Lancaster Gate · Westminster · Kensington and Bayswater constituency · 51.51582, -0.18773

W2 6JA— Lancaster Gate, Westminster

Location and area intelligence for W2 6JA, Lancaster Gate, Westminster

High-connectivity investment target

 

Schools 100%Safety 46/100Transport 51/100Yield 3.85%

Best for: Most buyers

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Strong, well-rated schools set this area apart

Liveability
67
Safety
46
Schools
90
Transport
51
Environment
72
Investment
64

The bottom line

W2 6JA offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding) — strong value for Most buyers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: high noise levels nearby.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

W2 6JA

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Inner city
Very highYoung professionals
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income+7.6% vs London avg
vs London crime+276.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for W2 6JA

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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“High-connectivity investment target”

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How W2 6JA has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
—

Primary

Hallfield Primary School

Not yet inspected · 3 min walk

KS2: 110.4

★★

Secondary

Westminster Academy

Good · Inspected Oct 2023 · 8 min walk

P8: -0.04A8: 47.8

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 20 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Mary Paterson Nursery School

Not inspected · 21 min walk

7 primaries · 2 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Medium crime

244.6 incidents per 1,000 residents

Among London's highest crime areas
↑ Rising 404.7%

-44% vs borough

Crime by type

Other38%
Violence & sexual offences16%
Anti-social behaviour13%
Theft10%
Vehicle crime7%
Burglary7%
Drug offences5%
Robbery4%

Stop & search

4.0

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

92

Road safety score

4

Accidents (5yr)

1

KSI (5yr)

3

Serious within 200m

MEDIUM pedestrian risk2 pedestrian casualties (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Paddington Fire Station · 570m

Crime is +276% above London average

Property

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Avg floor area52.5 m²

EPC breakdown

B
1%
C
26%
D
14%
E
2%

Based on 43 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Flat 97%Other 3%

LHA rates — Inner North London

Shared room£708/mo
1 bedroom£1440/mo
2 bedrooms£1794/mo
3 bedrooms£2160/mo
4 bedrooms£3060/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Energy & construction

Solar yield853 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£131,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1930-1949
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (community)
GlazingSingle glazed
Council tax band Band EAnnual charge £1,107
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1995–2023 · CAGR

+8.8%

Total change

+967%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+12.6%

per year

Acceleration

-0.40

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £50k–£75k · P75: £75k–£100k · 63 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 63 sales

Flat/maisonette100%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1995–2000£50k£110k+118.3%2.2
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£150k£235k+56.7%2.8
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£200k£315k+57.5%3.3
GFC & correction2008–2012£310k£365k+17.7%2.2
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2016£388k£521k+34.5%1.8
Brexit uncertainty2017–2019£400k£360k-10%2.5
Pandemic surge2020–2021£478k£420k-12%3
Rate-rise correction2022–2023£475k£535k+12.6%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Flat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+-0.6% alpha

Flat/maisonette-0.6% α
Local
7.6%
District
8.2%

CAGR over 25yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

25out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position75

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 4

Good

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Above London average
Royal OakCircle line
4.4 min walk
London Paddington→ Paddington
0 min

Nearby stations

Royal Oak Underground StationHammersmith & City · Circle
5 min walk
Bayswater Underground StationDistrict · Circle
5 min walk
Queensway Underground StationCentral
8 min walk
Paddington (H&C Line)-UndergroundCircle · Hammersmith & City
9 min walk
PaddingtonElizabeth line
9 min walk
1 bus routes · 8 stops within 400m · 39 buses/hr peak

68

Walkability score

59

Footpaths (500m)

20

Santander docks (800m)

0.1 km

Nearest cycle dock

Central London commute times

Canary Wharf42 min ↓
City ★39 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

8

Car parks (800m)

2

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park290m
Santander docks (800m)20
Nearest cycle dock0.1 km

Nearby car parks

🅿️
Paddington Station Car Park· yes
424m
🅿️
Hyde Park Coach and Car Park· yes
707m

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterLOW
Low
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 14.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 7.0 µg/m³
Better than 96% of London
NoiseHIGH
road
Noisier than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 1.5 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB12% green spaceTree canopy: 70%
Above average green space

Nearest SSSI: Hampstead Heath Woods SSSI — 6.0 km

Energy

Solar: 853 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): 1

Landslide susceptibility: Low

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,526 hrs/yr

Sunshine

601 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.8°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield852.5 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE PEMBRIDGE VILLAS SURGERY

45A PEMBRIDGE VILLAS, W11 3EP

9 min walk

87%

Recommend GP

87%

Overall GP experience

2

GPs within 1km

14

Dentists within 1km

2

Care homes (1km)

Nearest hospitalSt Mary's Hospital · 951 m
Nearest A&EROYAL FREE LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST · 4.4 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%74.1%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

57

Parks (1km)

88

Restaurants (800m)

36

Cafes (800m)

4

Pubs (400m)

5

Pharmacies (800m)

9

Gyms (1km)

16

Sports (1km)

13

Convenience

Nearest supermarketWaitrose · 81 m
2 tennis courts5 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

1

Nightclubs

5

Late-night venues

C
4,137 licensed premises in borough2,967 late-night refreshment licencesHome Office 2023/24

3

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

188m

Post office

Nearby shops

Bishops Cut Price18 m
Sainsbury's Local62 m
Capital News83 m
GAIL's101 m

Nearby cafes

Arro6 m
Ariston Hellenic Eatery66 m
Le Bistro70 m
TABxTAB129 m

Nearby restaurants

Masala Zone9 m
Hobson's Fish & Chips68 m
Happy Lamb Hot Pot71 m
Putera Puteri72 m

Nearby pubs

The Porchester40 m
Prince Alfred240 m
The Hayden257 m
Beachcomber319 m

Nearby gyms

1Rebel Bayswater93 m
Psycle168 m
Porchester Centre184 m
PureGym361 m

Nearby pharmacies

Bayswater Pharmacy132 m
Superdrug157 m
Nashi Pharmacy213 m
Benson Pharmacy641 m

Nearby health

Garden Square Dental Practice239 m
Porchester Dental Practice240 m
Bayswater Dental253 m
Number 18 Dental290 m
Food hygiene (5-star)60% of 276

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
44

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

64

Investment score

Good

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£2,622London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.9% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score39/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Owner-occupier growth signal44

Rental market

Very High

Demand

Very Low

Void risk

Young professional

Tenant profile

+15.3%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Future outlook

52.5

Price growth score

C
High

Development pressure

High

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentum

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score8/100
Bakerloo Extension route6,471m
Crossrail 2 route3,435m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 5/10

Around average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Average deprivation level

Rank: 16,537 nationally

1,754

Est. population

16,830/km²

69%

Employed

72%

Degree educated

£45,200

Median income

3.7%

Claimant rate

Inner cityVery high densityYoung professionals

19

Community stability

Age profile

37%
30%
Under 1813%
18–3437%
35–4930%
50–6412%
65+8%

Tenure

14%
70%
Own outright14%
Own (mortgage)10%
Private rent70%
Social rent6%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

23%
42%
16%
White British23%
White Other42%
Asian16%
Black3%
Mixed6%
Other10%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional58%
Routine / semi-routine8%
No car household72%
Unemployed5%
No qualifications8%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent70%
Social rent6%

vs. London

Income vs London+7.6%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
Yes
Article 4 area
Yes
Listed buildings (800m)
135
Live planning apps (800m)
45
Development activity
high
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
103
Planning apps (3 years)
67
Local approval rate
81%
Borough approval rate
85%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£500/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
94
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
73
Largest scheme
152 homes · BAYNARD HOUSE (SCHEME 1), 127-131, BAYNARD HOUSE (SCHEME 1), 127-131, WESTBOURNE GROVE, W2
Pipeline pressure
MODERATE

Named schemes (500m)

49-53, 49-53, KENSINGTON GARDENS SQUARE, WESTBOURNE GROVE (33-35), W2138 homes
completed
114, 116, Queensway, W2 6LS94 homes
not_started
72-82, 72-82, BISHOPS BRIDGE ROAD, W249 homes
completed
25-33, 25-33, INVERNESS TERRACE, W239 homes
completed
Porchester Road, W2 5DX32 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Labour
Ward majority vote
13.4%
Ward turnout
38%
Election year
2026
MP
Joe Powell (Labour)
MP majority
2,903
Constituency
Kensington and Bayswater

Councillors

Ellie OrmsbyLabour
Connor JonesLabour
Philip Stephenson-OliverConservative

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Key facts for W2 6JA

Full postcodeW2 6JA
Postcode districtW2
BoroughLondon Borough of Westminster
WardLancaster Gate
Latitude51.515822
Longitude-0.187725
Parliamentary constituencyKensington and Bayswater
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey