle
4 min walk
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
7 min walk
PaddingtonElizabeth line
9 min walk
London Paddington Rail StationHeathrow Express · Great Western Railway
9 min walk
1 bus routes · 7 stops within 400m · 6 buses/hr peak

62

Walkability score

70

Footpaths (500m)

24

Santander docks (800m)

0.3 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

Canary Wharf42 min ↓
City ★39 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

5

Car parks (800m)

1

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park436m
Santander docks (800m)24
Nearest cycle dock0.3 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Hyde Park Coach and Car Park· yes
515m
🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
714m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterMEDIUM
Medium
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 14.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 7.0 µg/m³
Better than 96% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.4 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 70%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Barn Elms Wetland Centre SSSI — 4.9 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE PEMBRIDGE VILLAS SURGERY

45A PEMBRIDGE VILLAS, W11 3EP

12 min walk

87%

Recommend GP

87%

Overall GP experience

1

GPs within 1km

13

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 911 m
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.8 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

53

Parks (1km)

62

Restaurants (800m)

29

Cafes (800m)

1

Pubs (400m)

4

Pharmacies (800m)

8

Gyms (1km)

15

Sports (1km)

4

Convenience

Nearest supermarketSimply Food & Wine · 249 m
4 tennis courts1 swimming pools2 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

1

Late-night venues

E
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

3

Libraries (1km)

2

Cinemas (2km)

373m

Post office

Nearby shops

Snacks Delight34 m
Midoo Exchange34 m
Sol's41 m
Little Waitrose125 m

Nearby cafes

The Central Pantry34 m
Foreign Exchange49 m
Halepi Cafe62 m
Putera Puteri Cafe239 m

Nearby restaurants

Mykonos48 m
Halepi69 m
Med Salleh Kopitiam212 m
Pizza Pilgrims236 m

Nearby pubs

The Leinster Arms68 m
Beachcomber288 m
The Bayswater Arms293 m
Prince Alfred329 m

Nearby gyms

Queens Skate Dine Bowl268 m
Barry's273 m
PureGym455 m
Ultimate Performance596 m

Nearby pharmacies

Moore's Pharmacy353 m
Superdrug398 m
Nashi Pharmacy626 m
Bayswater Pharmacy650 m

Nearby health

Queensway Dental Practice280 m
Bayswater Dental347 m
Bayswater Medical Centre351 m
Porchester Dental Practice376 m
Food hygiene (5-star)57% of 227

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

63

Investment score

Good

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score32/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Future outlook

52.5

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score11/100
Bakerloo Extension route6,070m
Crossrail 2 route3,076m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 4/10

More deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

More deprived than average

Rank: 10,461 nationally

1,336

Est. population

18,195/km²

63%

Employed

67%

Degree educated

£45,200

Median income

7.6%

Claimant rate

Urban coreVery high densityYoung professionals

21

Community stability

Age profile

37%
23%
17%
Under 1813%
18–3437%
35–4923%
50–6417%
65+11%

Tenure

16%
66%
Own outright16%
Own (mortgage)10%
Private rent66%
Social rent8%
Rent free0%

Ethnicity

22%
38%
16%
14%
White British22%
White Other38%
Asian16%
Black5%
Mixed6%
Other14%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional50%
Routine / semi-routine12%
No car household74%
Unemployed6%
No qualifications8%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent66%
Social rent8%

vs. London

Income vs London+7.6%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
125
Live planning apps (800m)
35
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
83
Planning apps (3 years)
47
Local approval rate
87%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
94
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
82
Largest scheme
99 homes · 108-132, 108-132, WESTBOURNE TERRACE, W2
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

114, 116, Queensway, W2 6LS94 homes
not_started
75 - 89, 75 - 89, Lancaster Gate, W2 3NN85 homes
completed
7, 7, Fosbury Mews, 2 - 6 Queensway, W2 3JH55 homes
completed
25-33, 25-33, INVERNESS TERRACE, W239 homes
completed
18, 18, Leinster Gardens, W2 3BH37 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Joe Powell (Labour)
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 3TH

Full postcodeW2 3TH
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.511822
Longitude-0.183777
Parliamentary constituencyKensington and Bayswater
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey