Elm Park · Havering · Dagenham and Rainham constituency · 51.53920, 0.20225

RM12 5PE— Elm Park, Havering

Location and area intelligence for RM12 5PE, Elm Park, Havering

The family fortress

 

Schools 67%Safety 78/100Transport 17/100

Best for: Families, Owner-occupiers

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Car-dependent area — limited public transport

Liveability
55
Safety
78
Schools
63
Transport
17
Environment
92
Investment
44

The bottom line

RM12 5PE offers low crime and a green environment — strong value for Families and Owner-occupiers who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 64 min to canary wharf — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

RM12 5PE

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
MediumOwner occupiers / families
Buyer fit: ExcellentInvestment outlook: CautiousRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income-11.0% vs London avg
vs London crime-24.0% vs London avg

Deep-dive guides for RM12 5PE

🛡️Crime & SafetyCrime rate, trends & breakdown by type🎓SchoolsOfsted ratings, exam scores & distances🏠Rental MarketAverage rents, demand & void risk

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Postcode Personality

🎓 Good Schools🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe

“The family fortress”

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How RM12 5PE has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

63

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km
★

Primary

R J Mitchell Primary School

Requires Improvement · Inspected Jun 2023 · 4 min walk

KS2: 103.8

★★

Secondary

The Brittons Academy

Good · Inspected Oct 2022 · 13 min walk

P8: -0.28A8: 44.7

67% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 8 schools within 1.5km

Below London average

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 107 min walk

6 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

49.1 incidents per 1,000 residents

Better than 63% of London
↑ Rising 777.8%

from a low base — still below London average

-18% vs borough

Crime by type

Violence & sexual offences29%
Anti-social behaviour28%
Other16%
Vehicle crime15%
Drug offences6%
Robbery4%
Theft1%
Burglary0%

Stop & search

0.6

per 1,000 residents

→ Stable

trend

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

0

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Hornchurch Fire Station · 3.1km

Crime is 24% below London average

Property

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Avg floor area81.1 m²

EPC breakdown

C
7%
D
11%

Based on 18 properties · Confidence: medium

Street mix

Semi 20%Terraced 80%

LHA rates — Outer East London

Shared room£561/mo
1 bedroom£1200/mo
2 bedrooms£1400/mo
3 bedrooms£1675/mo
4 bedrooms£1950/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Energy & construction

Solar yield868 kWh/kWp/yr
Rebuild cost estimate£202,750
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1967-1975
WallsCavity wall, as built, no insulation (assumed)
RoofPitched, limited insulation (assumed)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band DAnnual charge £2,049
Price growth potentialLow

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

1995–2021 · CAGR

+7.8%

Total change

+600%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

+27.3%

per year

Acceleration

+28.17

change in velocity

Market State

Strong growth

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £450k–£500k · P75: £200k–£250k · 25 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 25 sales

Semi-detached20%
Terraced80%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom1995–1999£60k£129k+115%1.5
Post-dot-com plateau2001–2004£124k£183k+47.6%1.8
GFC & correction2008–2011£230k£250k+8.7%1
Help-to-Buy recovery2015–2015£285k£285k+0%1
Brexit uncertainty2018–2018£333k£333k+0%3
Pandemic surge2020–2021£330k£420k+27.3%2.5

Price Trajectory by Type

Terraced

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Terraced

+0% alpha

Terraced+0% α
Local
7.9%
District
7.9%

CAGR over 24yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

3out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Strong Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity0
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position10

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
Elm Park Underground StationDistrict line
14.4 min walk
Rainham (London)

Nearby stations

Elm Park Underground StationDistrict
15 min walk
Hornchurch Underground StationDistrict
25 min walk
Dagenham East Underground StationDistrict
32 min walk
Rainham (London)National Rail
33 min walk
Upminster Bridge Underground StationDistrict
40 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

21

Walkability score

232

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge70 min ↑
Victoria82 min ↑
Waterloo79 min ↑
Canary Wharf ★64 min
City67 min ↑

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Find areas within a set commute time of your workplace →

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

31

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Total spaces (800m)14
Nearest car park125m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock13.8 km

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterHIGH
High
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 20.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 90% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 19.2 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB100% green spaceTree canopy: 10%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Ingrebourne Marshes SSSI — 1.2 km

Energy

Solar: 868 kWh/kWp/yr

Ground stability

Geology: SAND AND GRAVEL

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Running sand risk: Medium

Landslide records (2km): None recorded

Insurance risk

Standard

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Low

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,540 hrs/yr

Sunshine

594 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.7°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield868.1 kWh/kWp/yr

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE COLLEGE PRACTICE

RUSH GREEN MEDICAL CENTRE, 261 DAGENHAM ROAD, RM7 0XR

38 min walk

83%

Recommend GP

83%

Overall GP experience

0

GPs within 1km

1

Dentists within 1km

Nearest hospitalSt. George's Health & Wellbeing Hub · 1.6 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 3.7 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

570

Parks (1km)

2

Restaurants (800m)

0

Cafes (800m)

1

Pubs (400m)

0

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

1

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

Nearest supermarketCo-op Food · 1.1 km
1 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

1

Late-night venues

E
562 licensed premises in boroughHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

3.4km

Post office

Nearby shops

Sunny's Mini Market696 m
Dacia696 m
Yogi News & Off Licence697 m
Co-op Food701 m

Nearby cafes

Silver Cafe697 m

Nearby restaurants

Sunshine Fish Bar463 m
Wok U Like471 m
Buzzgrill698 m
Mungo Park Kebab & Fish698 m

Nearby pubs

Good Intent165 m

Nearby gyms

Girls Allowed612 m

Nearby pharmacies

Day Lewis Pharmacy700 m
Food hygiene (5-star)67% of 12

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
0
New (last 12 months)
0
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
0
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
324

High street

E

High street health

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

44

Investment score

Moderate

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,300London avg: £1,950/mo
Gentrification score18/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Above average for outer London — neighbourhood in transition324

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+4.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Future outlook

30.4

Price growth score

D
Low

Development pressure

Low

New supply risk

Low-deprivation area

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route17,100m
Crossrail 2 route18,940m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 9/10

Least deprived

Index of Multiple Deprivation

Less deprived than 90% of London

Rank: 28,079 nationally

1,608

Est. population

6,945/km²

60%

Employed

29%

Degree educated

£37,400

Median income

2.6%

Claimant rate

SuburbanMedium densityOwner occupiers / families

64

Community stability

Age profile

22%
16%
20%
21%
21%
Under 1822%
18–3416%
35–4920%
50–6421%
65+21%

Tenure

46%
44%
Own outright46%
Own (mortgage)44%
Private rent7%
Social rent3%
Shared ownership1%

Ethnicity

74%
White British74%
White Other5%
Asian7%
Black9%
Mixed4%
Other0%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional35%
Routine / semi-routine20%
No car household14%
Unemployed3%
No qualifications20%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Private rent7%
Social rent3%

vs. London

Income vs London-11.0%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Listed buildings (800m)
2
Live planning apps (800m)
1
Development activity
low
Residential apps (800m)
0
Commercial apps (800m)
0
Major developments (800m)
0
Planning apps (12 months)
3
Planning apps (3 years)
2
Local approval rate
100%
Borough approval rate
44%
Historic landfill (400m)
2
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£90/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
5
Largest scheme
19 homes · 1, 1, Albyns Close, Rainham, RM13 7YA
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

Concorde House, Concorde House, Astra Close, Hornchurch, RM12 5TJ14 homes
completed
78, 78, Manston Way, Hornchurch, RM12 5PE2 homes
completed
12 Mungo Park Road, 12, Rainham, RM12 7PA2 homes
completed
369 South End Road, 369, Hornchurch, RM12 5NA2 homes
completed
41, 41, Manston Way, Hornchurch, RM12 5PB1 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Hornchurch Residents Association
Ward majority vote
23.6%
Ward turnout
36%
Election year
2022
MP
Margaret Mullane (Labour)
MP majority
7,173
Constituency
Dagenham and Rainham

Councillors

Barry MugglestoneHornchurch Residents Association
Stephanie Jane NunnHornchurch Residents Association
Julie WilkesHornchurch Residents Association

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Key facts for RM12 5PE

Full postcodeRM12 5PE
Postcode districtRM12
BoroughLondon Borough of Havering
WardElm Park
Latitude51.539202
Longitude0.202255
Parliamentary constituencyDagenham and Rainham
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey