Bayswater · Westminster · Kensington and Bayswater constituency · 51.51472, -0.18971

W2 4DGBayswater, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 4DG, Bayswater, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Bottom 25% LondonSchools 100%Safety 46/100Transport 57/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 3 sales — thin data

Best for: Most buyers

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Strong, well-rated schools set this area apart

Liveability
69
Safety
46
Schools
90
Transport
57
Environment
71
Investment
49

The bottom line

W2 4DG offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) — a strong choice for Most buyers.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 4DG

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+7.6% vs London avg
vs London crime+276.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 4DG

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Postcode Personality

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High-connectivity investment target

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How W2 4DG has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km

Primary

Hallfield Primary School

Not yet inspected · 3 min walk

KS2: 110.4

★★

Secondary

Westminster Academy

Good · Inspected Oct 2023 · 9 min walk

P8: -0.04A8: 47.8

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 20 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Mary Paterson Nursery School

Not inspected · 21 min walk

8 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Medium crime

244.6 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 404.7%

-44% vs borough

Crime by type

Other38%
Violence & sexual offences16%
Anti-social behaviour13%
Theft10%
Vehicle crime7%
Burglary7%
Drug offences5%
Robbery4%

Stop & search

4.0

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 750m

Crime is +276% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 3 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

W2 district median

£817,500

Based on 232 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)3
New build0.0%
Price per m²£15,905/m²
Price per ft²£1,478/ft²
Avg floor area64

EPC breakdown

C
28%
D
22%
E
4%
F
2%

Based on 56 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Terraced 1%Flat 99%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£160,000
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction erabefore 1900
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingSingle glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialHigh

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

19952025 · CAGR

+7.4%

Total change

+748%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+47.7%

per year

Acceleration

+46.58

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £75k–£100k · P75: £600k–£700k · 98 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 98 sales

Terraced1%
Flat/maisonette99%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom19952000£115k£240k+108.7%5.7
Post-dot-com plateau20012004£280k£328k+17%5.8
Pre-crash peak20052007£314k£550k+75.4%3
GFC & correction20102012£480k£670k+39.6%2.7
Help-to-Buy recovery20132016£925k£1.05m+13.5%2.5
Brexit uncertainty20172018£795k£790k-0.7%2
Pandemic surge20212021£795k£795k+0%2
Rate-rise correction20232023£653k£653k+0%2
Current market20242025£660k£975k+47.7%3

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+1.1% alpha

Flat/maisonette+1.1% α
Local
7.2%
District
6.1%

CAGR over 30yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

31out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing9
Trend Position40

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Above London average
Bayswater Underground StationDistrict line
3.4 min walk
London PaddingtonPaddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Bayswater Underground StationDistrict · Circle
4 min walk
Royal Oak Underground StationHammersmith & City · Circle
6 min walk
Queensway Underground StationCentral
7 min walk
Notting Hill Gate Underground StationCircle · District
10 min walk
Paddington (H&C Line)-UndergroundCircle · Hammersmith & City
11 min walk
1 bus routes · 10 stops within 400m · 31 buses/hr peak

65

Walkability score

38

Footpaths (500m)

21

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

Canary Wharf42 min
City39 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

5

Car parks (800m)

2

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park443m
Santander docks (800m)21
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Hyde Park Coach and Car Park· yes
562m
🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
609m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 14.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 7.0 µg/m³
Better than 96% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.6 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB7% green spaceTree canopy: 28%
Below average green space

Nearest SSSI: Barn Elms Wetland Centre SSSI — 4.9 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE PEMBRIDGE VILLAS SURGERY

45A PEMBRIDGE VILLAS, W11 3EP

7 min walk

87%

Recommend GP

87%

Overall GP experience

2

GPs within 1km

17

Dentists within 1km

2

Care homes (1km)

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 1.1 km
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.6 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

63

Parks (1km)

90

Restaurants (800m)

37

Cafes (800m)

7

Pubs (400m)

5

Pharmacies (800m)

7

Gyms (1km)

16

Sports (1km)

15

Convenience

Nearest supermarketPlanet Organic · 136 m
4 tennis courts1 swimming pools4 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

1

Nightclubs

8

Late-night venues

C
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

4

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

157m

Post office

Nearby shops

Al-Jana Supermarket113 m
GAIL's123 m
Sainsbury's Local124 m
Tesco Express131 m

Nearby cafes

Salwa90 m
Joe & The Juice93 m
Costa99 m
TABxTAB119 m

Nearby restaurants

Lokkanta93 m
Sadaf95 m
Fresco97 m
Banana Tree100 m

Nearby pubs

The Hayden135 m
Prince Alfred195 m
The Porchester213 m
Beachcomber249 m

Nearby gyms

Psycle91 m
PureGym200 m
1Rebel Bayswater261 m
Porchester Centre277 m

Nearby pharmacies

Nashi Pharmacy104 m
Superdrug142 m
Bayswater Pharmacy272 m
Benson Pharmacy713 m

Nearby health

Garden Square Dental Practice104 m
Number 18 Dental150 m
Porchester Dental Practice151 m
Bayswater Dental179 m
Food hygiene (5-star)61% of 290

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

49

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score39/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

65.1

Price growth score

B
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumHigh investment qualityExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score8/100
Bakerloo Extension route6,561m
Crossrail 2 route3,545m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 5/10

Around average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Average deprivation level

Rank: 16,537 nationally

1,754

Est. population

16,830/km²

69%

Employed

72%

Degree educated

£45,200

Median income

3.7%

Claimant rate

Urban coreVery high densityYoung professionals

19

Community stability

Age profile

37%
30%
Under 1813%
18–3437%
35–4930%
50–6412%
65+8%

Tenure

14%
70%
Own outright14%
Own (mortgage)10%
Private rent70%
Social rent6%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

23%
42%
16%
White British23%
White Other42%
Asian16%
Black3%
Mixed6%
Other10%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional58%
Routine / semi-routine8%
No car household72%
Unemployed5%
No qualifications8%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent70%
Social rent6%

vs. London

Income vs London+7.6%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
126
Live planning apps (800m)
39
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
74
Planning apps (3 years)
55
Local approval rate
70%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
94
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
140
Largest scheme
152 homes · BAYNARD HOUSE (SCHEME 1), 127-131, BAYNARD HOUSE (SCHEME 1), 127-131, WESTBOURNE GROVE, W2
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

49-53, 49-53, KENSINGTON GARDENS SQUARE, WESTBOURNE GROVE (33-35), W2138 homes
completed
114, 116, Queensway, W2 6LS94 homes
not_started
72-82, 72-82, BISHOPS BRIDGE ROAD, W249 homes
completed
25-33, 25-33, INVERNESS TERRACE, W239 homes
completed
Porchester Road, W2 5DX32 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Conservative
Ward majority vote
13.0%
Ward turnout
36%
Election year
2026
MP
Joe Powell (Labour)
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Christabel Diana Beatrice FlightConservative
Maggie CarmanLabour
Mark Brunel TozerConservative

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Key facts for W2 4DG

Full postcodeW2 4DG
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardBayswater
Latitude51.514720
Longitude-0.189715
Parliamentary constituencyKensington and Bayswater
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey