Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Cities of London and Westminster constituency · 51.51362, -0.17712

W2 3UW— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 3UW, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

City living at its best

 

Top 13% LondonSchools 100%Safety 46/100Transport 77/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 2 sales — thin data⚠ Knotweed sites nearby

Best for: Commuters, Young professionals

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Well-connected — strong transport access

Liveability
72
Safety
46
Schools
60
Transport
77
Environment
80
Investment
54

The bottom line

W2 3UW offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), good transport links and a green environment — strong value for Commuters and Young professionals who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 1 Japanese knotweed site within 400m — may affect mortgage applications.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 3UW

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+20.2% vs London avg
vs London crime+265.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 3UW

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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How W2 3UW has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

St James & St John Church of England Primary School

Not yet inspected · 2 min walk

KS2: 108.0

—

Secondary

Marylebone Boys' School

Not yet inspected · 7 min walk

P8: +0.17A8: 52.2

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 12 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

★★★

Childcare

Portman Early Childhood Centre

Outstanding · 18 min walk

3 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Medium crime

237.1 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 1217.4%

-46% vs borough

Crime by type

Other39%
Violence & sexual offences17%
Theft16%
Anti-social behaviour12%
Burglary6%
Vehicle crime5%
Drug offences4%
Robbery2%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

2

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 840m

Crime is +265% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 2 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

W2 district median

£817,500

Based on 232 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)2
New build0.0%
Price per m²£10,708/m²
Price per ft²£995/ft²
Avg floor area68.6 m²

EPC breakdown

C
30%
D
14%
E
13%
F
4%
G
1%

Based on 62 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Terraced 2%Flat 98%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£171,500
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction erabefore 1900
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingSingle glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialHigh

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1995–2026 · CAGR

+2.9%

Total change

+146%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-12.6%

per year

Acceleration

-7.61

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £350k–£400k · P75: £450k–£500k · 106 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 106 sales

Terraced1.9%
Flat/maisonette98.1%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1995–2000£270k£163k-39.8%2.8
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£320k£307k-4.2%5.5
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£242k£305k+26%7.7
GFC & correction2008–2012£460k£500k+8.7%3.8
Help-to-Buy recovery2014–2016£492k£815k+65.5%4
Brexit uncertainty2017–2019£875k£715k-18.3%2.3
Pandemic surge2020–2021£455k£1.52m+233.5%2
Rate-rise correction2022–2023£1.10m£718k-34.8%2
Current market2024–2026£800k£664k-17%1.7

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+-2.2% alpha

Flat/maisonette-2.2% α
Local
4.9%
District
7.1%

CAGR over 28yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

64out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Buyer's Market

Neutral conditions

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Sales Volume53
Seasonal Timing4
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Better than 89% of London
Paddington Underground StationDistrict line
2.7 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
3 min walk
London Paddington Rail StationHeathrow Express · Great Western Railway
3 min walk
London PaddingtonNational Rail
3 min walk
PaddingtonElizabeth line
4 min walk
Paddington Underground StationBakerloo · District
4 min walk
15 bus routes · 7 stops within 400m · 55 buses/hr peak

86

Walkability score

344

Footpaths (500m)

21

Santander docks (800m)

0.2 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

London Bridge34 min ↓
Victoria ★24 min
Waterloo35 min ↓
Canary Wharf39 min ↓
City35 min ↓

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

7

Car parks (800m)

3

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park130m
Santander docks (800m)21
Nearest cycle dock0.2 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
654m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 31.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 22.0 µg/m³
Better than 73% of London
NoiseMEDIUM
road
MODERATE
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 0.9 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 28%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Hampstead Heath Woods SSSI — 6.2 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

ADHD RTC MSE HEALTHCARE CENTRAL LONDON

HCL LTD, CAPITAL HOUSE, 25 CHAPEL STREET, NW1 5DH

11 min walk

2

GPs within 1km

5

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 473 m
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.5 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

82

Parks (1km)

81

Restaurants (800m)

44

Cafes (800m)

12

Pubs (400m)

3

Pharmacies (800m)

4

Gyms (1km)

5

Sports (1km)

18

Convenience

Nearest supermarketOseyo · 359 m
1 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

12

Late-night venues

B
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

2

Cinemas (2km)

703m

Post office

Nearby shops

Newsagents & Gift113 m
EuropaFood133 m
Laurents143 m
Premier Wine & Spirits150 m

Nearby cafes

Elvis's Bistro & Takeaway134 m
Harrisons Coffee143 m
Les Filles144 m
Mille Patisserie146 m

Nearby restaurants

Flavors Of India114 m
The Village Paddington121 m
Raffles130 m
Il Gusto140 m

Nearby pubs

Old Mary's160 m
The Pride of Paddington160 m
The Mitre169 m
The Bear171 m

Nearby gyms

Ultimate Performance157 m
12x3 Gym648 m
Nuffield Health Fitness & Wellbeing649 m
F45 Training698 m

Nearby pharmacies

Moore's Pharmacy157 m
Boots284 m
Apek Pharmacy492 m
Hogg & Son Pharmacy735 m

Nearby health

Paddington Dental Practice121 m
Bayswater Medical Centre169 m
Hyde Park Dental Clinic222 m
St Mary's Hospital473 m
Food hygiene (5-star)61% of 271

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

54

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score40/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

74.3

Price growth score

B
High

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumHigh investment qualityExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score20/100
Bakerloo Extension route5,696m
Crossrail 2 route2,665m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 4/10

More deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

More deprived than average

Rank: 11,815 nationally

1,278

Est. population

17,042/km²

56%

Employed

68%

Degree educated

£50,500

Median income

4.3%

Claimant rate

Urban coreVery high densityYoung professionals

21

Community stability

Age profile

13%
48%
19%
Under 1813%
18–3448%
35–4919%
50–6412%
65+8%

Tenure

14%
66%
Own outright14%
Own (mortgage)10%
Private rent66%
Social rent9%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

20%
41%
19%
White British20%
White Other41%
Asian19%
Black4%
Mixed7%
Other9%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional45%
Routine / semi-routine6%
No car household76%
Unemployed6%
No qualifications8%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent67%
Social rent9%

vs. London

Income vs London+20.2%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
159
Live planning apps (800m)
29
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
2
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
76
Planning apps (3 years)
39
Local approval rate
92%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
1

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
27
Largest scheme
335 homes · Former North Westminster Community School, Former North Westminster Community School, North Wharf Road, W2 1LF
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

MILNE HOUSE, 1-3, MILNE HOUSE, 1-3, NORFOLK SQUARE, W245 homes
completed
27, Lancaster Gate, W2 3LP23 homes
completed
33-35, 33-35, LANCASTER GATE, W221 homes
completed
GARAGES, 1-10, GARAGES, 1-10, CONDUIT MEWS, W219 homes
completed
7, 7, WESTBOURNE TERRACE, W219 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Rachel Blake (Labour (Co-op))
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 3UW

Full postcodeW2 3UW
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.513616
Longitude-0.177119
Parliamentary constituencyCities of London and Westminster
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey