Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Kensington and Bayswater constituency · 51.51041, -0.18855

W2 4RN— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 4RN, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Bottom 25% LondonSchools 83%Safety 41/100Transport 67/100Yield 3.85%⚠ Knotweed sites nearby

Best for: Young professionals

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Strong, well-rated schools set this area apart

Liveability
69
Safety
41
Schools
90
Transport
67
Environment
98
Investment
64

The bottom line

W2 4RN offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) and a green environment — strong value for Young professionals who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 1 Japanese knotweed site within 400m — may affect mortgage applications.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 4RN

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Urban core
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+7.6% vs London avg
vs London crime+324.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 4RN

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🚇 Hyper-Connected🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung⚠️ High crime🍕 Buzzing

“High-connectivity investment target”

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How W2 4RN has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

Hallfield Primary School

Not yet inspected · 5 min walk

KS2: 110.4

★★

Secondary

Westminster Academy

Good · Inspected Oct 2023 · 15 min walk

P8: -0.04A8: 47.8

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 18 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Golborne & Maxilla Nursery School

Not inspected · 21 min walk

4 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

High crime

275.4 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 375.8%

-37% vs borough

Note: high crime per resident is typical of central London postcodes — daytime population is often 5–10× the resident count.

Crime by type

Other38%
Violence & sexual offences15%
Theft13%
Anti-social behaviour12%
Burglary8%
Vehicle crime5%
Robbery5%
Drug offences4%

Stop & search

3.7

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

3

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Kensington Fire Station · 838m

Crime is +324% above London average

Property

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Avg floor area54.5 m²

EPC breakdown

C
4%
D
3%
F
1%

Based on 8 properties · Confidence: low

Street mix

Flat 93%Other 7%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£136,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1950-1966
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1996–2019 · CAGR

+9.9%

Total change

+779%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+134.8%

per year

Acceleration

+147.66

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £300k–£350k · P75: £150k–£175k · 13 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 13 sales

Flat/maisonette100%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1996–2000£154k£249k+62.2%1.3
Post-dot-com plateau2003–2003£330k£330k+0%2
Pre-crash peak2005–2006£208k£367k+76.6%1.5
GFC & correction2008–2011£725k£660k-9%1
Help-to-Buy recovery2016–2016£575k£575k+0%1
Brexit uncertainty2019–2019£1.35m£1.35m+0%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+-2.3% alpha

Flat/maisonette-2.3% α
Local
9.1%
District
11.4%

CAGR over 10yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

5out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Trend Position10

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 5

Very Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Better than 77% of London
Queensway StationCentral line
1.1 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Queensway Underground StationCentral
1 min walk
Bayswater Underground StationDistrict · Circle
3 min walk
Notting Hill Gate Underground StationCircle · District
7 min walk
Lancaster Gate Underground StationCentral
11 min walk
Royal Oak Underground StationCircle · Hammersmith & City
12 min walk
1 bus routes · 10 stops within 400m · 40 buses/hr peak

71

Walkability score

106

Footpaths (500m)

25

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

London Bridge40 min ↑
Victoria ★26 min
Waterloo42 min ↑
Canary Wharf50 min ↑
City38 min ≈

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

6

Car parks (800m)

2

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park149m
Santander docks (800m)25
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Hyde Park Coach and Car Park· yes
149m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 15.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 95% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.7 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 70%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Barn Elms Wetland Centre SSSI — 4.6 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE PEMBRIDGE VILLAS SURGERY

45A PEMBRIDGE VILLAS, W11 3EP

8 min walk

87%

Recommend GP

87%

Overall GP experience

2

GPs within 1km

19

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 1.3 km
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 5.0 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

61

Parks (1km)

87

Restaurants (800m)

35

Cafes (800m)

5

Pubs (400m)

4

Pharmacies (800m)

12

Gyms (1km)

20

Sports (1km)

8

Convenience

Nearest supermarketSmart · 125 m
5 tennis courts1 swimming pools2 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

5

Late-night venues

C
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

4

Libraries (1km)

2

Cinemas (2km)

419m

Post office

Nearby shops

Q. Food & Wine114 m
Cap News125 m
Sainsbury's Local198 m
4 UR Convenience232 m

Nearby cafes

Lo Spuntino79 m
The Whale Tea123 m
Dr Power129 m
Urban Meadow Cafe134 m

Nearby restaurants

Aubaine59 m
Fentons Ice Cream85 m
Pret A Manger93 m
New Fortune Cookie93 m

Nearby pubs

Kings Head222 m
Phoenix232 m
The Bayswater Arms254 m
The Champion265 m

Nearby gyms

Barry's94 m
Queens Skate Dine Bowl100 m
PureGym300 m
Heartcore341 m

Nearby pharmacies

Superdrug448 m
Nashi Pharmacy576 m
Notting Hill Pharmacy601 m
Moore's Pharmacy719 m

Nearby health

Queensway Dental Practice285 m
Bayswater Dental352 m
Porchester Dental Practice365 m
Garden Square Dental Practice558 m
Food hygiene (5-star)66% of 267

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

64

Investment score

Good

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score37/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Future outlook

52.4

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumExcellent transport access

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score8/100
Bakerloo Extension route6,345m
Crossrail 2 route3,368m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 4/10

More deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

More deprived than average

Rank: 13,076 nationally

1,071

Est. population

21,822/km²

56%

Employed

67%

Degree educated

£45,200

Median income

6.3%

Claimant rate

Urban coreVery high densityYoung professionals

21

Community stability

Age profile

51%
18%
Under 189%
18–3451%
35–4918%
50–6412%
65+10%

Tenure

17%
66%
Own outright17%
Own (mortgage)9%
Private rent66%
Social rent8%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

19%
32%
26%
White British19%
White Other32%
Asian26%
Black5%
Mixed7%
Other11%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional47%
Routine / semi-routine7%
No car household80%
Unemployed5%
No qualifications7%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent66%
Social rent8%

vs. London

Income vs London+7.6%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
143
Live planning apps (800m)
25
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
68
Planning apps (3 years)
41
Local approval rate
78%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
1

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
94
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
135
Largest scheme
138 homes · 49-53, 49-53, KENSINGTON GARDENS SQUARE, WESTBOURNE GROVE (33-35), W2
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

114, 116, Queensway, W2 6LS94 homes
not_started
7, 7, Fosbury Mews, 2 - 6 Queensway, W2 3JH55 homes
completed
25-33, 25-33, INVERNESS TERRACE, W239 homes
completed
5-17, 5-17, MOSCOW ROAD, W227 homes
completed
1 and 3 Clanricarde Gardens, LONDON, W2 4JJ23 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Joe Powell (Labour)
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 4RN

Full postcodeW2 4RN
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.510412
Longitude-0.188545
Parliamentary constituencyKensington and Bayswater
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey