Elm Park · Havering · Dagenham and Rainham constituency · 51.54664, 0.19658

RM12 5LAElm Park, Havering

Location and area intelligence for RM12 5LA, Elm Park, Havering

The family fortress

 

Schools 67%Safety 84/100Transport 35/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 1 sales — thin data

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

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Car-dependent area — limited public transport

Liveability
59
Safety
84
Schools
40
Transport
35
Environment
92
Investment
38

The bottom line

RM12 5LA offers low crime and a green environment — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 52 min to canary wharf — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

RM12 5LA

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
HighOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income-11.0% vs London avg
vs London crime-32.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for RM12 5LA

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Postcode Personality

🎓 Good Schools🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe

The family fortress

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How RM12 5LA has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

40

Education score

Fair for families
★ Top school within 1km

Primary

Elm Park Primary School

Not yet inspected · 7 min walk

KS2: 104.1

Secondary

Hornchurch High School

Not yet inspected · 17 min walk

P8: +0.35A8: 51.5

67% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 9 schools within 1.5km

Below London average

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 111 min walk

4 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

44.4 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 67% of London
→ Stable

-26% vs borough

Crime by type

Violence & sexual offences32%
Other23%
Vehicle crime18%
Anti-social behaviour13%
Burglary6%
Drug offences5%
Robbery3%
Theft0%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Hornchurch Fire Station · 2.6km

Crime is 32% below London average

Property

1 May

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 1 sale recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

Price history

Sales (24 months)1
New build0.0%
Price per m²£4,073/m²
Price per ft²£378/ft²
Avg floor area92.5

EPC breakdown

B
1%
C
7%
D
9%
E
2%
G
1%

Based on 20 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 96%Terraced 4%

LHA rates — Outer East London

Shared room£561/mo
1 bedroom£1200/mo
2 bedrooms£1400/mo
3 bedrooms£1675/mo
4 bedrooms£1950/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield868 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£231,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1950-1966
WallsCavity wall, filled cavity
RoofPitched, 150 mm loft insulation
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £2,049
Price growth potentialModerate

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

19952024 · CAGR

+5.5%

Total change

+375%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-20.0%

per year

Acceleration

-10.48

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £300k–£350k · P75: £500k–£600k · 23 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 23 sales

Semi-detached95.7%
Terraced4.3%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom19951999£80k£92k+15%1.3
Post-dot-com plateau20012004£126k£180k+42.3%1.5
Pre-crash peak20062006£196k£196k+0%2
GFC & correction20092012£190k£218k+14.6%1.7
Help-to-Buy recovery20132015£222k£300k+35.4%1.5
Brexit uncertainty20192019£450k£450k+0%1
Pandemic surge20212021£525k£525k+0%3
Rate-rise correction20232023£475k£475k+0%1
Current market20242024£380k£380k+0%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Semi-detached

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Semi-detached

+0% alpha

Semi-detached+0% α
Local
7.3%
District
7.3%

CAGR over 26yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

69out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Buyer's Market

Favours buyers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Sales Volume75
Seasonal Timing2
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Below London average
Elm Park StationDistrict line
4 min walk
Rainham (London)

Nearby stations

Elm Park Underground StationDistrict
5 min walk
Hornchurch Underground StationDistrict
22 min walk
Dagenham East Underground StationDistrict
27 min walk
Emerson Park Rail StationLiberty
37 min walk
Upminster Bridge Underground StationDistrict
38 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

34

Walkability score

58

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge58 min
Victoria68 min
Waterloo67 min
Canary Wharf52 min
City55 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

43

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park64m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock13.5 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 17.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 93% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 19.0 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB88% green spaceTree canopy: 10%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Ingrebourne Marshes SSSI — 2.1 km

Energy

Solar: 868 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,540 hrs/yr

Sunshine

594 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.7°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield868.1 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE COLLEGE PRACTICE

RUSH GREEN MEDICAL CENTRE, 261 DAGENHAM ROAD, RM7 0XR

27 min walk

83%

Recommend GP

83%

Overall GP experience

0

GPs within 1km

3

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt. George's Health & Wellbeing Hub · 1.6 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 2.7 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

607

Parks (1km)

5

Restaurants (800m)

2

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

1

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

2

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: Good Intent (800 m)

Nearest supermarketCo-op Food · 312 m
2 tennis courts

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
562 licensed premises in boroughHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

2.5km

Post office

Nearby shops

Tesco Express561 m
Dacia702 m
Sunny's Mini Market712 m
Yogi News & Off Licence729 m

Nearby cafes

Cookie Cafe486 m
Costa521 m
Silver Cafe723 m
Lakeview Palace1.0 km

Nearby restaurants

Ali Baba338 m
Greggs485 m
Favorite Chicken & Ribs535 m
Wok U Like538 m

Nearby pubs

Good Intent800 m

Nearby pharmacies

Elm Park Pharmacy503 m
Day Lewis Pharmacy758 m
Maylands Pharmacy808 m

Nearby health

Maylands Dental Practice799 m
Maylands Healthcare809 m
Food hygiene (5-star)51% of 76

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
324

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

38

Investment score

Weak

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,300London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
4.1% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score18/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Above average for outer London — neighbourhood in transition324
Sales last 12 months0

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+4.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

4/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

50.1

Price growth score

C
Low

New supply risk

High investment quality

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route17,175m
Crossrail 2 route18,337m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 7/10

Less deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than average

Rank: 20,672 nationally

1,758

Est. population

12,508/km²

60%

Employed

29%

Degree educated

£37,400

Median income

3.6%

Claimant rate

SuburbanHigh densityOwner occupiers / families

56

Community stability

Age profile

22%
18%
21%
22%
18%
Under 1822%
18–3418%
35–4921%
50–6422%
65+18%

Tenure

35%
35%
18%
Own outright35%
Own (mortgage)35%
Private rent11%
Social rent18%
Shared ownership1%

Ethnicity

66%
White British66%
White Other9%
Asian12%
Black7%
Mixed4%
Other2%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional32%
Routine / semi-routine23%
No car household18%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications21%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Social rent18%
Private rent11%

vs. London

Income vs London-11.0%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Planning apps (12 months)
2
Planning apps (3 years)
10
Local approval rate
50%
Borough approval rate
44%
Historic landfill (400m)
1
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£90/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
5
Largest scheme
18 homes · 1, 1, Kilmartin Way, Hornchurch, RM12 5NB
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

SITE OF SYNAGOGUE, SITE OF SYNAGOGUE, WOBURN AVENUE, RM12 4NQ16 homes
completed
rear of 8-28, rear of 8-28, Ullswater Way, 8-36 Kendal Croft &61-69 Carnforth Gdns, Hornchurch, RM12 5DR8 homes
completed
41-43, 70, 41-43, 70, Maylands Avenue, Coronation Drive, Hornchurch, RM12 5BL5 homes
completed
Carnforth Hall, Carnforth Hall, Carnforth Gardens, Elm Park, RM12 5DL5 homes
completed
38, 38, Langdale Gardens, Hornchurch, RM12 5LB2 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Hornchurch Residents Association
Ward majority vote
23.6%
Ward turnout
36%
Election year
2022
MP
Margaret Mullane (Labour)
MP majority
7,173
Constituency
Dagenham and Rainham

Councillors

Barry MugglestoneHornchurch Residents Association
Stephanie Jane NunnHornchurch Residents Association
Julie WilkesHornchurch Residents Association

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Key facts for RM12 5LA

Full postcodeRM12 5LA
Postcode districtRM12
BoroughLondon Borough of Havering
WardElm Park
Latitude51.546637
Longitude0.196585
Parliamentary constituencyDagenham and Rainham
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
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HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
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Mail
Food Standards
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