Elm Park · Havering · Dagenham and Rainham constituency · 51.54565, 0.19260

RM12 5JR— Elm Park, Havering

Location and area intelligence for RM12 5JR, Elm Park, Havering

The family fortress

 

Schools 67%Safety 84/100Transport 32/100~3% yield · indicativeOnly 4 sales — thin data

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

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Strong schools, limited transport — ideal for car-owning families

Liveability
58
Safety
84
Schools
90
Transport
32
Environment
96
Investment
33

The bottom line

RM12 5JR offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime and a green environment — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 52 min to canary wharf — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

RM12 5JR

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
HighOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income-11.0% vs London avg
vs London crime-32.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for RM12 5JR

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe

“The family fortress”

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How RM12 5JR has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
★★

Primary

Scargill Infant School

Good · Inspected Nov 2021 · 9 min walk

★★

Secondary

The Brittons Academy

Good · Inspected Oct 2022 · 14 min walk

P8: -0.28A8: 44.7

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 8 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 108 min walk

4 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

44.4 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 67% of London
→ Stable

-26% vs borough

Crime by type

Violence & sexual offences32%
Other23%
Vehicle crime18%
Anti-social behaviour13%
Burglary6%
Drug offences5%
Robbery3%
Theft0%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

1

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Hornchurch Fire Station · 2.9km

Crime is 32% below London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 4 sales recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

Price history

Sales (24 months)4
New build0.0%
Price per m²£4,984/m²
Price per ft²£463/ft²
Avg floor area98.8 m²

EPC breakdown

C
7%
D
9%
E
4%

Based on 20 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 68%Terraced 32%

LHA rates — Outer East London

Shared room£561/mo
1 bedroom£1200/mo
2 bedrooms£1400/mo
3 bedrooms£1675/mo
4 bedrooms£1950/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield868 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£247,000
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1950-1966
WallsCavity wall, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofPitched, no insulation (assumed)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £2,049
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1996–2025 · CAGR

+7.2%

Total change

+652%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-2.3%

per year

Acceleration

-11.78

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £400k–£450k · P75: £350k–£400k · 25 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 25 sales

Semi-detached68%
Terraced32%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1996–1998£64k£125k+95.3%1.5
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2001£127k£127k+0%1
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£203k£199k-1.8%1.5
GFC & correction2008–2012£240k£270k+12.5%1.5
Help-to-Buy recovery2013–2015£243k£290k+19.3%1.3
Brexit uncertainty2017–2018£365k£365k+0%1
Pandemic surge2021–2021£420k£420k+0%1
Rate-rise correction2022–2022£450k£450k+0%1
Current market2024–2025£493k£481k-2.3%2

Price Trajectory by Type

Semi-detached

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Semi-detached

+0% alpha

Semi-detached+0% α
Local
7.2%
District
7.2%

CAGR over 29yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

48out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Balanced Market

Neutral conditions

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity75
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position40

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
Elm Park StationDistrict line
6.7 min walk
Rainham (London)

Nearby stations

Elm Park Underground StationDistrict
8 min walk
Dagenham East Underground StationDistrict
23 min walk
Hornchurch Underground StationDistrict
26 min walk
Dagenham Heathway Underground StationDistrict
39 min walk
Emerson Park Rail StationLiberty
40 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

21

Walkability score

24

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge58 min ↑
Victoria68 min ↑
Waterloo67 min ↑
Canary Wharf ★52 min
City55 min ↑

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

38

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park67m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock13.2 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterMEDIUM
Medium
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 17.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 93% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 18.7 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 10%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Ingrebourne Marshes SSSI — 2.2 km

Energy

Solar: 868 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,540 hrs/yr

Sunshine

594 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.7°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield868.1 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE COLLEGE PRACTICE

RUSH GREEN MEDICAL CENTRE, 261 DAGENHAM ROAD, RM7 0XR

25 min walk

83%

Recommend GP

83%

Overall GP experience

0

GPs within 1km

3

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt. George's Health & Wellbeing Hub · 1.9 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 2.7 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

461

Parks (1km)

3

Restaurants (800m)

1

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

1

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

3

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

Nearest supermarketCo-op Food · 585 m
3 tennis courts

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
562 licensed premises in boroughHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

2.4km

Post office

Nearby shops

Dacia535 m
Sunny's Mini Market544 m
Yogi News & Off Licence561 m
Co-op Food606 m

Nearby cafes

Silver Cafe555 m
Cookie Cafe694 m
Costa736 m

Nearby restaurants

Buzzgrill565 m
Mungo Park Kebab & Fish578 m
House of Food593 m
Ali Baba611 m

Nearby pharmacies

Day Lewis Pharmacy589 m
Elm Park Pharmacy737 m
Maylands Pharmacy819 m

Nearby health

Maylands Dental Practice802 m
Maylands Healthcare816 m
Food hygiene (5-star)32% of 22

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
324

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

33

Investment score

Weak

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,300London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.2% (average)London avg: 3.8%Below average yield — bottom 56%
Gentrification score17/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Above average for outer London — neighbourhood in transition324
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+4.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

48.1

Price growth score

C
Low

New supply risk

High investment quality

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route16,882m
Crossrail 2 route18,098m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 7/10

Less deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than average

Rank: 20,672 nationally

1,758

Est. population

12,508/km²

60%

Employed

29%

Degree educated

£37,400

Median income

3.6%

Claimant rate

SuburbanHigh densityOwner occupiers / families

56

Community stability

Age profile

22%
18%
21%
22%
18%
Under 1822%
18–3418%
35–4921%
50–6422%
65+18%

Tenure

35%
35%
18%
Own outright35%
Own (mortgage)35%
Private rent11%
Social rent18%
Shared ownership1%

Ethnicity

66%
White British66%
White Other9%
Asian12%
Black7%
Mixed4%
Other2%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional32%
Routine / semi-routine23%
No car household18%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications21%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Social rent18%
Private rent11%

vs. London

Income vs London-11.0%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Listed buildings (800m)
1
Planning apps (12 months)
2
Planning apps (3 years)
8
Local approval rate
50%
Borough approval rate
44%
Historic landfill (400m)
1
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£90/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
0
Largest scheme
113 homes · Former Dunningford School, Former Dunningford School, Dunningford Close, Hornchurch, RM12 5JP
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

Former Dunningford School, Former Dunningford School, Dunningford Close, Hornchurch, RM12 5JP113 homes
completed
SITE OF SYNAGOGUE, SITE OF SYNAGOGUE, WOBURN AVENUE, RM12 4NQ16 homes
completed
rear of 8-28, rear of 8-28, Ullswater Way, 8-36 Kendal Croft &61-69 Carnforth Gdns, Hornchurch, RM12 5DR8 homes
completed
Carnforth Hall, Carnforth Hall, Carnforth Gardens, Elm Park, RM12 5DL5 homes
completed
38, 38, Langdale Gardens, Hornchurch, RM12 5LB2 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Hornchurch Residents Association
Ward majority vote
23.6%
Ward turnout
36%
Election year
2022
MP
Margaret Mullane (Labour)
MP majority
7,173
Constituency
Dagenham and Rainham

Councillors

Barry MugglestoneHornchurch Residents Association
Stephanie Jane NunnHornchurch Residents Association
Julie WilkesHornchurch Residents Association

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Key facts for RM12 5JR

Full postcodeRM12 5JR
Postcode districtRM12
BoroughLondon Borough of Havering
WardElm Park
Latitude51.545651
Longitude0.192600
Parliamentary constituencyDagenham and Rainham
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey