Elm Park · Havering · Dagenham and Rainham constituency · 51.54403, 0.19343

RM12 5HUElm Park, Havering

Location and area intelligence for RM12 5HU, Elm Park, Havering

The family fortress

 

Schools 67%Safety 79/100Transport 30/100Low yield 3.06%

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

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Strong schools, limited transport — ideal for car-owning families

Liveability
58
Safety
79
Schools
90
Transport
30
Environment
92
Investment
36

The bottom line

RM12 5HU offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime and a green environment at £510,000 median — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 52 min to canary wharf — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

RM12 5HU

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
HighOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: PositiveRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London avg price-1.9% vs London avg
vs London income-14.3% vs London avg
vs London crime+16.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for RM12 5HU

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🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung📈 Up & Coming🔒 Very Safe

The family fortress

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How RM12 5HU has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
★★

Primary

Scargill Infant School

Good · Inspected Nov 2021 · 7 min walk

★★

Secondary

The Brittons Academy

Good · Inspected Oct 2022 · 12 min walk

P8: -0.28A8: 44.7

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 8 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 107 min walk

5 primaries · 1 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

75.2 incidents per 1,000 residents

Higher crime than 57% of London
→ Stable

+25% vs borough

Crime by type

Other28%
Violence & sexual offences20%
Anti-social behaviour16%
Robbery11%
Drug offences9%
Vehicle crime8%
Burglary8%
Theft1%

Road safety

99

Road safety score

1

Accidents (5yr)

LOW pedestrian risk

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Hornchurch Fire Station · 3.0km

Crime is +16% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Low transaction volumeonly 5 sales in 24 months. Price figures may not reflect the wider area. Treat with caution.

£510,000

Median sale price

2% below London median

£510,000 is 2% below the London median (£520,000)

+8.8%

This year

Semi-detached

Dominant type

Price history

5-year change
+37.8%
Sales (24 months)5
New build0.0%
Avg semi-detached£510,000
Price per m²£5,623/m²
Price per ft²£522/ft²
Avg floor area90.7

EPC breakdown

B
1%
C
15%
D
13%
E
3%

Based on 32 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Semi 87%Terraced 7%Detached 2%Other 4%

LHA rates — Outer East London

Shared room£561/mo
1 bedroom£1200/mo
2 bedrooms£1400/mo
3 bedrooms£1675/mo
4 bedrooms£1950/mo

Stamp duty

Standard buyer£13,000
First-time buyerFTB
£4,250
Additional propertyBTL/2nd
£28,300

England & NI rates 2025/26. Additional property rate adds 3% on each band.

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

14.2×

Price-to-income

£2,551/mo

Est. mortgage

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Rising

Market momentum

Energy & construction

Solar yield868 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£226,750
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1950-1966
WallsCavity wall, filled cavity
RoofPitched, 100 mm loft insulation
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £2,049
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

19962026 · CAGR

+7.6%

Total change

+790%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+1.6%

per year

Acceleration

-11.87

change in velocity

Market State

Recovery

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £175k–£200k · P75: £200k–£250k · 53 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 53 sales

Detached1.9%
Semi-detached90.6%
Terraced7.5%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom19962000£59k£127k+114.4%1.8
Post-dot-com plateau20012004£148k£181k+22.3%1.2
Pre-crash peak20052006£205k£216k+5.3%3
GFC & correction20082012£250k£222k-11.2%1.2
Help-to-Buy recovery20132016£195k£393k+101.3%2
Brexit uncertainty20172019£375k£423k+12.7%2.7
Pandemic surge20202021£375k£370k-1.3%3
Current market20242026£455k£525k+15.4%2

Price Trajectory by Type

Semi-detached

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Semi-detached

+0% alpha

Semi-detached+0% α
Local
6.5%
District
6.5%

CAGR over 28yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

40out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity40
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing7
Trend Position40

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
Elm Park StationDistrict line
8.2 min walk
Rainham (London)

Nearby stations

Elm Park Underground StationDistrict
9 min walk
Dagenham East Underground StationDistrict
24 min walk
Hornchurch Underground StationDistrict
26 min walk
Rainham (London)National Rail
38 min walk
Dagenham Heathway Underground StationDistrict
40 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

23

Walkability score

56

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge58 min
Victoria68 min
Waterloo67 min
Canary Wharf52 min
City55 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

36

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park172m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock13.3 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterLOW
Low
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 17.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 93% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 18.7 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB89% green spaceTree canopy: 10%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Ingrebourne Marshes SSSI — 2.0 km

Energy

Solar: 868 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,540 hrs/yr

Sunshine

594 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.7°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield868.1 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE COLLEGE PRACTICE

RUSH GREEN MEDICAL CENTRE, 261 DAGENHAM ROAD, RM7 0XR

28 min walk

83%

Recommend GP

83%

Overall GP experience

0

GPs within 1km

2

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt. George's Health & Wellbeing Hub · 1.9 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 2.9 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

545

Parks (1km)

3

Restaurants (800m)

1

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

1

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

2

Sports (1km)

3

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: Good Intent (759 m)

Nearest supermarketCo-op Food · 674 m
2 tennis courts

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
562 licensed premises in boroughHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

2.6km

Post office

Nearby shops

Dacia360 m
Sunny's Mini Market370 m
Yogi News & Off Licence387 m
Co-op Food433 m

Nearby cafes

Silver Cafe381 m
Cookie Cafe828 m
Costa867 m

Nearby restaurants

Buzzgrill391 m
Mungo Park Kebab & Fish404 m
House of Food420 m
Wok U Like625 m

Nearby pubs

Good Intent759 m

Nearby pharmacies

Day Lewis Pharmacy416 m
Elm Park Pharmacy858 m
Maylands Pharmacy1.0 km

Nearby health

Maylands Dental Practice990 m
Maylands Healthcare1.0 km
Food hygiene (5-star)32% of 22

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
324

High street

A

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

36

Investment score

Weak

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,300London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.1% (average)London avg: 3.8%Below average yield — bottom 61%
Gentrification score29/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Above average for outer London — neighbourhood in transition324
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+4.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

62.2

Price growth score

C
Low

New supply risk

Strong gentrification momentumHigh investment qualityConfirmed 5yr price momentum

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route16,838m
Crossrail 2 route18,202m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 7/10

Less deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than average

Rank: 22,404 nationally

1,543

Est. population

8,442/km²

59%

Employed

24%

Degree educated

£36,000

Median income

4.0%

Claimant rate

SuburbanHigh densityOwner occupiers / families

59

Community stability

Age profile

23%
19%
19%
19%
20%
Under 1823%
18–3419%
35–4919%
50–6419%
65+20%

Tenure

46%
35%
Own outright46%
Own (mortgage)35%
Private rent11%
Social rent8%
Shared ownership0%

Ethnicity

72%
White British72%
White Other6%
Asian11%
Black9%
Mixed3%
Other0%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional27%
Routine / semi-routine24%
No car household20%
Unemployed5%
No qualifications24%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent12%
Social rent8%

vs. London

Income vs London-14.3%
Price vs London-1.9%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Listed buildings (800m)
1
Planning apps (12 months)
2
Planning apps (3 years)
8
Local approval rate
50%
Borough approval rate
44%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£90/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
2
Largest scheme
113 homes · Former Dunningford School, Former Dunningford School, Dunningford Close, Hornchurch, RM12 5JP
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

Welcome Hand P.H., Welcome Hand P.H., Simpson Road, Rainham, RM13 7JU9 homes
completed
rear of 8-28, rear of 8-28, Ullswater Way, 8-36 Kendal Croft &61-69 Carnforth Gdns, Hornchurch, RM12 5DR8 homes
completed
Carnforth Hall, Carnforth Hall, Carnforth Gardens, Elm Park, RM12 5DL5 homes
completed
105d, 105d, Mungo Park Road, Rainham, RM13 7PP2 homes
completed
38, 38, Langdale Gardens, Hornchurch, RM12 5LB2 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Hornchurch Residents Association
Ward majority vote
23.6%
Ward turnout
36%
Election year
2022
MP
Margaret Mullane (Labour)
MP majority
7,173
Constituency
Dagenham and Rainham

Councillors

Barry MugglestoneHornchurch Residents Association
Stephanie Jane NunnHornchurch Residents Association
Julie WilkesHornchurch Residents Association

Stamp Duty & Affordability Calculator

Stamp duty on median price (£510,000)

£13,000

Standard buyer

£4,250

First-time buyer

Save £8,750

Affordability check — your annual salary

£

Deposit

Affordability uses 4.5× single income and 4.75% indicative rate over 25 years. Not financial advice.

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Key facts for RM12 5HU

Full postcodeRM12 5HU
Postcode districtRM12
BoroughLondon Borough of Havering
WardElm Park
Latitude51.544035
Longitude0.193431
Parliamentary constituencyDagenham and Rainham
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey