Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Kensington and Bayswater constituency · 51.51169, -0.18896

W2 4AW— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 4AW, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Top 5% LondonSchools 100%Safety 70/100Transport 59/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 1 sales — thin data⚠ Knotweed sites nearby

Best for: Families

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Strong, well-rated schools set this area apart

Liveability
80
Safety
70
Schools
90
Transport
59
Environment
99
Investment
50

The bottom line

W2 4AW offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime and a green environment — strong value for Families who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 1 Japanese knotweed site within 400m — may affect mortgage applications.

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Location

W2 4AW

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+7.6% vs London avg
vs London crime+37.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 4AW

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🚇 Hyper-Connected🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe🍕 Buzzing

“High-connectivity investment target”

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How W2 4AW has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

Hallfield Primary School

Not yet inspected · 4 min walk

KS2: 110.4

★★

Secondary

Westminster Academy

Good · Inspected Oct 2023 · 13 min walk

P8: -0.04A8: 47.8

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 17 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Golborne & Maxilla Nursery School

Not inspected · 20 min walk

4 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

89.2 incidents per 1,000 residents

Higher crime than 67% of London
↑ Rising 300.0%

-80% vs borough

Crime by type

Other26%
Burglary19%
Vehicle crime18%
Anti-social behaviour15%
Theft9%
Violence & sexual offences8%
Drug offences4%
Robbery2%

Stop & search

2.5

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

1

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Kensington Fire Station · 976m

Crime is +37% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 1 sale recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

W2 district median

£817,500

Based on 232 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)1
New build0.0%
Price per m²£11,601/m²
Price per ft²£1,078/ft²
Avg floor area183.6 m²

EPC breakdown

C
2%
D
5%
E
2%
F
1%

Based on 10 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Terraced 83%Detached 17%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£459,000
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1950-1966
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofPitched, no insulation (assumed)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingPartial double glazing
Council tax band Band GAnnual charge £1,510
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1998–2025 · CAGR

+5.2%

Total change

+288%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-47.4%

per year

Acceleration

-55.94

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £300k–£350k · P75: £700k+ · 12 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 12 sales

Detached16.7%
Terraced83.3%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1998–1999£515k£334k-35.1%1
Post-dot-com plateau2003–2003£1.80m£1.80m+0%1
Pre-crash peak2006–2006£941k£941k+0%2
GFC & correction2010–2010£1.56m£1.56m+0%1
Brexit uncertainty2017–2019£1.70m£1.86m+9.4%1
Pandemic surge2020–2021£3.10m£3.50m+12.9%1
Rate-rise correction2022–2022£3.80m£3.80m+0%1
Current market2025–2025£2.00m£2.00m+0%1

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

100out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Buyer's Market

Favours buyers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Above London average
Bayswater Underground StationDistrict line
1.1 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Bayswater Underground StationDistrict · Circle
1 min walk
Queensway Underground StationCentral
2 min walk
Notting Hill Gate Underground StationCircle · District
7 min walk
Royal Oak Underground StationHammersmith & City · Circle
10 min walk
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
12 min walk
1 bus routes · 10 stops within 400m · 40 buses/hr peak

69

Walkability score

88

Footpaths (500m)

25

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

Canary Wharf42 min ↓
City ★39 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

5

Car parks (800m)

2

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park243m
Santander docks (800m)25
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Hyde Park Coach and Car Park· yes
243m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 14.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 7.0 µg/m³
Better than 96% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.7 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 40%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Barn Elms Wetland Centre SSSI — 4.7 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE PEMBRIDGE VILLAS SURGERY

45A PEMBRIDGE VILLAS, W11 3EP

7 min walk

87%

Recommend GP

87%

Overall GP experience

2

GPs within 1km

18

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 1.2 km
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.9 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

54

Parks (1km)

90

Restaurants (800m)

36

Cafes (800m)

5

Pubs (400m)

4

Pharmacies (800m)

8

Gyms (1km)

16

Sports (1km)

9

Convenience

Nearest supermarketSmart · 162 m
5 tennis courts1 swimming pools2 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

5

Late-night venues

C
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

4

Libraries (1km)

1

Cinemas (2km)

287m

Post office

Nearby shops

4 UR Convenience91 m
Dacha95 m
Sainsbury's Local103 m
Cap News110 m

Nearby cafes

Byzantium87 m
Pastada89 m
Starbucks95 m
Dr Power106 m

Nearby restaurants

Cocoro Kaiseki87 m
Bella Italia93 m
Five Guys94 m
Taste of India95 m

Nearby pubs

Kings Head77 m
Phoenix95 m
The Bayswater Arms134 m
Beachcomber174 m

Nearby gyms

Queens Skate Dine Bowl143 m
Barry's157 m
PureGym159 m
Heartcore281 m

Nearby pharmacies

Superdrug314 m
Nashi Pharmacy432 m
Bayswater Pharmacy590 m
Notting Hill Pharmacy615 m

Nearby health

Queensway Dental Practice169 m
Bayswater Dental219 m
Porchester Dental Practice228 m
Garden Square Dental Practice415 m
Food hygiene (5-star)65% of 275

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

50

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score41/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

63.5

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score8/100
Bakerloo Extension route6,410m
Crossrail 2 route3,425m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 7/10

Less deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than average

Rank: 21,484 nationally

1,211

Est. population

18,165/km²

59%

Employed

69%

Degree educated

£45,200

Median income

1.8%

Claimant rate

Urban coreVery high densityYoung professionals

33

Community stability

Age profile

21%
28%
24%
16%
Under 1821%
18–3428%
35–4924%
50–6416%
65+11%

Tenure

29%
14%
51%
Own outright29%
Own (mortgage)14%
Private rent51%
Social rent6%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

31%
39%
15%
White British31%
White Other39%
Asian15%
Black2%
Mixed5%
Other8%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional54%
Routine / semi-routine7%
No car household60%
Unemployed3%
No qualifications7%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent51%
Social rent6%

vs. London

Income vs London+7.6%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
154
Live planning apps (800m)
33
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
79
Planning apps (3 years)
47
Local approval rate
80%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
1

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
94
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
138
Largest scheme
152 homes · BAYNARD HOUSE (SCHEME 1), 127-131, BAYNARD HOUSE (SCHEME 1), 127-131, WESTBOURNE GROVE, W2
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

49-53, 49-53, KENSINGTON GARDENS SQUARE, WESTBOURNE GROVE (33-35), W2138 homes
completed
114, 116, Queensway, W2 6LS94 homes
not_started
7, 7, Fosbury Mews, 2 - 6 Queensway, W2 3JH55 homes
completed
25-33, 25-33, INVERNESS TERRACE, W239 homes
completed
Compass House, 22, Compass House, 22, Redan Place, W2 4SA30 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Joe Powell (Labour)
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 4AW

Full postcodeW2 4AW
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.511687
Longitude-0.188956
Parliamentary constituencyKensington and Bayswater
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey