Elm Park · Havering · Dagenham and Rainham constituency · 51.54970, 0.19174

RM12 4BD— Elm Park, Havering

Location and area intelligence for RM12 4BD, Elm Park, Havering

The family fortress

 

Schools 100%Safety 83/100Transport 38/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 2 sales — thin data⚠ Knotweed sites nearby

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

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Strong schools, limited transport — ideal for car-owning families

Liveability
64
Safety
83
Schools
90
Transport
38
Environment
96
Investment
43

The bottom line

RM12 4BD offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime and a green environment — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catches: 52 min to canary wharf — above average for this zone and 1 Japanese knotweed site within 400m — may affect mortgage applications.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

RM12 4BD

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Inner city
MediumOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income-11.0% vs London avg
vs London crime-19.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for RM12 4BD

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🚇 Well-Connected🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe

“The family fortress”

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How RM12 4BD has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
★★

Primary

Scargill Infant School

Good · Inspected Nov 2021 · 15 min walk

—

Secondary

Hornchurch High School

Not yet inspected · 15 min walk

P8: +0.35A8: 51.5

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 6 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 112 min walk

1 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

52.5 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 60% of London
→ Stable

-13% vs borough

Crime by type

Violence & sexual offences33%
Anti-social behaviour24%
Other19%
Vehicle crime8%
Burglary8%
Drug offences4%
Robbery2%
Theft1%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Hornchurch Fire Station · 2.6km

Crime is 19% below London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 2 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

Price history

Sales (24 months)2
New build0.0%
Price per m²£4,158/m²
Price per ft²£386/ft²
Avg floor area91.4 m²

EPC breakdown

C
14%
D
10%
E
1%

Based on 25 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 5%Terraced 95%

LHA rates — Outer East London

Shared room£561/mo
1 bedroom£1200/mo
2 bedrooms£1400/mo
3 bedrooms£1675/mo
4 bedrooms£1950/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield865 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£228,500
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1967-1975
WallsCavity wall, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofPitched, 100 mm loft insulation
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £2,049
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1997–2025 · CAGR

+5.6%

Total change

+358%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-1.9%

per year

Acceleration

+7.94

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £400k–£450k · P75: £300k–£350k · 39 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 39 sales

Semi-detached5.1%
Terraced94.9%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1997–2000£83k£104k+25.3%1.5
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£99k£157k+58.9%2.3
Pre-crash peak2006–2007£181k£212k+17.4%2.5
GFC & correction2008–2010£245k£196k-20%1
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2016£203k£319k+56.9%2.3
Brexit uncertainty2017–2019£335k£364k+8.7%1.3
Pandemic surge2020–2021£345k£350k+1.4%1
Rate-rise correction2023–2023£430k£430k+0%1
Current market2024–2025£388k£380k-1.9%2.5

Price Trajectory by Type

Terraced

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Terraced

+0% alpha

Terraced+0% α
Local
5.9%
District
5.9%

CAGR over 27yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

51out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Balanced Market

Neutral conditions

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity75
Sales Volume53
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position75

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 3

Moderate

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Below London average
Elm Park StationDistrict line
4.9 min walk
Romford

Nearby stations

Elm Park Underground StationDistrict
6 min walk
Dagenham East Underground StationDistrict
24 min walk
Hornchurch Underground StationDistrict
25 min walk
Romford Rail StationElizabeth line · Liberty
36 min walk
RomfordNational Rail
36 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

27

Walkability score

39

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge58 min ↑
Victoria68 min ↑
Waterloo67 min ↑
Canary Wharf ★52 min
City55 min ↑

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

23

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park176m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock13.2 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 17.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 93% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 18.7 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 10%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Ingrebourne Marshes SSSI — 2.6 km

Energy

Solar: 865 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,540 hrs/yr

Sunshine

594 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.7°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield865.1 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE COLLEGE PRACTICE

RUSH GREEN MEDICAL CENTRE, 261 DAGENHAM ROAD, RM7 0XR

21 min walk

83%

Recommend GP

83%

Overall GP experience

0

GPs within 1km

3

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt. George's Health & Wellbeing Hub · 1.9 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 2.3 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

207

Parks (1km)

1

Restaurants (800m)

2

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

1

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

2

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

Nearest supermarketCo-op Food · 527 m
2 tennis courts

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
562 licensed premises in boroughHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

2.0km

Post office

Nearby shops

Tesco Express571 m
Dacia987 m
Sunny's Mini Market997 m
Yogi News & Off Licence1.0 km

Nearby cafes

Cookie Cafe452 m
Costa493 m
Lakeview Palace868 m
Silver Cafe1.0 km

Nearby restaurants

Greggs500 m
Favorite Chicken & Ribs528 m
Ali Baba543 m
Buzzgrill1.0 km

Nearby pharmacies

Maylands Pharmacy364 m
Elm Park Pharmacy531 m
Day Lewis Pharmacy1.0 km

Nearby health

Maylands Dental Practice349 m
Maylands Healthcare362 m
Food hygiene (5-star)47% of 19

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
324

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

43

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,300London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
4.0% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score17/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Above average for outer London — neighbourhood in transition324
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+4.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

52.2

Price growth score

C
Low

New supply risk

High investment quality

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route17,075m
Crossrail 2 route17,927m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 7/10

Less deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than average

Rank: 22,594 nationally

1,810

Est. population

3,893/km²

62%

Employed

33%

Degree educated

£37,400

Median income

5.0%

Claimant rate

Inner cityMedium densityOwner occupiers / families

58

Community stability

Age profile

24%
19%
21%
18%
17%
Under 1824%
18–3419%
35–4921%
50–6418%
65+17%

Tenure

41%
39%
15%
Own outright41%
Own (mortgage)39%
Private rent15%
Social rent4%
Shared ownership1%
Rent free0%

Ethnicity

57%
15%
White British57%
White Other13%
Asian15%
Black10%
Mixed4%
Other2%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional35%
Routine / semi-routine19%
No car household14%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications18%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent15%
Social rent4%

vs. London

Income vs London-11.0%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Planning apps (12 months)
1
Planning apps (3 years)
6
Local approval rate
100%
Borough approval rate
44%
Historic landfill (400m)
3
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£90/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
1

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
0
Largest scheme
113 homes · Former Dunningford School, Former Dunningford School, Dunningford Close, Hornchurch, RM12 5JP
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

Former Dunningford School, Former Dunningford School, Dunningford Close, Hornchurch, RM12 5JP113 homes
completed
SITE OF SYNAGOGUE, SITE OF SYNAGOGUE, WOBURN AVENUE, RM12 4NQ16 homes
completed
rear of 8-28, rear of 8-28, Ullswater Way, 8-36 Kendal Croft &61-69 Carnforth Gdns, Hornchurch, RM12 5DR8 homes
completed
379, 379, Elm Park Avenue, HORNCHURCH, RM12 4PE2 homes
completed
39, 39, Carnforth Gardens, Hornchurch, RM12 5DR1 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Hornchurch Residents Association
Ward majority vote
23.6%
Ward turnout
36%
Election year
2022
MP
Margaret Mullane (Labour)
MP majority
7,173
Constituency
Dagenham and Rainham

Councillors

Barry MugglestoneHornchurch Residents Association
Stephanie Jane NunnHornchurch Residents Association
Julie WilkesHornchurch Residents Association

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Key facts for RM12 4BD

Full postcodeRM12 4BD
Postcode districtRM12
BoroughLondon Borough of Havering
WardElm Park
Latitude51.549705
Longitude0.191742
Parliamentary constituencyDagenham and Rainham
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
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TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
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