Elm Park · Havering · Dagenham and Rainham constituency · 51.54731, 0.19712

RM12 5DJElm Park, Havering

Location and area intelligence for RM12 5DJ, Elm Park, Havering

London's quiet achiever

 

Schools 50%Safety 84/100Transport 36/100~3% yield · indicativeOnly 3 sales — thin data

Best for: Owner-occupiers

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Lopsided profile — strong safety but weak schools

Liveability
57
Safety
84
Schools
30
Transport
36
Environment
91
Investment
35

The bottom line

RM12 5DJ offers low crime and a green environment — strong value for Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 52 min to canary wharf — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Families.

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Location

RM12 5DJ

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
HighOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income-11.0% vs London avg
vs London crime-32.0% vs London avg

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Postcode Personality

🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe

London's quiet achiever

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How RM12 5DJ has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

30

Education score

Poor for families

Primary

Elm Park Primary School

Not yet inspected · 6 min walk

KS2: 104.1

Secondary

Hornchurch High School

Not yet inspected · 16 min walk

P8: +0.35A8: 51.5

50% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 8 schools within 1.5km

Bottom 25% — limited Good/Outstanding schools

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 112 min walk

5 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

44.4 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 67% of London
→ Stable

-26% vs borough

Crime by type

Violence & sexual offences32%
Other23%
Vehicle crime18%
Anti-social behaviour13%
Burglary6%
Drug offences5%
Robbery3%
Theft0%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Hornchurch Fire Station · 2.5km

Crime is 32% below London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 3 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

Price history

Sales (24 months)3
New build0.0%
Price per m²£5,410/m²
Price per ft²£503/ft²
Avg floor area87.5

EPC breakdown

B
1%
C
9%
D
18%
E
2%
F
1%
G
1%

Based on 32 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Semi 24%Terraced 53%Detached 4%Flat 18%

LHA rates — Outer East London

Shared room£561/mo
1 bedroom£1200/mo
2 bedrooms£1400/mo
3 bedrooms£1675/mo
4 bedrooms£1950/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield868 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£218,750
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1930-1949
WallsSolid brick, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofPitched, no insulation (assumed)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £2,049
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

19952025 · CAGR

+7.3%

Total change

+730%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-3.1%

per year

Acceleration

-66.39

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £500k–£600k · P75: £125k–£150k · 45 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 45 sales

Detached4.4%
Semi-detached24.4%
Terraced53.3%
Flat/maisonette17.8%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom19951999£57k£88k+53.7%2
Post-dot-com plateau20012004£132k£152k+15.2%2.2
GFC & correction20092012£180k£180k+0%2.7
Help-to-Buy recovery20132016£140k£445k+217.9%2
Brexit uncertainty20172019£323k£411k+27.4%1
Pandemic surge20202021£345k£380k+10.1%3.5
Rate-rise correction20222023£300k£490k+63.3%2
Current market20252025£475k£475k+0%3

Price Trajectory by Type

Semi-detachedTerraced

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Semi-detached

+0% alpha

Weakest performer

Terraced

+0% alpha

Semi-detached+0% α
Local
5.5%
District
5.5%
Terraced+0% α
Local
7.3%
District
7.3%

CAGR over 19yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

32out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity75
Sales Volume15
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position40

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Below London average
Elm Park StationDistrict line
3 min walk
Romford

Nearby stations

Elm Park Underground StationDistrict
4 min walk
Hornchurch Underground StationDistrict
21 min walk
Dagenham East Underground StationDistrict
27 min walk
Emerson Park Rail StationLiberty
36 min walk
Upminster Bridge Underground StationDistrict
37 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

38

Walkability score

50

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge58 min
Victoria68 min
Waterloo67 min
Canary Wharf52 min
City55 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

40

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park87m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock13.5 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 17.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 93% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 19.0 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB87% green spaceTree canopy: 10%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Ingrebourne Marshes SSSI — 2.2 km

Energy

Solar: 868 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,540 hrs/yr

Sunshine

594 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.7°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield868.1 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE COLLEGE PRACTICE

RUSH GREEN MEDICAL CENTRE, 261 DAGENHAM ROAD, RM7 0XR

26 min walk

83%

Recommend GP

83%

Overall GP experience

0

GPs within 1km

3

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt. George's Health & Wellbeing Hub · 1.5 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 2.7 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

575

Parks (1km)

5

Restaurants (800m)

2

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

1

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

2

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: Good Intent (845 m)

Nearest supermarketCo-op Food · 229 m
2 tennis courts

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
562 licensed premises in boroughHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

2.4km

Post office

Nearby shops

Tesco Express477 m
Dacia785 m
Sunny's Mini Market796 m
Yogi News & Off Licence813 m

Nearby cafes

Cookie Cafe406 m
Costa440 m
Silver Cafe807 m
Lakeview Palace962 m

Nearby restaurants

Ali Baba256 m
Greggs402 m
Favorite Chicken & Ribs452 m
Wok U Like565 m

Nearby pubs

Good Intent845 m

Nearby gyms

Girls Allowed826 m

Nearby pharmacies

Elm Park Pharmacy420 m
Maylands Pharmacy765 m
Day Lewis Pharmacy841 m

Nearby health

Maylands Dental Practice758 m
Maylands Healthcare767 m
Food hygiene (5-star)51% of 76

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
324

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

35

Investment score

Weak

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,300London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.3% (average)London avg: 3.8%Below average yield — bottom 55%
Gentrification score18/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Above average for outer London — neighbourhood in transition324
Sales last 12 months2

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+4.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

17/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

48

Price growth score

C
Low

New supply risk

High investment quality

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route17,246m
Crossrail 2 route18,354m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 7/10

Less deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than average

Rank: 20,672 nationally

1,758

Est. population

12,508/km²

60%

Employed

29%

Degree educated

£37,400

Median income

3.6%

Claimant rate

SuburbanHigh densityOwner occupiers / families

56

Community stability

Age profile

22%
18%
21%
22%
18%
Under 1822%
18–3418%
35–4921%
50–6422%
65+18%

Tenure

35%
35%
18%
Own outright35%
Own (mortgage)35%
Private rent11%
Social rent18%
Shared ownership1%

Ethnicity

66%
White British66%
White Other9%
Asian12%
Black7%
Mixed4%
Other2%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional32%
Routine / semi-routine23%
No car household18%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications21%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Social rent18%
Private rent11%

vs. London

Income vs London-11.0%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Planning apps (12 months)
2
Planning apps (3 years)
10
Local approval rate
50%
Borough approval rate
44%
Historic landfill (400m)
1
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£90/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
5
Largest scheme
18 homes · 1, 1, Kilmartin Way, Hornchurch, RM12 5NB
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

SITE OF SYNAGOGUE, SITE OF SYNAGOGUE, WOBURN AVENUE, RM12 4NQ16 homes
completed
rear of 8-28, rear of 8-28, Ullswater Way, 8-36 Kendal Croft &61-69 Carnforth Gdns, Hornchurch, RM12 5DR8 homes
completed
41-43, 70, 41-43, 70, Maylands Avenue, Coronation Drive, Hornchurch, RM12 5BL5 homes
completed
Carnforth Hall, Carnforth Hall, Carnforth Gardens, Elm Park, RM12 5DL5 homes
completed
Elm Park Hotel, 233, Elm Park Hotel, 233, Elm Park Avenue, Hornchurch, RM12 4RX3 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Hornchurch Residents Association
Ward majority vote
23.6%
Ward turnout
36%
Election year
2022
MP
Margaret Mullane (Labour)
MP majority
7,173
Constituency
Dagenham and Rainham

Councillors

Barry MugglestoneHornchurch Residents Association
Stephanie Jane NunnHornchurch Residents Association
Julie WilkesHornchurch Residents Association

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Key facts for RM12 5DJ

Full postcodeRM12 5DJ
Postcode districtRM12
BoroughLondon Borough of Havering
WardElm Park
Latitude51.547311
Longitude0.197122
Parliamentary constituencyDagenham and Rainham
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey