Elm Park · Havering · Dagenham and Rainham constituency · 51.54491, 0.19604

RM12 5LD— Elm Park, Havering

Location and area intelligence for RM12 5LD, Elm Park, Havering

The family fortress

 

Schools 67%Safety 84/100Transport 32/100~5% yield · indicativeOnly 1 sales — thin data

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

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Strong schools, limited transport — ideal for car-owning families

Liveability
59
Safety
84
Schools
90
Transport
32
Environment
89
Investment
46

The bottom line

RM12 5LD offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime and a green environment — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 52 min to canary wharf — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

RM12 5LD

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
HighOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income-11.0% vs London avg
vs London crime-32.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for RM12 5LD

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe

“The family fortress”

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How RM12 5LD has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

90

Education score

Excellent for families
★ Top school within 1km
★★

Primary

Scargill Infant School

Good · Inspected Nov 2021 · 9 min walk

★★

Secondary

The Brittons Academy

Good · Inspected Oct 2022 · 14 min walk

P8: -0.28A8: 44.7

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 9 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 109 min walk

5 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

44.4 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 67% of London
→ Stable

-26% vs borough

Crime by type

Violence & sexual offences32%
Other23%
Vehicle crime18%
Anti-social behaviour13%
Burglary6%
Drug offences5%
Robbery3%
Theft0%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Hornchurch Fire Station · 2.8km

Crime is 32% below London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 1 sale recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

Price history

Sales (24 months)1
New build0.0%
Price per m²£4,058/m²
Price per ft²£377/ft²
Avg floor area79.1 m²

EPC breakdown

C
16%
D
10%
E
2%

Based on 28 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 45%Terraced 10%Flat 45%

LHA rates — Outer East London

Shared room£561/mo
1 bedroom£1200/mo
2 bedrooms£1400/mo
3 bedrooms£1675/mo
4 bedrooms£1950/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield868 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£197,750
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1950-1966
WallsCavity wall, filled cavity
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £2,049
Price growth potentialLow

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1997–2026 · CAGR

+4.2%

Total change

+229%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-34.0%

per year

Acceleration

-86.89

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £125k–£150k · P75: £100k–£125k · 39 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 39 sales

Semi-detached46.2%
Terraced10.3%
Flat/maisonette43.6%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1997–1998£94k£59k-36.9%2
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2003£105k£125k+19.1%4.3
Pre-crash peak2005–2007£184k£197k+7.3%1.7
GFC & correction2008–2012£355k£185k-48%2
Help-to-Buy recovery2014–2016£173k£250k+44.5%1.3
Brexit uncertainty2017–2018£360k£375k+4.1%1
Pandemic surge2021–2021£258k£258k+0%1
Rate-rise correction2022–2023£520k£308k-40.9%1
Current market2024–2026£470k£310k-34%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Semi-detachedFlat/maisonette

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Flat/maisonette

+0% alpha

Weakest performer

Semi-detached

+0% alpha

Flat/maisonette+0% α
Local
6.9%
District
6.9%
Semi-detached+0% α
Local
5.5%
District
5.5%

CAGR over 16yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

69out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Buyer's Market

Favours buyers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity100
Seasonal Timing8
Trend Position100

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
Elm Park StationDistrict line
6.4 min walk
Rainham (London)

Nearby stations

Elm Park Underground StationDistrict
7 min walk
Hornchurch Underground StationDistrict
24 min walk
Dagenham East Underground StationDistrict
26 min walk
Emerson Park Rail StationLiberty
39 min walk
Upminster Bridge Underground StationDistrict
39 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

34

Walkability score

78

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge58 min ↑
Victoria68 min ↑
Waterloo67 min ↑
Canary Wharf ★52 min
City55 min ↑

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

40

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park35m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock13.4 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterNONE
No assessed surface water flood risk
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 20.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 90% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 18.9 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB89% green spaceTree canopy: 10%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Ingrebourne Marshes SSSI — 2.0 km

Energy

Solar: 868 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,540 hrs/yr

Sunshine

594 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.7°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield868.1 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE COLLEGE PRACTICE

RUSH GREEN MEDICAL CENTRE, 261 DAGENHAM ROAD, RM7 0XR

28 min walk

83%

Recommend GP

83%

Overall GP experience

0

GPs within 1km

2

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt. George's Health & Wellbeing Hub · 1.6 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 2.9 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

611

Parks (1km)

8

Restaurants (800m)

3

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

2

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

1

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: Good Intent (674 m)

Nearest supermarketCo-op Food · 496 m
1 tennis courts

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
562 licensed premises in boroughHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

2.6km

Post office

Nearby shops

Dacia512 m
Sunny's Mini Market522 m
Yogi News & Off Licence539 m
Co-op Food584 m

Nearby cafes

Silver Cafe534 m
Cookie Cafe682 m
Costa716 m

Nearby restaurants

Wok U Like470 m
Sunshine Fish Bar472 m
Ali Baba521 m
Buzzgrill544 m

Nearby pubs

Good Intent674 m

Nearby pharmacies

Day Lewis Pharmacy568 m
Elm Park Pharmacy697 m
Maylands Pharmacy963 m

Nearby health

Maylands Dental Practice952 m
Maylands Healthcare963 m
Food hygiene (5-star)44% of 77

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
324

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

46

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,300London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
5.0% (good)London avg: 3.8%Strong yield — top 20% of London
Gentrification score18/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Above average for outer London — neighbourhood in transition324
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+4.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

44.2

Price growth score

D
Low

New supply risk

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route17,043m
Crossrail 2 route18,350m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 7/10

Less deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than average

Rank: 20,672 nationally

1,758

Est. population

12,508/km²

60%

Employed

29%

Degree educated

£37,400

Median income

3.6%

Claimant rate

SuburbanHigh densityOwner occupiers / families

56

Community stability

Age profile

22%
18%
21%
22%
18%
Under 1822%
18–3418%
35–4921%
50–6422%
65+18%

Tenure

35%
35%
18%
Own outright35%
Own (mortgage)35%
Private rent11%
Social rent18%
Shared ownership1%

Ethnicity

66%
White British66%
White Other9%
Asian12%
Black7%
Mixed4%
Other2%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional32%
Routine / semi-routine23%
No car household18%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications21%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Social rent18%
Private rent11%

vs. London

Income vs London-11.0%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Planning apps (12 months)
1
Planning apps (3 years)
7
Local approval rate
100%
Borough approval rate
44%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£90/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
0
Largest scheme
18 homes · 1, 1, Kilmartin Way, Hornchurch, RM12 5NB
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

rear of 8-28, rear of 8-28, Ullswater Way, 8-36 Kendal Croft &61-69 Carnforth Gdns, Hornchurch, RM12 5DR8 homes
completed
Carnforth Hall, Carnforth Hall, Carnforth Gardens, Elm Park, RM12 5DL5 homes
completed
63, 63, Wood Lane, Hornchurch, RM12 5JB2 homes
completed
38, 38, Langdale Gardens, Hornchurch, RM12 5LB2 homes
completed
5, 5, Derwent Way, Hornchurch, RM12 5HP2 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Hornchurch Residents Association
Ward majority vote
23.6%
Ward turnout
36%
Election year
2022
MP
Margaret Mullane (Labour)
MP majority
7,173
Constituency
Dagenham and Rainham

Councillors

Barry MugglestoneHornchurch Residents Association
Stephanie Jane NunnHornchurch Residents Association
Julie WilkesHornchurch Residents Association

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Key facts for RM12 5LD

Full postcodeRM12 5LD
Postcode districtRM12
BoroughLondon Borough of Havering
WardElm Park
Latitude51.544912
Longitude0.196040
Parliamentary constituencyDagenham and Rainham
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey