Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Cities of London and Westminster constituency · 51.51396, -0.17778

W2 3UP— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3UP, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

City living at its best

 

Top 5% LondonSchools 100%Safety 57/100Transport 77/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 2 sales — thin data⚠ Knotweed sites nearby

Best for: Commuters, Young professionals

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Well-connected — strong transport access

Liveability
79
Safety
57
Schools
60
Transport
77
Environment
80
Investment
55

The bottom line

W2 3UP offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), good transport links and a green environment — strong value for Commuters and Young professionals who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 1 Japanese knotweed site within 400m — may affect mortgage applications.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 3UP

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
HighYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+20.2% vs London avg
vs London crime+168.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3UP

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

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“City living at its best”

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How W2 3UP has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

St James & St John Church of England Primary School

Not yet inspected · 2 min walk

KS2: 108.0

—

Secondary

Marylebone Boys' School

Not yet inspected · 7 min walk

P8: +0.17A8: 52.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 11 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

★★★

Childcare

Portman Early Childhood Centre

Outstanding · 18 min walk

3 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Medium crime

174.1 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 31900.0%

-60% vs borough

Crime by type

Other41%
Violence & sexual offences13%
Theft13%
Anti-social behaviour12%
Burglary9%
Vehicle crime5%
Robbery4%
Drug offences3%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

1

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 784m

Crime is +168% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 2 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

W2 district median

£817,500

Based on 232 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)2
New build0.0%
Price per m²£18,378/m²
Price per ft²£1,707/ft²
Avg floor area56.9 m²

EPC breakdown

C
25%
D
20%
E
18%
F
4%

Based on 67 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Flat 99%Other 1%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£142,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction erabefore 1900
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelelectricity (not community)
GlazingSingle glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialHigh

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1995–2025 · CAGR

+4.5%

Total change

+270%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-65.0%

per year

Acceleration

-300.72

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £450k–£500k · P75: £50k–£75k · 95 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 95 sales

Flat/maisonette100%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1995–2000£100k£142k+42%4.7
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£180k£275k+52.8%4.2
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£621k£505k-18.6%4.3
GFC & correction2008–2012£194k£188k-3.1%3.2
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2016£250k£590k+136%2
Brexit uncertainty2017–2019£770k£966k+25.5%1.3
Pandemic surge2020–2021£256k£873k+240.8%2.5
Rate-rise correction2023–2023£315k£315k+0%1
Current market2024–2025£1.06m£370k-65%1.5

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+2.1% alpha

Flat/maisonette+2.1% α
Local
9.2%
District
7.1%

CAGR over 28yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

71out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Buyer's Market

Favours buyers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing10
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Better than 89% of London
PaddingtonElizabeth line line
3.4 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

London Paddington Rail StationElizabeth line · Great Western Railway
3 min walk
London PaddingtonNational Rail
3 min walk
PaddingtonElizabeth line
4 min walk
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
4 min walk
Paddington Underground StationBakerloo · District
4 min walk
15 bus routes · 7 stops within 400m · 65 buses/hr peak

86

Walkability score

337

Footpaths (500m)

23

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

London Bridge34 min ↓
Victoria ★24 min
Waterloo35 min ↓
Canary Wharf39 min ↓
City35 min ↓

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

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Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

7

Car parks (800m)

3

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park164m
Santander docks (800m)23
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
595m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 31.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 22.0 µg/m³
Better than 73% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 0.9 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 16%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Hampstead Heath Woods SSSI — 6.1 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

ADHD RTC MSE HEALTHCARE CENTRAL LONDON

HCL LTD, CAPITAL HOUSE, 25 CHAPEL STREET, NW1 5DH

11 min walk

2

GPs within 1km

5

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 461 m
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.5 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

83

Parks (1km)

81

Restaurants (800m)

45

Cafes (800m)

11

Pubs (400m)

3

Pharmacies (800m)

4

Gyms (1km)

7

Sports (1km)

19

Convenience

Nearest supermarketOseyo · 349 m
2 tennis courts1 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

11

Late-night venues

B
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

2

Cinemas (2km)

705m

Post office

Nearby shops

Newsagents & Gift89 m
EuropaFood97 m
Premier Wine & Spirits108 m
Laurents110 m

Nearby cafes

La costa cafe126 m
Cafe Dylan Dog138 m
La meena cafe147 m
Elvis's Bistro & Takeaway147 m

Nearby restaurants

Flavors Of India57 m
The Village Paddington81 m
Raffles111 m
Bizzaro113 m

Nearby pubs

The Pride of Paddington151 m
Old Mary's176 m
The Bear177 m
The Mitre184 m

Nearby gyms

Ultimate Performance133 m
Nuffield Health Fitness & Wellbeing599 m
12x3 Gym601 m
F45 Training697 m

Nearby pharmacies

Moore's Pharmacy127 m
Boots266 m
Apek Pharmacy494 m
Superdrug693 m

Nearby health

Paddington Dental Practice100 m
Bayswater Medical Centre130 m
Hyde Park Dental Clinic272 m
St Mary's Hospital461 m
Food hygiene (5-star)62% of 279

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

55

Investment score

Good

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score44/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44
Sales last 12 months0

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

80

Price growth score

A
High

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumHigh investment qualityExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score20/100
Bakerloo Extension route5,752m
Crossrail 2 route2,718m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 7/10

Less deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than average

Rank: 22,442 nationally

1,838

Est. population

13,513/km²

66%

Employed

67%

Degree educated

£50,500

Median income

3.2%

Claimant rate

Urban coreHigh densityYoung professionals

27

Community stability

Age profile

41%
20%
17%
Under 1812%
18–3441%
35–4920%
50–6417%
65+9%

Tenure

17%
15%
55%
Own outright17%
Own (mortgage)15%
Private rent55%
Social rent12%
Shared ownership2%
Rent free0%

Ethnicity

23%
33%
15%
19%
White British23%
White Other33%
Asian15%
Black4%
Mixed7%
Other19%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional55%
Routine / semi-routine8%
No car household70%
Unemployed3%
No qualifications9%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent55%
Social rent12%

vs. London

Income vs London+20.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
158
Live planning apps (800m)
35
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
2
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
73
Planning apps (3 years)
39
Local approval rate
92%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
1

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
27
Largest scheme
335 homes · Former North Westminster Community School, Former North Westminster Community School, North Wharf Road, W2 1LF
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

MILNE HOUSE, 1-3, MILNE HOUSE, 1-3, NORFOLK SQUARE, W245 homes
completed
56-60, 56-60, LANCASTER GATE, W2 3NA30 homes
completed
27, Lancaster Gate, W2 3LP23 homes
completed
33-35, 33-35, LANCASTER GATE, W221 homes
completed
GARAGES, 1-10, GARAGES, 1-10, CONDUIT MEWS, W219 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Rachel Blake (Labour (Co-op))
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 3UP

Full postcodeW2 3UP
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.513959
Longitude-0.177783
Parliamentary constituencyCities of London and Westminster
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey