Gooshays · Havering · Hornchurch and Upminster constituency · 51.60458, 0.22538

RM3 8AFGooshays, Havering

Location and area intelligence for RM3 8AF, Gooshays, Havering

The family fortress

 

Schools 100%Safety 79/100Transport 13/100~4% yield · indicativeOnly 1 sales — thin data

Best for: Families

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Car-dependent area — limited public transport

Liveability
49
Safety
79
Schools
60
Transport
13
Environment
79
Investment
37

The bottom line

RM3 8AF offers exceptional schools (100% Good/Outstanding), low crime, fast broadband and a green environment — strong value for Families who can accept its trade-offs.

The catch: 66 min to canary wharf — above average for this zone.

Less suited to Car-free commuters.

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Location

RM3 8AF

Area Profile & Benchmarks

Area identity and London comparisons

Area Identity

Suburban
HighSocially diverse / deprived
Buyer fit: GoodInvestment outlook: NeutralRisk: Low

London Benchmarks

vs London income-23.8% vs London avg
vs London crime+15.0% vs London avg

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🎓 School Smart🌿 Green Lung🔒 Very Safe

The family fortress

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How RM3 8AF has changed

Schools

18 Apr

Nearest schools and Ofsted ratings

60

Education score

Good for families
★ Top school within 1km

Primary

Drapers' Brookside Junior School

Not yet inspected · 6 min walk

KS2: 99.9

Secondary

Drapers' Academy

Not yet inspected · Inspected Mar 2025 · 14 min walk

P8: -0.03A8: 42.7

100% of local schools rated Good or Outstanding · based on 7 schools within 1.5km

Top 10% — exceptional provision

Childcare

Childcare

Abbey Wood Nursery School

Not inspected · 191 min walk

4 primaries · 0 secondaries · 0 childcare — within 1km

Safety

13 Jul

Crime rates and local incidents

Low crime

75.0 incidents per 1,000 residents

Higher crime than 57% of London
→ Stable

+25% vs borough

Crime by type

Violence & sexual offences32%
Other24%
Anti-social behaviour23%
Vehicle crime8%
Drug offences7%
Theft3%
Burglary2%
Robbery1%

Road safety

100

Road safety score

0

Accidents (5yr)

1

Serious within 200m

Fire risk

LOW

Risk band

0

Incidents (1yr)

1

Incidents (5yr)

Nearest station: Harold Hill Fire Station · 702m

Crime is +15% above London average

Property

2 Jul

Prices, sales volume and market trends

Insufficient sales data

Only 1 sale recorded in the last 24 months — too few for a reliable median price. Price figures have been withheld to avoid misleading comparisons.

RM3 district median

£410,000

Based on 191 sales from postcodes with sufficient data

Price history

Sales (24 months)1
New build0.0%
Price per m²£6,204/m²
Price per ft²£576/ft²
Avg floor area68.1

EPC breakdown

B
2%
C
14%
D
20%
E
2%

Based on 38 properties · Confidence: high

Street mix

Semi 35%Terraced 37%Flat 28%

LHA rates — Outer East London

Shared room£561/mo
1 bedroom£1200/mo
2 bedrooms£1400/mo
3 bedrooms£1675/mo
4 bedrooms£1950/mo

Current mortgage rates

2-year fixed4.58%
5-year fixed4.32%
SVR7.25%

Bank of England (monthly average)

Affordability

Low

Market activity

100d

Days to sell

Energy & construction

Solar yield858 kWh/kWp/yr
Heat pump suitableYes
EPC upgrade costMedium
Rebuild cost estimate£170,250
Rebuild cost per m²£2,500/m²

BCIS London average 2024. Excludes land value. Use for building insurance sum insured guidance only.

Construction era1950-1966
WallsCavity wall, filled cavity
Roof(another dwelling above)
Heating fuelmains gas (not community)
GlazingFully double glazed
Council tax band Band CAnnual charge £1,821
Price growth potentialLow

Market History

Price trajectory, velocity and distribution

Price Trajectory

19982026 · CAGR

+6.9%

Total change

+546%

Market Activity

Price Velocity & Acceleration

Current Velocity

-0.5%

per year

Acceleration

+10.69

change in velocity

Market State

Downturn

Velocity (%)Acceleration

Price Distribution

P25: £75k–£100k · P75: £300k–£350k · 42 sales

Property Type Mix

Total: 42 sales

Semi-detached35.7%
Terraced35.7%
Flat/maisonette28.6%

By decade

1990s

2000s

2010s

2020s

Market Cycle

BullCooling bullRisingSteadyRecoveryCorrectionBear

Market Eras

EraPeriodStart priceEnd priceChangeAvg sales/yr
Late-1990s boom19982000£65k£80k+23.1%1
Post-dot-com plateau20012004£106k£154k+45.3%1.3
Pre-crash peak20062007£203k£187k-7.7%2.5
GFC & correction20082012£225k£160k-28.9%3
Help-to-Buy recovery20132016£164k£338k+106.1%1.5
Brexit uncertainty20172019£294k£340k+15.5%2.5
Pandemic surge20202021£195k£333k+70.8%1
Rate-rise correction20222023£475k£422k-11.2%2
Current market20262026£420k£420k+0%1

Price Trajectory by Type

Terraced

Per-type alpha vs district

Best performer

Terraced

+-7.4% alpha

Terraced-7.4% α
Local
-7.8%
District
-0.4%

CAGR over 3yr data window. Alpha = local CAGR − district CAGR.

Buyer vs Seller Score

Composite market conditions index 0–100

38out of 100SellerBuyer

Market condition

Seller's Market

Favours sellers

Higher score = better conditions for buyers

Score breakdown

Price Velocity75
Seasonal Timing0
Trend Position40

Transport

1 Jul

Public transport accessibility and links

PTAL 2

Poor

1a
1b
2
3
4
5
6a
6b
Bottom 25% — limited connections
Harold Wood StationElizabeth line line
16.6 min walk
Harold WoodPaddington· 10 tph
47 min

Nearby stations

Harold WoodNational Rail
18 min walk
Harold Wood Rail StationElizabeth line
18 min walk
Gidea Park Rail StationGreater Anglia · Elizabeth line
36 min walk
Emerson Park Rail StationLiberty
50 min walk
Romford Rail StationElizabeth line · Liberty
55 min walk
No bus stops within 400m

29

Walkability score

105

Footpaths (500m)

0

Santander docks (800m)

Central London commute times

London Bridge76 min
Victoria83 min
Waterloo78 min
Canary Wharf66 min
City72 min

▎ marker = outer-London average per hub. ↓ green = below average. ↑ orange = above average. ≈ grey = at average. · Source: TfL Journey Planner (sampled)

Parking & EV

Car parks, spaces and charging points

12

Car parks (800m)

0

EV chargers (800m)

Nearest car park179m
Santander docks (800m)0
Nearest cycle dock16.5 km

Connectivity

Broadband and mobile coverage

100%

Full fibre

100%

Gigabit

100%

5G outdoor

100%

4G outdoor

Mobile operators

EEO2VodafoneThree
Avg download speed500 Mbps
Median download450 Mbps
Superfast coverage100%
All operators 5G67%

Broadband providers

BTSkyTalkTalkVodafoneVirgin Media

Environment

2 Jul

Flood risk, air quality and noise

Flood riskLOW
Low
Minimal flood risk
Surface waterHIGH
High
Air qualityLOW
NO₂: 23.0 µg/m³ · PM2.5: 9.0 µg/m³
Better than 86% of London
NoiseLOW
none
Quieter than 70% of London
Radon riskLOW
0.5% of local properties affected
ULEZ zone · £12.50/dayCCZ: 22.8 km away✗ Not Green Belt✗ Not AONB68% green spaceTree canopy: 10%
More green space than 99% of London

Nearest SSSI: Hornchurch Cutting SSSI — 4.6 km

Energy

Solar: 858 kWh/kWp/yrHeat pump: SuitableEPC upgrade: Medium

Ground stability

Geology: DIAMICTON

Subsidence risk: Low

Shrink-swell: Low

Landslide records (2km): 3

Landslide susceptibility: Medium

Insurance risk

Elevated

Cost band

Low

Flood risk

Medium

Subsidence risk

0.5%

Flood claim prob.

Climate

Local weather conditions and energy potential

1,540 hrs/yr

Sunshine

594 mm/yr

Rainfall

22.7°C

Summer avg

3.1°C

Winter avg

Solar yield858.0 kWh/kWp/yr
Heat pump suitableYes
EPC upgrade costMedium

Source: Met Office UK Climate Averages 1991-2020

Health

GP, dental and hospital access

THE SAHEECHA'S PRACTICES

HEALTH CENTRE, GOOSHAYS DRIVE, HAROLD HILL, RM3 9SU

2 min walk

75%

Recommend GP

75%

Overall GP experience

6

GPs within 1km

0

Dentists within 1km

1

Care homes (1km)

Nearest hospitalVictoria Hospital · 3.5 km
Nearest A&EBARKING, HAVERING AND REDBRIDGE UNIVERSITY HOSPITALS NHS TRUST · 5.1 km
A&E 4hr targetNHS target: 95% · London avg: ~68%59.8%

Amenities

Shops, restaurants, parks and more

225

Parks (1km)

2

Restaurants (800m)

1

Cafes (800m)

0

Pubs (400m)

1

Pharmacies (800m)

0

Gyms (1km)

1

Sports (1km)

0

Convenience

No pubs within 400m — nearest: The Alderman (468 m)

Nearest supermarketCo-op Food · 547 m
1 sports halls

Nightlife (500m)

0

Nightclubs

0

Late-night venues

E
562 licensed premises in boroughHome Office 2023/24

0

Libraries (1km)

0

Cinemas (2km)

482m

Post office

Nearby shops

Sainsbury's Local482 m
Paul's Traditional Shoppe504 m
Pound Town534 m
The Greengrocer's554 m

Nearby cafes

Coffee Central521 m
Cafe 90615 m

Nearby restaurants

Fish n' Chick'n493 m
Pinnacle Grill & Restaurant499 m
Greggs550 m
The Good Year662 m

Nearby pubs

The Alderman468 m
William The Conqueror585 m
The Morris Dancer690 m

Nearby gyms

Central Park Leisure Centre375 m

Nearby pharmacies

Boots501 m

Nearby health

Abbamoor Surgery170 m
Dr B. Saheecha & Dr N. Saheecha179 m
The Robins Surgery198 m
Central Park Surgery217 m
Food hygiene (5-star)44% of 66

Business

Local businesses registered here

Active businesses
6
New (last 12 months)
1
Dissolved (last 12 months)
0
Industry diversity
5
3yr survival rate
100.0%
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)
324

High street

E

High street health

Registered businesses

DCA TILING LIMITED
ENGINEERS & SOLUTIONS LTD
SIMPLY SOUTH LTD
THE HARROWS KITCHEN LIMITED
THE THIRD KITCHEN LTD

+1 more

Investment

Investment grade, yield and market outlook

37

Investment score

Weak

Score reflects rental yield, demand & liquidity — not capital appreciation. See Price growth potential below.

Avg monthly rent
£1,300London avg: £1,950/mo
Gross yield
3.8% (average)London avg: 3.8%Above average yield
Gentrification score13/100
Right-to-buy sales (5yr)Above average for outer London — neighbourhood in transition324
Sales last 12 months1

Rental market

Medium

Demand

Medium

Void risk

Mixed owner / renter

Tenant profile

+4.0%

Rent growth (1yr)

Market liquidity

Low

Market activity

100d

Est. days to sell

8/100

Velocity score

Future outlook

23

Price growth score

E
Low

New supply risk

Infrastructure pipeline

Infrastructure score0/100
Bakerloo Extension route22,695m
Crossrail 2 route19,816m

Demographics

16 Jun

Population, deprivation and income

Decile 3/10

More deprived than average

Index of Multiple Deprivation

More deprived than average

Rank: 10,006 nationally

2,068

Est. population

7,074/km²

62%

Employed

31%

Degree educated

£32,000

Median income

5.1%

Claimant rate

SuburbanHigh densitySocially diverse / deprived

50

Community stability

Age profile

30%
19%
23%
18%
Under 1830%
18–3419%
35–4923%
50–6418%
65+10%

Tenure

19%
35%
15%
29%
Own outright19%
Own (mortgage)35%
Private rent15%
Social rent29%
Shared ownership2%
Rent free1%

Ethnicity

56%
16%
White British56%
White Other12%
Asian9%
Black16%
Mixed6%
Other2%

Employment & lifestyle

Managerial / professional25%
Routine / semi-routine25%
No car household28%
Unemployed4%
No qualifications21%

Housing tenure (Census 2021)

Social rent29%
Private rent15%

vs. London

Income vs London-23.8%

Planning

Conservation areas and development

Conservation area
No
Article 4 area
No
Listed buildings (800m)
1
Planning apps (12 months)
1
Planning apps (3 years)
3
Local approval rate
0%
Borough approval rate
44%
Opportunity area
No
CIL rate (residential)
£90/m²
Coal mining risk area
No
Japanese knotweed sites (400m)
0

Housing pipeline (800m)

Homes approved
0
Under construction
0
Completed (3yr)
0
Largest scheme
242 homes · Land to the East of, Land to the East of, Gooshays Drive, West of Central Park, North of Petersfield Avenue, Harold Hill, RM3 9LB
Pipeline pressure
NONE

Named schemes (500m)

Land to the East of, Land to the East of, Gooshays Drive, West of Central Park, North of Petersfield Avenue, Harold Hill, RM3 9LB242 homes
completed
Land at Gooshays Gardens, Land at Gooshays Gardens, Dewsbury Road, Romford, RM3 8PS45 homes
completed
Garages 4-12, 10-14, 50-82, 1-9 Woodlands House, Garages 4-12, 10-14, 50-82, 1-9 Woodlands House, Tansy Close, Dewsbury Road, Harold Hill, RM3 8DW5 homes
completed
Garages and land to rear of 51-63, Garages and land to rear of 51-63, Kingsbridge Road, Harold Hill, RM3 8PA3 homes
completed
Garages and land to rear of 16-18, Garages and land to rear of 16-18, Halesworth Close, Harold Hill, RM3 8YA2 homes
completed

Politics

Local councillors and MP

Ward majority
Reform UK
Ward majority vote
14.8%
Ward turnout
35%
Election year
2026
MP
Julia Lopez (Conservative)
MP majority
1,943
Constituency
Hornchurch and Upminster

Councillors

Keith PrinceReform UK
Liz TylerReform UK
Robert WhittonReform UK

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Key facts for RM3 8AF

Full postcodeRM3 8AF
Postcode districtRM3
BoroughLondon Borough of Havering
WardGooshays
Latitude51.604576
Longitude0.225375
Parliamentary constituencyHornchurch and Upminster
CountryEngland
RegionGreater London

Trusted official data sources

Office for
National Statistics
LONDONDATASTORE
Ofsted
HM LAND
REGISTRY
Environment
Agency
DATA.POLICE.UK
GOV.UK
TfL
Transport
for London
NHS
Digital
Companies
House
Royal
Mail
Food Standards
Agency
Ofcom
Met
Office
Ordnance
Survey